ETC / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
ETC at $6.781 faces a bearish structure: 22.7% below its SMA200
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-07-20 07:25 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Shorts pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-28 — Neutral — -3.6% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-27 — Overweight — -5.2% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-26 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-25 — Overweight — -6.3% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-24 — Neutral — -8.0% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-23 — Underweight — -7.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-22 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-21 — Underweight — +2.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-20 — Underweight — +4.4% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-19 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-16 — Underweight — +5.5% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-13 — Underweight — -2.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-12 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-11 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Underweight — -1.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-08 — Underweight — -1.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-07 — Underweight — -2.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-06 — Underweight — -3.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-05 — Underweight — -1.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-04 — Underweight — -3.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-03 — Underweight — -4.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-02 — Underweight — -3.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-01 — Underweight — -5.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-31 — Underweight — -4.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-30 — Underweight — -2.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-29 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-28 — Underweight — -2.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-27 — Underweight — -4.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-26 — Underweight — -0.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-25 — Underweight — +3.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-24 — Underweight — -1.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-23 — Underweight — -0.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-22 — Underweight — -0.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-21 — Underweight — -0.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-20 — Underweight — +2.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-19 — Underweight — -3.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-17 — Underweight — -3.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-16 — Underweight — -3.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-15 — Neutral — -2.8% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions
Invalidation: A sustained move above the $6.981 session high accompanied by RSI above 50 would invalidate the bearish ruling.. Cautious read: a break below $6.42 voids this research. Confidence High — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, that “spark” is microscopic and contracting, while your exhaustion case ignores the tape: ETC is down 9.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo, that “spark” is microscopic and contracting, while your exhaustion case ignores the tape: ETC is down 9. Key support to defend sits near $6.42. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’ll concede the ugliest number, Mara: ETC is 22.7% beneath the SMA200. But RSI at 39.4 is already washed down, and the MACD histogram is still positive at +0.005669; that’s a spark in a soaked market, yet sparks can start reversals. The 60-day low at $6.416 is only 5.7% below price, so the downside may be crowded and close to exhaustion.
Leo, that “spark” is microscopic and contracting, while your exhaustion case ignores the tape: ETC is down 9.0% over 30 days and sellers outpace buyers with a 0.89 taker ratio. A price sitting below every major average, with SMA50 18.6% below SMA200, isn’t a coiled spring—it’s a broken escalator.
· Fear-driven short squeeze
· Broad crypto-market reversal
· Support failure below $6.416
Invalidation: A sustained move above the $6.981 session high accompanied by RSI above 50 would invalidate the bearish ruling.
Mara, fear at 29 and RSI 39.4 are not fresh downside fuel; they’re evidence the market has already punished ETC.
Leo, punishment is not a reversal signal. The 24-hour loss is still 2.586%, and the contracting +0.005669 MACD histogram gives buyers no follow-through.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, fear at 29 and RSI 39.4 are not fresh downside fuel; they’re evidence the market has already punished ETC.
Leo, punishment is not a reversal signal. The 24-hour loss is still 2.586%, and the contracting +0.005669 MACD histogram gives buyers no follow-through.
I’m with Mara on positioning: 57.9% of long accounts and a 1.38 L/S ratio mean the crowd is leaning the wrong way, while takers sell at 0.89.
And the macro tape is hostile—bitcoin is under $64,000 as oil bounces and the AI selloff lingers. ETC needs liquidity to lift, and this pack shows pressure instead.
I award the ruling to the bears, based on the decisive exhibit that ETC trades 22.7% below its SMA200 while the SMA50/SMA200 structure is bearish. I overturn that ruling only if RSI recovers above 50 and price reclaims the $6.981 session high.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
Kai Nakamura: Bearish. ETC sits 3.4% below SMA20, 5.0% below SMA50, and 22.7% below SMA200; SMA50 is 18.6% under SMA200. RSI is 39.4 and MACD histogram is barely positive at +0.005669, so the bounce engine is sputtering.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Sofia Reyes: Bearish. Fear&Greed is 29, while 57.9% of long accounts and a 1.38 long/short ratio show traders still leaning into the drawdown. Taker buy/sell at 0.89 confirms sellers are dictating the tape.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
Ed Walsh: Headlines offer no durable ETC catalyst. A reported 3.1% rise during a broad crypto rally is less impressive beside the market backdrop of bitcoin below $64,000 and an ongoing AI-led selloff.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
Priya Anand: The data pack provides no fresh token-economics or network-fundamental catalyst. The available ETC-specific coverage is headline-driven, while price remains 28.6% below the 60-day high of $9.496.
1d83478d2500ed3ed3e097a018d0d77a6d1199d54aa3fd28439f7dbdb9107489bb295d7aae9e558a346e804945fde08e4613bfb70347c2a2bf2fe08f555e4fc6Committed 2026-07-24T10:21:07+00:00 · 67 rulings that day · Check the chain
SHA-256 of this report as stored. It is the exact value committed to that day's chain — recompute it yourself and compare.
2026-09-05 · 2026-09-01 · 2026-08-31 · 2026-08-30 · 2026-08-28 · 2026-08-27 · 2026-08-26 · 2026-08-25 · 2026-08-24