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GRASS / The Verdict

generated 2026-07-23 00:59 UTC
$0.37
-0.69% · 24h
price as of 2026-07-23 00:59 UTC
Price source
📜 Archived verdict of 2026-07-23 — latest verdict → GRASS
The Verdict
Hold

Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.

GRASS holds above $0.3077 support, but momentum is still trapped below the 20-day average

⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-07-23 00:59 UTC

Technicalsignal strength Mixed C
Measures how strong the directional signal from price structure is. An analyst lists independent evidence families (trend, momentum, structure) from the data pack; code converts the count to a letter — 3+ families with no conflict = A+, 2 = B, 1 = D; conflicting evidence caps the grade at C; insufficient information gets no grade at all. The letter is signal strength — direction is shown separately. (evidence_rule_v1) full scales →
Sentimentsignal strength Bearish C
Same scale as Technical, applied to crowd evidence — fear/greed, positioning, and flow. 3+ independent evidence families with no conflict = A+, 2 = B, 1 = D; conflicts cap at C; not enough information, no grade. The letter says how loud the crowd signal is, not which way price will go. (evidence_rule_v1) full scales →
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction Longs pay A
Measures perpetual funding-rate pressure — risk, not direction. The smaller the 8-hour normalized rate, the calmer the market: under 0.5 bp = A+, then A, B, C, D as pressure grows, F beyond 10 bp (extreme crowding). Who pays (longs or shorts) is shown separately. Read A+ as “calm”, never as “bullish”. (funding_rule_v1) full scales →
KOL Consensussettled-record quality Archive building
Measures the quality and strength of on-record KOL consensus. Only authors with 20+ settled calls count. The majority share sets the base letter (85%+ = A+ down to 55%+ = D), but few qualified authors cap it — under 5 authors we show the direction and withhold the grade while the record builds. (kol_rule_v1) full scales →

Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.

Track record
12W–4L–3P · 5 neutral · since 2026-07-22
95% CI 50.5–89.8% · n=16 · early sample
2026-09-01 — Overweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-08
2026-08-31 — Overweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-07
2026-08-30 — Overweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-06
2026-08-29 — Overweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-05
stance change · Neutral → Overweight
2026-08-28 — Neutral · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-04
stance change · Overweight → Neutral
2026-08-27 — Overweight — — — VOID
stance change · Underweight → Overweight
2026-08-26 — Underweight — — — VOID
stance change · Neutral → Underweight
2026-08-25 — Neutral — -1.3% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-25 · GRASS price $0.3649 · BTC $78968.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-09-01 · GRASS price $0.35905 · BTC $78717.1
vs BTC
-1.3% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Overweight → Neutral
2026-08-24 — Overweight — +4.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-24 · GRASS price $0.3513 · BTC $77645.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-31 · GRASS price $0.3673 · BTC $77473.2
vs BTC
+4.8% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Underweight → Overweight
2026-08-23 — Underweight — +19.8% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-23 · GRASS price $0.301 · BTC $77094.1
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-30 · GRASS price $0.3656 · BTC $78171.7
vs BTC
+19.8% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Overweight → Underweight
2026-08-22 — Overweight — — — VOID
stance change · Neutral → Overweight
2026-08-21 — Neutral — +7.1% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-21 · GRASS price $0.3085 · BTC $73322.8
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-28 · GRASS price $0.36135 · BTC $80168.1
vs BTC
+7.1% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Underweight → Neutral
2026-08-19 — Underweight — — — VOID
stance change · Neutral → Underweight
2026-08-16 — Neutral — -25.5% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-16 · GRASS price $0.3305 · BTC $63070.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-23 · GRASS price $0.301 · BTC $77094.1
vs BTC
-25.5% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Underweight → Neutral
2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — -18.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-14 · GRASS price $0.32895 · BTC $63504.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-21 · GRASS price $0.3085 · BTC $73322.8
vs BTC
-18.8% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-13 — Underweight — -13.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-13 · GRASS price $0.30905 · BTC $63588.5
Settled (T+8d)
2026-08-21 · GRASS price $0.3085 · BTC $73322.8
vs BTC
-13.4% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-12 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-11 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Underweight — +12.9% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-09 · GRASS price $0.3015 · BTC $64963.4
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-16 · GRASS price $0.3305 · BTC $63070.5
vs BTC
+12.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-08 — Underweight — +10.3% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-08 · GRASS price $0.30285 · BTC $64896.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-15 · GRASS price $0.3244 · BTC $63021.6
vs BTC
+10.3% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-07 — Underweight — +10.4% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-07 · GRASS price $0.3021 · BTC $64381
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-14 · GRASS price $0.32895 · BTC $63504.5
vs BTC
+10.4% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-06 — Underweight — +2.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-06 · GRASS price $0.3067 · BTC $64604.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-13 · GRASS price $0.30905 · BTC $63588.5
vs BTC
+2.4% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-05 — Underweight — +1.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-05 · GRASS price $0.3013 · BTC $64023.8
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-12 · GRASS price $0.304 · BTC $63546
vs BTC
+1.7% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-04 — Underweight — -7.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-04 · GRASS price $0.3162 · BTC $63558.1
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-11 · GRASS price $0.29415 · BTC $63941.5
vs BTC
-7.5% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-03 — Underweight — -9.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-03 · GRASS price $0.3159 · BTC $63435.7
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-10 · GRASS price $0.29415 · BTC $65054
vs BTC
-9.2% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-02 — Underweight — -6.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-02 · GRASS price $0.3124 · BTC $62914.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-09 · GRASS price $0.3015 · BTC $64963.4
vs BTC
-6.5% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-31 — Underweight — -5.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-31 · GRASS price $0.3157 · BTC $63805
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-07 · GRASS price $0.3021 · BTC $64381
vs BTC
-5.2% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-30 — Underweight — -3.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-30 · GRASS price $0.3135 · BTC $64044.7
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-06 · GRASS price $0.3067 · BTC $64604.5
vs BTC
-3.0% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-29 — Underweight — -9.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-29 · GRASS price $0.33225 · BTC $64051
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-05 · GRASS price $0.3013 · BTC $64023.8
vs BTC
-9.3% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-28 — Underweight — -2.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-28 · GRASS price $0.32435 · BTC $63644.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-04 · GRASS price $0.3162 · BTC $63558.1
vs BTC
-2.4% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-27 — Underweight — -7.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-27 · GRASS price $0.35055 · BTC $65216
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-03 · GRASS price $0.3159 · BTC $63435.7
vs BTC
-7.4% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-26 — Underweight — -6.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-26 · GRASS price $0.34085 · BTC $64416
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-02 · GRASS price $0.3124 · BTC $62914.5
vs BTC
-6.2% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-24 — Underweight — -12.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-24 · GRASS price $0.36055 · BTC $64928
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-31 · GRASS price $0.3157 · BTC $64779.5
vs BTC
-12.2% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Neutral → Underweight
2026-07-23 — Neutral — -12.8% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-23 · GRASS price $0.37155 · BTC $66209
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-30 · GRASS price $0.3135 · BTC $64044.7
vs BTC
-12.8% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-22 — Neutral — -7.1% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-22 · GRASS price $0.36805 · BTC $65937.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-29 · GRASS price $0.33225 · BTC $64051
vs BTC
-7.1% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →

