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GRASS / The Verdict

generated 2026-07-31 02:16 UTC
$0.32
+0.91% · 24h
price as of 2026-07-31 02:16 UTC
Price source
📜 Archived verdict of 2026-07-31 — latest verdict → GRASS
The Verdict
Underweight

Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.

GRASS sits at $0.3157 with RSI 36.6, but the chart still trades 32.3% below its 30-day level

⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-07-31 02:16 UTC

Technicalsignal strength Bearish C
Measures how strong the directional signal from price structure is. An analyst lists independent evidence families (trend, momentum, structure) from the data pack; code converts the count to a letter — 3+ families with no conflict = A+, 2 = B, 1 = D; conflicting evidence caps the grade at C; insufficient information gets no grade at all. The letter is signal strength — direction is shown separately. (evidence_rule_v1) full scales →
Sentimentsignal strength Bearish C
Same scale as Technical, applied to crowd evidence — fear/greed, positioning, and flow. 3+ independent evidence families with no conflict = A+, 2 = B, 1 = D; conflicts cap at C; not enough information, no grade. The letter says how loud the crowd signal is, not which way price will go. (evidence_rule_v1) full scales →
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction Longs pay A
Measures perpetual funding-rate pressure — risk, not direction. The smaller the 8-hour normalized rate, the calmer the market: under 0.5 bp = A+, then A, B, C, D as pressure grows, F beyond 10 bp (extreme crowding). Who pays (longs or shorts) is shown separately. Read A+ as “calm”, never as “bullish”. (funding_rule_v1) full scales →
KOL Consensussettled-record quality Archive building
Measures the quality and strength of on-record KOL consensus. Only authors with 20+ settled calls count. The majority share sets the base letter (85%+ = A+ down to 55%+ = D), but few qualified authors cap it — under 5 authors we show the direction and withhold the grade while the record builds. (kol_rule_v1) full scales →

Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.

Track record
12W–4L–3P · 5 neutral · since 2026-07-22
95% CI 50.5–89.8% · n=16 · early sample
2026-09-01 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-31 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-30 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-29 — Overweight — — — VOID
stance change · Neutral → Overweight
2026-08-28 — Neutral — — — VOID
stance change · Overweight → Neutral
2026-08-27 — Overweight — — — VOID
stance change · Underweight → Overweight
2026-08-26 — Underweight — — — VOID
stance change · Neutral → Underweight
2026-08-25 — Neutral — -1.3% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-25 · GRASS price $0.3649 · BTC $78968.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-09-01 · GRASS price $0.35905 · BTC $78717.1
vs BTC
-1.3% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Overweight → Neutral
2026-08-24 — Overweight — +4.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-24 · GRASS price $0.3513 · BTC $77645.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-31 · GRASS price $0.3673 · BTC $77473.2
vs BTC
+4.8% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Underweight → Overweight
2026-08-23 — Underweight — +19.8% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-23 · GRASS price $0.301 · BTC $77094.1
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-30 · GRASS price $0.3656 · BTC $78171.7
vs BTC
+19.8% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Overweight → Underweight
2026-08-22 — Overweight — — — VOID
stance change · Neutral → Overweight
2026-08-21 — Neutral — +7.1% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-21 · GRASS price $0.3085 · BTC $73322.8
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-28 · GRASS price $0.36135 · BTC $80168.1
vs BTC
+7.1% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Underweight → Neutral
2026-08-19 — Underweight — — — VOID
stance change · Neutral → Underweight
2026-08-16 — Neutral — -25.5% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-16 · GRASS price $0.3305 · BTC $63070.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-23 · GRASS price $0.301 · BTC $77094.1
vs BTC
-25.5% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Underweight → Neutral
2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — -18.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-14 · GRASS price $0.32895 · BTC $63504.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-21 · GRASS price $0.3085 · BTC $73322.8
vs BTC
-18.8% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-13 — Underweight — -13.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-13 · GRASS price $0.30905 · BTC $63588.5
Settled (T+8d)
2026-08-21 · GRASS price $0.3085 · BTC $73322.8
vs BTC
-13.4% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-12 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-11 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Underweight — +12.9% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-09 · GRASS price $0.3015 · BTC $64963.4
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-16 · GRASS price $0.3305 · BTC $63070.5
vs BTC
+12.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-08 — Underweight — +10.3% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-08 · GRASS price $0.30285 · BTC $64896.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-15 · GRASS price $0.3244 · BTC $63021.6
vs BTC
+10.3% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-07 — Underweight — +10.4% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-07 · GRASS price $0.3021 · BTC $64381
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-14 · GRASS price $0.32895 · BTC $63504.5
vs BTC
+10.4% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-06 — Underweight — +2.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-06 · GRASS price $0.3067 · BTC $64604.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-13 · GRASS price $0.30905 · BTC $63588.5
vs BTC
+2.4% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-05 — Underweight — +1.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-05 · GRASS price $0.3013 · BTC $64023.8
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-12 · GRASS price $0.304 · BTC $63546
vs BTC
+1.7% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-04 — Underweight — -7.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-04 · GRASS price $0.3162 · BTC $63558.1
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-11 · GRASS price $0.29415 · BTC $63941.5
vs BTC
-7.5% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-03 — Underweight — -9.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-03 · GRASS price $0.3159 · BTC $63435.7
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-10 · GRASS price $0.29415 · BTC $65054
vs BTC
-9.2% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-02 — Underweight — -6.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-02 · GRASS price $0.3124 · BTC $62914.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-09 · GRASS price $0.3015 · BTC $64963.4
vs BTC
-6.5% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-31 — Underweight — -5.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-31 · GRASS price $0.3157 · BTC $63805
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-07 · GRASS price $0.3021 · BTC $64381
vs BTC
-5.2% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-30 — Underweight — -3.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-30 · GRASS price $0.3135 · BTC $64044.7
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-06 · GRASS price $0.3067 · BTC $64604.5
vs BTC
-3.0% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-29 — Underweight — -9.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-29 · GRASS price $0.33225 · BTC $64051
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-05 · GRASS price $0.3013 · BTC $64023.8
vs BTC
-9.3% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-28 — Underweight — -2.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-28 · GRASS price $0.32435 · BTC $63644.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-04 · GRASS price $0.3162 · BTC $63558.1
vs BTC
-2.4% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-27 — Underweight — -7.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-27 · GRASS price $0.35055 · BTC $65216
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-03 · GRASS price $0.3159 · BTC $63435.7
vs BTC
-7.4% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-26 — Underweight — -6.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-26 · GRASS price $0.34085 · BTC $64416
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-02 · GRASS price $0.3124 · BTC $62914.5
vs BTC
-6.2% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-24 — Underweight — -12.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-24 · GRASS price $0.36055 · BTC $64928
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-31 · GRASS price $0.3157 · BTC $64779.5
vs BTC
-12.2% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Neutral → Underweight
2026-07-23 — Neutral — -12.8% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-23 · GRASS price $0.37155 · BTC $66209
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-30 · GRASS price $0.3135 · BTC $64044.7
vs BTC
-12.8% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-22 — Neutral — -7.1% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-22 · GRASS price $0.36805 · BTC $65937.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-29 · GRASS price $0.33225 · BTC $64051
vs BTC
-7.1% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →

