VET / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
VET’s 0.00487 bounce is trapped beneath a 31.9% SMA200 deficit
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-07-22 09:05 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Longs pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-29 — Overweight — -1.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-28 — Overweight — -4.6% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-27 — Overweight — +4.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-25 — Overweight — +17.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-23 — Underweight — +20.7% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-21 — Neutral — +27.5% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-20 — Neutral — +18.7% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-19 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-16 — Underweight — +4.3% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-15 — Underweight — +4.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-14 — Underweight — -0.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-13 — Underweight — +1.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-12 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-11 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Underweight — -2.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-08 — Underweight — -1.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-07 — Underweight — -1.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-06 — Underweight — -4.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-05 — Underweight — +0.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-04 — Underweight — -2.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-03 — Underweight — -1.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-02 — Underweight — -1.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-01 — Underweight — -3.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-31 — Underweight — -2.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-30 — Underweight — +3.2% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-29 — Underweight — +1.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-28 — Underweight — +5.5% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-27 — Underweight — +1.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-26 — Underweight — +1.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-25 — Underweight — +2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-24 — Underweight — -0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-23 — Neutral — -5.3% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-22 — Underweight — -3.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-21 — Underweight — -2.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-20 — Underweight — -0.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-19 — Underweight — -0.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-17 — Underweight — -1.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-16 — Underweight — -1.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-15 — Neutral — +0.7% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions
Invalidation: The bearish ruling is overturned if VET reclaims and holds above 0.0068; a decisive RSI move above 70 would further confirm invalidation.. Cautious read: a break below $0.004249 voids this research. Confidence Medium — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, the spark hasn’t cleared the room’s locked door: VET is still 28.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo, the spark hasn’t cleared the room’s locked door: VET is still 28. Key support to defend sits near $0.004249. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’ll concede the ugliest number: VET is 31.9% below its SMA200, and that long-term wreckage isn’t pretty. But Leo says the market has already priced the wreckage; price is back above the SMA20 and SMA50, RSI is a balanced 52.1, and the MACD histogram is expanding—there’s a spark here, not a corpse.
Leo, the spark hasn’t cleared the room’s locked door: VET is still 28.4% below the 60-day high of 0.0068, while the 0.4% seven-day and 0.4% 30-day returns barely qualify as movement. His SMA20/SMA50 point is a short-term bandage over a bearish SMA50-versus-SMA200 structure of -32.6%.
· short-term MACD expansion
· price above SMA20 and SMA50
· taker buy/sell at 1.08
Invalidation: The bearish ruling is overturned if VET reclaims and holds above 0.0068; a decisive RSI move above 70 would further confirm invalidation.
Mara, you’re treating the 60-day high as destiny. I’m watching the 0.004249 low: price is 14.6% above it, and an RSI of 52.1 leaves room to press higher.
Leo, being 14.6% above a low after a 28.4% collapse isn’t strength; it’s a pause. Your MACD histogram is only +3.004e-05, and it hasn’t changed the SMA200 verdict.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, you’re treating the 60-day high as destiny. I’m watching the 0.004249 low: price is 14.6% above it, and an RSI of 52.1 leaves room to press higher.
Leo, being 14.6% above a low after a 28.4% collapse isn’t strength; it’s a pause. Your MACD histogram is only +3.004e-05, and it hasn’t changed the SMA200 verdict.
I’ll interrupt both of you: 62.4% of accounts are long, the L/S ratio is 1.66, and takers buy at 1.08. That’s mild spot pressure against a crowd already leaning bullish—hardly the positioning backdrop for an easy squeeze.
And Bitcoin below $66,000 puts the macro wind in Mara’s sails. With risk appetite bruised by the $1 million exploit headline, VET needs a real catalyst to overcome liquidity gravity.
I rule for the bears, and the decisive exhibit is VET’s 31.9% gap below the SMA200, reinforced by the -32.6% SMA50/SMA200 structure. The rebound can survive above 0.004841, but I overturn this ruling only if VET reclaims 0.0068 or RSI breaks decisively above 70 with price holding the breakout.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
Kai Nakamura: VET sits 1.7% above its SMA20 and 1.0% above its SMA50, but remains 31.9% below the SMA200. RSI at 52.1 and an expanding MACD histogram of +3.004e-05 show a tradable rebound, not a repaired trend.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Sofia Reyes: Fear&Greed at 33 says the crowd is still fearful, while 62.4% of long accounts and a 1.66 L/S ratio show longs leaning into the dip. Taker buy/sell at 1.08 offers modest demand, but the positioning is too one-sided to call capitulation.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
Ed Walsh: The July 20 VeChain X livestream is a communications event, not a demonstrated catalyst. The broader tape is risk-off, with Bitcoin below $66,000 and a fresh $1 million exploit draining a bitcoin vault, so headline enthusiasm has little liquidity behind it.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
Priya Anand: The data pack supplies no fresh adoption, revenue, token-supply, or ecosystem-growth figures to justify a fundamental rerating. Without that support, VET’s 30-day gain of 0.4% reads as stagnation rather than compounding value.
ab7ddbd70747f0913fb545531104161b0277696042fb67aff30fe34430b784b6d60befb007b8b2c9bb2f3e860a595495bb4427a42c1d8f8851947ca5b9c4caf9Committed 2026-07-24T10:21:07+00:00 · 98 rulings that day · Check the chain
SHA-256 of this report as stored. It is the exact value committed to that day's chain — recompute it yourself and compare.
2026-09-05 · 2026-09-01 · 2026-08-31 · 2026-08-30 · 2026-08-29 · 2026-08-28 · 2026-08-27 · 2026-08-25 · 2026-08-23