The evidence
Bull evidence
Bear evidence
Market state

coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read

Price
Price at verdict$0.37155 -0.7% 24h
60d high0.6245 -40.4%
60d low0.3077 +20.9%
RSI(14)43.3
vs 200d SMA +8.5%
30d change -11.6%
Funding (net) +0.86 bp/8h
Fear & Greed31 · Fear
Long accounts52.4% long

snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 4 exchanges

Read this ruling three ways

Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.

The Deliberation
LV
Bull Research (Leo Vance)
VS
MF
Bear Research (Mara Frost)
!
THE RISKS — is the uncertainty laid out?

Invalidation: The bearish ruling is invalidated by a sustained move above $0.389 with RSI(14) above 50.

⚔ Key clashes
LV
Bull Research (Leo Vance)
MF
Bear Research (Mara Frost)
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
LV
Bull Research (Leo Vance)
MF
Bear Research (Mara Frost)
TO
Positioning Desk (Theo Okafor)
DV
Macro Desk (Dmitri Volkov)
JA
Risk Committee · Final Ruling
Chief Adjudicator (Aldrich)
DirectionBearish
ConfidenceMedium
HorizonWeeks (swing)
Key support$0.3077
Key resistance$0.389
InvalidationThe bearish ruling is invalidated by a sustained move above $0.389 with RSI(14) above 50.
Main risksAI revenue-capture governance voteshort squeeze from fear at 31no funding-rate data
KOL Settlement Seat
Calls on record: 0 up · 0 down

Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind

Analyst notes
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)

Direction: mixed. Evidence families: RSI 43.3, price 7.2% below SMA20 and 10.3% below SMA50, price 8.5% above SMA200, bullish SMA50/SMA200 spread of 20.9%, contracting MACD histogram. Conflicts: short- and medium-term weakness versus a bullish long-term moving-average structure. Sufficiency: adequate.

Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)

Direction: bearish-leaning. Evidence families: Fear&Greed 31, long accounts 52.4% with L/S ratio 1.10, taker buy/sell 1.05. Conflicts: fear is elevated, but positioning is only modestly long and takers slightly favor buying. Sufficiency: adequate.

Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)

The strongest GRASS-specific headline is economic rather than promotional: AI customers reportedly generate $33M per year, with a governance vote on revenue capture scheduled for July 7. Other coverage includes an 11% rally allegedly occurring on falling volume, which flags volatility rather than durable demand; the broader Crypto Clarity Act headlines add regulatory noise without a direct GRASS catalyst.

Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)

The reported $33M annual AI-customer revenue gives GRASS a concrete usage narrative, but the data pack provides no token-supply, valuation, revenue-distribution, or vote-outcome figures. The July 7 governance vote is therefore a potential catalyst, not yet evidence of realized token value capture.

Provenance
Report fingerprint
97b3c8b2db9df6846b92b063c35e1a1565597d4c20e366091488f5654ca3f30d
UTC date
2026-07-23
Chain head
8624d818ee7811d0e765aa63f60423eb1e28fec5823b0c3f5024085df84084a2

Committed 2026-07-24T10:21:07+00:00 · 100 rulings that day · Check the chain

SHA-256 of this report as stored. It is the exact value committed to that day's chain — recompute it yourself and compare.

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