The evidence
Bull evidence
Bear evidence ✓ aligns with this verdict
Market state

coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read

Price
Price at verdict$0.3157 +0.9% 24h
60d high0.6032 -47.6%
60d low0.3019 +4.7%
RSI(14)36.6
vs 200d SMA -7.6%
30d change -32.3%
Funding (net) +0.86 bp/8h
Fear & Greed25 · Extreme Fear
Long accounts53.5% long

snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 4 exchanges

Read this ruling three ways

Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.

The Deliberation
LV
Bull Research (Leo Vance)
VS
MF
Bear Research (Mara Frost)
!
THE RISKS — is the uncertainty laid out?

Invalidation: The bearish ruling is invalidated by a sustained move above $0.3175 accompanied by RSI(14) rising above 50.

⚔ Key clashes
LV
Bull Research (Leo Vance)
MF
Bear Research (Mara Frost)
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
LV
Bull Research (Leo Vance)
MF
Bear Research (Mara Frost)
TO
Positioning Desk (Theo Okafor)
DV
Macro Desk (Dmitri Volkov)
JA
Risk Committee · Final Ruling
Chief Adjudicator (Aldrich)
DirectionBearish
ConfidenceMedium
HorizonWeeks (swing)
Key support$0.3019
Key resistance$0.3175
InvalidationThe bearish ruling is invalidated by a sustained move above $0.3175 accompanied by RSI(14) rising above 50.
Main risksrebound from Extreme Fear at 25bullish SMA50/SMA200 structureheadline-driven rally toward $0.60
KOL Settlement Seat
Calls on record: 0 up · 0 down

Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind

Analyst notes
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)

I’m Kai Nakamura. GRASS is below SMA20 by 11.0%, below SMA50 by 23.1%, and below SMA200 by 7.6%; RSI(14) at 36.6 is weak but not deeply oversold. The bullish SMA50-versus-SMA200 structure at +20.1% and contracting MACD histogram are the only meaningful counterweights. Direction: bearish; evidence families: trend positioning, RSI, MACD, moving-average structure, support/resistance; conflicts: bullish long-term moving-average structure versus weak price trend and momentum; sufficiency: adequate.

Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)

I’m Sofia Reyes. Fear&Greed at 25 signals Extreme Fear, while 53.5% of long accounts and a 1.15 long/short ratio show traders are still leaning long into the damage. Taker buy/sell at 0.87 confirms sellers currently have the sharper teeth. Direction: bearish; evidence families: Fear&Greed, account positioning, taker flow; conflicts: extreme fear can fuel a rebound, but long bias and sub-1.0 taker flow favor further pressure; sufficiency: adequate.

Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)

I’m Ed Walsh. The local headlines pitch a rally toward $0.60 and a comeback after a reported 25% jump, but those are promotional narratives rather than confirmed catalysts in this data pack. Broader market headlines are risk-off: Strategy booked an $8.2 billion Q2 loss on bitcoin weakness, while Coinbase fell 5% after missing revenue estimates.

Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)

I’m Priya Anand. This pack provides no token-supply, unlock, adoption, revenue, or valuation figures, so I won’t dress a price forecast up as fundamental analysis. The available evidence is market behavior: GRASS is $0.3157, 47.6% below the 60-day high, and only 4.7% above the 60-day low.

Provenance
Report fingerprint
318938aae9edd2bf784956d59cee3dc5afe3f63a53afe1f0e89320086933c0c9
UTC date
2026-07-31
Chain head
aaad93392449382ba620b10dc23d021a0aee68e412ac495be7026415dc708c27

Committed 2026-08-01T00:20:00+00:00 · 100 rulings that day · Check the chain

SHA-256 of this report as stored. It is the exact value committed to that day's chain — recompute it yourself and compare.

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