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GRASS / The Verdict

generated 2026-08-07 03:19 UTC
$0.30
-1.72% · 24h
price as of 2026-08-07 03:19 UTC
Price source
📜 Archived verdict of 2026-08-07 — latest verdict → GRASS
The Verdict
Sell

Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.

GRASS sits at $0.3021, only 2.8% above its 60-day low as bearish pressure dominates

⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-08-07 03:19 UTC

Technicalsignal strength Bearish C
Measures how strong the directional signal from price structure is. An analyst lists independent evidence families (trend, momentum, structure) from the data pack; code converts the count to a letter — 3+ families with no conflict = A+, 2 = B, 1 = D; conflicting evidence caps the grade at C; insufficient information gets no grade at all. The letter is signal strength — direction is shown separately. (evidence_rule_v1) full scales →
Sentimentsignal strength Bearish C
Same scale as Technical, applied to crowd evidence — fear/greed, positioning, and flow. 3+ independent evidence families with no conflict = A+, 2 = B, 1 = D; conflicts cap at C; not enough information, no grade. The letter says how loud the crowd signal is, not which way price will go. (evidence_rule_v1) full scales →
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction Longs pay A
Measures perpetual funding-rate pressure — risk, not direction. The smaller the 8-hour normalized rate, the calmer the market: under 0.5 bp = A+, then A, B, C, D as pressure grows, F beyond 10 bp (extreme crowding). Who pays (longs or shorts) is shown separately. Read A+ as “calm”, never as “bullish”. (funding_rule_v1) full scales →
KOL Consensussettled-record quality Archive building
Measures the quality and strength of on-record KOL consensus. Only authors with 20+ settled calls count. The majority share sets the base letter (85%+ = A+ down to 55%+ = D), but few qualified authors cap it — under 5 authors we show the direction and withhold the grade while the record builds. (kol_rule_v1) full scales →

Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.

Track record
6W–0L–1P · 2 neutral · since 2026-07-22
95% CI 61.0–100.0% · n=6 · early sample
2026-08-08 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-08-15
2026-08-07 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-08-14
2026-08-06 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-08-13
2026-08-05 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-08-12
2026-08-04 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-08-11
2026-08-03 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-08-10
2026-08-02 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-08-09
2026-07-31 — Underweight — -5.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-31 · GRASS price $0.3157 · BTC $63805
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-07 · GRASS price $0.3021 · BTC $64381
vs BTC
-5.2% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-30 — Underweight — -3.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-30 · GRASS price $0.3135 · BTC $64044.7
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-06 · GRASS price $0.3067 · BTC $64604.5
vs BTC
-3.0% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-29 — Underweight — -9.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-29 · GRASS price $0.33225 · BTC $64051
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-05 · GRASS price $0.3013 · BTC $64023.8
vs BTC
-9.3% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-28 — Underweight — -2.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-28 · GRASS price $0.32435 · BTC $63644.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-04 · GRASS price $0.3162 · BTC $63558.1
vs BTC
-2.4% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-27 — Underweight — -7.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-27 · GRASS price $0.35055 · BTC $65216
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-03 · GRASS price $0.3159 · BTC $63435.7
vs BTC
-7.4% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-26 — Underweight — -6.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-26 · GRASS price $0.34085 · BTC $64416
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-02 · GRASS price $0.3124 · BTC $62914.5
vs BTC
-6.2% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-24 — Underweight — -12.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-24 · GRASS price $0.36055 · BTC $64928
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-31 · GRASS price $0.3157 · BTC $64779.5
vs BTC
-12.2% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Neutral → Underweight
2026-07-23 — Neutral — -12.8% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-23 · GRASS price $0.37155 · BTC $66209
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-30 · GRASS price $0.3135 · BTC $64044.7
vs BTC
-12.8% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-22 — Neutral — -7.1% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-22 · GRASS price $0.36805 · BTC $65937.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-29 · GRASS price $0.33225 · BTC $64051
vs BTC
-7.1% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →

The evidence
Bull evidence
Bear evidence ✓ aligns with this verdict
Market state

coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read

Price
Price at verdict$0.3021 -1.7% 24h
60d high0.6032 -49.9%
60d low0.2939 +2.8%
RSI(14)38.2
vs 200d SMA -11.6%
30d change -20.3%
Funding (net) +0.86 bp/8h
Fear & Greed29 · Fear
Long accounts58.0% long

snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 4 exchanges

Read this ruling three ways

Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.

The Deliberation
LV
Bull Research (Leo Vance)
VS
MF
Bear Research (Mara Frost)
!
THE RISKS — is the uncertainty laid out?

Invalidation: The bearish ruling is invalidated by a sustained reclaim above approximately $0.3305, the implied SMA20 level from the stated 8.6% discount.

⚔ Key clashes
LV
Bull Research (Leo Vance)
MF
Bear Research (Mara Frost)
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
LV
Bull Research (Leo Vance)
MF
Bear Research (Mara Frost)
TO
Positioning Desk (Theo Okafor)
DV
Macro Desk (Dmitri Volkov)
JA
Risk Committee · Final Ruling
Chief Adjudicator (Aldrich)
DirectionBearish
ConfidenceHigh
HorizonWeeks (swing)
Key support$0.2939
Key resistance$0.3305
InvalidationThe bearish ruling is invalidated by a sustained reclaim above approximately $0.3305, the implied SMA20 level from the stated 8.6% discount.
Main risksCountertrend bounce from RSI 38.2Expanding MACD histogramBullish SMA50/SMA200 structure
KOL Settlement Seat
Calls on record: 0 up · 0 down

Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind

Analyst notes
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)

I’m Kai Nakamura: technical direction is bearish. Evidence families are RSI at 38.2, price below SMA20/SMA50/SMA200 by 8.6%/23.5%/11.6%, and 7-day and 30-day losses of 3.8% and 20.3%. The bullish SMA50-vs-SMA200 structure (+15.5%) and expanding MACD histogram (+0.0008131) conflict with the broader breakdown; sufficiency is adequate.

Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)

I’m Sofia Reyes: sentiment direction is bearish. Fear&Greed is 29, taker buy/sell is 0.68, and the 58.0% long-account share shows fearful demand leaning the wrong way; StockTwits supplied no usable sample. Evidence sufficiency is adequate from fear, account skew, and taker-flow families, with funding unavailable.

Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)

I’m Ed Walsh: the headline tape is rebound-heavy but not durable. Recent articles tout 11%, 25%, and 32% GRASS spikes, while the market backdrop offers no clear crypto catalyst because the Senate will not vote on the Clarity Act before its summer break. The news flow reads like volatility marketing, not a confirmed trend reversal.

Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)

I’m Priya Anand: the pack provides no token-supply, unlock, revenue, adoption, or valuation data. I can’t manufacture a fundamental escape hatch from a token trading $0.3021, down 20.3% over 30 days. Fundamental direction is therefore bearish by observable price behavior, but the evidence base is limited.

Provenance
Report fingerprint
44e693c0267240332a7a5ae47f22f2f4def8101b6bcb8b3b42de5be0212b372c
UTC date
2026-08-07
Chain head
d5ab890fb0e2dce19809a61a407fc9537e43370de7f1cb9ea0eefa64ec6ed9cf

Committed 2026-08-08T00:20:00+00:00 · 90 rulings that day · Check the chain

SHA-256 of this report as stored. It is the exact value committed to that day's chain — recompute it yourself and compare.

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