GRASS / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
GRASS at $0.36135: momentum is positive, but greed at 73 meets a bearish -4.1% SMA50/SMA200 structure
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-08-28 02:51 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Mixed
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Longs pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-24 — Overweight — +4.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-23 — Underweight — +19.8% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-21 — Neutral — +7.1% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-19 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-16 — Neutral — -25.5% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — -18.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-13 — Underweight — -13.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-12 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-11 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Underweight — +12.9% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-08 — Underweight — +10.3% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-07 — Underweight — +10.4% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-06 — Underweight — +2.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-05 — Underweight — +1.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-04 — Underweight — -7.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-03 — Underweight — -9.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-02 — Underweight — -6.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-31 — Underweight — -5.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-30 — Underweight — -3.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-29 — Underweight — -9.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-28 — Underweight — -2.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-27 — Underweight — -7.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-26 — Underweight — -6.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-24 — Underweight — -12.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-23 — Neutral — -12.8% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-22 — Neutral — -7.1% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 4 exchanges
Invalidation: A sustained close above $0.3743 with MACD histogram expansion would invalidate the neutral call in favor of a bullish continuation.. Cautious read: a break below $0.3609 voids this research. Confidence Medium — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, your 11.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Mixed, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo, your 11. Key support to defend sits near $0.3609. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I concede the SMA50 sits 4.1% below the SMA200, but that is stale rear-view glass against price sitting 11.0% above SMA20 and 7.7% higher over seven days. The 30-day gain is 17.1%, RSI is only 55.8, and Coinbase’s spot-listing expansion gives this move a fresh engine. Our 2026-08-09 underweight call lost when GRASS returned 12.9% versus BTC; today’s price structure is materially stronger than that losing setup.
Leo, your 11.0% above SMA20 is exactly the kind of shiny number that sells hopium at the top. Taker buy/sell is only 0.86 while 61.1% of accounts are long, Fear&Greed is 73, and the MACD histogram is contracting—your momentum exhibit is already losing thrust. The 2026-08-09 underweight loss at +12.9% versus BTC proves this token can rip against a bearish call, but it does not make today’s crowded upside safe.
I think the bullish side has more room than this ruling admits: GRASS is 17.1% higher over 30 days while still 40.1% below the 60-day high of $0.6032. A Coinbase spot-trading expansion can keep the recovery moving before the bearish SMA50/SMA200 gap repairs.
The fastest failure is a break below the latest low of $0.3609, because the bullish case already faces 73 Fear&Greed, 61.1% long accounts, and a 0.86 taker buy/sell ratio. The fragile exhibit is momentum: MACD histogram is positive at 0.007174 but contracting.
The aggressive desk overreaches by treating the $0.6032 high as reachable evidence, while the conservative desk overstates one intraday low. The deciding condition is whether price holds $0.3609 while MACD remains positive; the settled record shows 2 WIN and 1 LOSS among resolved calls, including the 2026-08-09 underweight loss at +12.9% versus BTC.
· crowded long accounts and Fear&Greed 73
· contracting MACD momentum
· bearish SMA50/SMA200 structure
Invalidation: A sustained close above $0.3743 with MACD histogram expansion would invalidate the neutral call in favor of a bullish continuation.
Mara, price is not at the 60-day high of $0.6032; it is $0.36135, with RSI 55.8. Calling a 17.1% monthly recovery exhausted ignores the 45.5% distance back to the 60-day low.
Leo, that 45.5% cushion is not support—it is a map of how much damage remains possible. The latest candle closed at $0.3616 after reaching $0.3743, while takers netted bearish at 0.86.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, price is not at the 60-day high of $0.6032; it is $0.36135, with RSI 55.8. Calling a 17.1% monthly recovery exhausted ignores the 45.5% distance back to the 60-day low.
Leo, that 45.5% cushion is not support—it is a map of how much damage remains possible. The latest candle closed at $0.3616 after reaching $0.3743, while takers netted bearish at 0.86.
I see no funding-rate data, so nobody gets to claim derivatives confirmation. What I can see is 61.1% long accounts and a 1.57 ratio: optimism is measurable, but taker flow refuses to validate it.
The 60-day high is still 40.1% above spot, and the SMA50 remains 4.1% under the SMA200. That is not a liquidity regime I’d mistake for a clean trend reversal.
I pick the neutral verdict, with the decisive exhibit being the collision between price strength—11.0% above SMA20—and the bearish -4.1% SMA50/SMA200 structure. This differs from the recent losing underweight call on 2026-08-09 because GRASS now has positive 7-day and 30-day performance plus price above all three tracked SMAs; the ruling flips bullish only on a sustained close above $0.3743 with MACD expansion, and breaks bearish on a close below $0.3609.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
Kai Nakamura: GRASS trades 11.0% above SMA20, 7.4% above SMA50, and 3.0% above SMA200. RSI is 55.8 and MACD histogram remains positive at 0.007174, but contracting momentum and the -4.1% SMA50/SMA200 relationship keep the structure conflicted.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Sofia Reyes: Fear&Greed is 73, while long accounts hold 61.1% with a 1.57 long/short ratio. Taker buy/sell at 0.86 shows aggressive buying is not confirming the crowd’s bullish tilt; StockTwits supplied no usable sample.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
Ed Walsh: Coinbase’s GRASS spot-trading expansion and listing-roadmap coverage are constructive catalysts. The broader headlines concern Kalshi litigation and Ethena’s token outlook, offering no direct GRASS fundamental shock.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
Priya Anand: The pack provides no fresh token-supply, unlock, revenue, or network-usage figures for GRASS. Coinbase listing access is a distribution positive, but it cannot establish durable value capture from the supplied evidence.
6ddf84f97d04a0e0deb5d0c791208fb8f065e5c67f1f58e261c4116bea2f306bb460912c22e647ff99deef7428c2f0098da84f163350ba433a36d11ce82e7419Committed 2026-08-29T00:20:00+00:00 · 98 rulings that day · Check the chain
SHA-256 of this report as stored. It is the exact value committed to that day's chain — recompute it yourself and compare.
2026-08-31 · 2026-08-30 · 2026-08-29 · 2026-08-27 · 2026-08-26 · 2026-08-25 · 2026-08-24 · 2026-08-23