@ByzGeneral — settled call record
✓ Source check: 0 unavailable · 1/1 covered · last sweep 2026-08-31
Rate rule: kol_directional_v1 — read the full rule →
95% CI [20.7% – 100.0%] · Wilson 95% interval — where the true rate likely sits.
Last settled 2026-08-28 (3d ago)
Small sample — the interval is wide and the number will move.
BTC
Follow the calls, or just hold BTC?
1 live · 6 backtested — never merged into one number.
These dollar figures are carried by backtests — hypothetical performance from applying the same rule to past statements, not a live track record. Live records: 1 / 7.
Each call is an independent $100 position, closed after 7 days — no compounding, no fees, no slippage. How this is scored →
earliest computable hit: 2026-08-28T00:00:07.533330+00:00 · computable 1/1
By coin
By call
By window
| Coin | Call | What they said | Relative (ranked) † | Absolute (vs USD) † | Settled | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | ↑ Bullish | $BTC keeps going | HIT +9.9% | +9.9% | 2026-08-28T00:00:07.533330+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
Relative = altcoins scored against BTC, BTC itself against USD — so BTC rows carry the same number in both columns. Absolute is always vs USD, and never carries a verdict.
Settled after the fact from archived posts — the call was already on the record before we scored it, but we were not watching it live. Kept on a separate line and never merged into the prospective hit rate above.
| Coin | Call | What they said | Relative (ranked) † | Absolute (vs USD) † | Settled | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | $BTC seems ready to move higher. | MISS +1.4% | +1.4% | 2026-08-18T22:00:21.089633+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| SOL backtested | ↑ Bullish | $SOL is about to blast. | HIT +13.6% | +19.1% | 2026-08-18T22:00:18.211773+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | Especially since $BTC's support held, it's looking really good now. | HIT +4.9% | +4.9% | 2026-08-18T22:00:16.872503+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | With BTC breaking out | MISS -1.7% | -1.7% | 2026-08-18T20:00:38.400875+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| TRX backtested | ↑ Bullish | Looks good. | MISS -4.3% | -1.7% | 2026-08-17T10:30:11.374697+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↓ Bearish | I have a bearish bias now. | MISS -1.8% | -1.8% | 2026-08-17T07:30:09.533836+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
Relative = altcoins scored against BTC, BTC itself against USD — so BTC rows carry the same number in both columns. Absolute is always vs USD, and never carries a verdict.
Graded under price_target_v1 — did the stated price target print? A different rule, never merged into the directional rate above.
| Coin | Call | Result | Settled | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | — | HIT | 2026-08-28 | verdict → |
Settled after the fact from archived posts — the call was already on the record before we scored it, but we were not watching it live. Kept on a separate line and never merged into the prospective hit rate above.
| Coin | Call | Result | Settled | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC backtested | — | MISS | 2026-08-18 | verdict → |
| SOL backtested | — | HIT | 2026-08-18 | verdict → |
| BTC backtested | — | MISS | 2026-08-17 | verdict → |
| TRX backtested | — | MISS | 2026-08-17 | verdict → |
Same ruler on both sides: kol_directional_v1 runs on identical parameters to settle_v1 — a 7-day window, a ±3% band, altcoins scored vs BTC and BTC vs USD. That is why the hit rate above and CoinVerdict's 64% can sit side by side. · How the two differ →
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Source: VeraMind settled-call ledger · only verified settlements, never open calls. · Chatter, recaps and "watching" posts never enter the ledger — only explicit calls are settled and counted.