ETC / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
ETC trades at $6.952 with the 200-day trend still 21.4% overhead
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-07-17 00:26 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Longs pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-28 — Neutral — -3.6% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-27 — Overweight — -5.2% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-26 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-25 — Overweight — -6.3% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-24 — Neutral — -8.0% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-23 — Underweight — -7.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-22 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-21 — Underweight — +2.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-20 — Underweight — +4.4% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-19 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-16 — Underweight — +5.5% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-13 — Underweight — -2.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-12 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-11 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Underweight — -1.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-08 — Underweight — -1.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-07 — Underweight — -2.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-06 — Underweight — -3.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-05 — Underweight — -1.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-04 — Underweight — -3.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-03 — Underweight — -4.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-02 — Underweight — -3.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-01 — Underweight — -5.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-31 — Underweight — -4.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-30 — Underweight — -2.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-29 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-28 — Underweight — -2.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-27 — Underweight — -4.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-26 — Underweight — -0.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-25 — Underweight — +3.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-24 — Underweight — -1.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-23 — Underweight — -0.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-22 — Underweight — -0.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-21 — Underweight — -0.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-20 — Underweight — +2.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-19 — Underweight — -3.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-17 — Underweight — -3.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-16 — Underweight — -3.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-15 — Neutral — -2.8% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions
Invalidation: The bearish ruling is invalidated by a sustained break above $9.496 with RSI(14) above 50.. Cautious read: a break below $6.42 voids this research. Confidence High — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, that +0.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo, that +0. Key support to defend sits near $6.42. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’ll concede the ugliest number: ETC sits 21.4% below its SMA200, and that’s a heavy ceiling. But RSI at 44.4 isn’t capitulation, and the positive MACD histogram at +0.01693 says the engine is still firing; with Fear&Greed at 27, the bad news looks stale and crowded.
Leo, that +0.01693 MACD histogram is shrinking, not accelerating—it’s a candle flicker beneath a collapsing long-term structure. Price is below every major average, down 4.9% over 30 days, and the supposed fear is compromised by 57.3% long accounts; that’s hopium wearing a bearish mask.
· Fear-driven rebound from $6.416
· Broad institutional crypto inflows
· Short-term MACD recovery
Invalidation: The bearish ruling is invalidated by a sustained break above $9.496 with RSI(14) above 50.
Mara, the 60-day low at $6.416 is still 8.4% below spot, so sellers haven’t broken the floor. I’m buying the asymmetry from depressed sentiment.
Leo, proximity to support isn’t support holding; a 1.4% weekly decline and taker buy/sell at 0.97 show buyers aren’t taking control. Your asymmetry disappears below $6.416.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, the 60-day low at $6.416 is still 8.4% below spot, so sellers haven’t broken the floor. I’m buying the asymmetry from depressed sentiment.
Leo, proximity to support isn’t support holding; a 1.4% weekly decline and taker buy/sell at 0.97 show buyers aren’t taking control. Your asymmetry disappears below $6.416.
I’m siding with Mara on positioning: a 1.34 long/short account ratio leaves a long-heavy crowd vulnerable, while no funding data is available to prove shorts are paying for this pressure.
And I don’t see a liquidity-specific ETC bid in these headlines. T. Rowe Price, Visa, and exchange investment may broaden crypto’s tide, but ETC is still drifting beneath its long-term averages.
I award the ruling to the bears, and the decisive exhibit is ETC’s 21.4% discount to the SMA200 alongside the bearish SMA50/SMA200 structure. I would overturn this view only if ETC reclaims and holds $9.496, the 60-day high, with RSI(14) above 50.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
Direction: bearish. Evidence families: RSI(14) 44.4; price below SMA20 by 1.1%, SMA50 by 3.6%, and SMA200 by 21.4%; bearish SMA50/SMA200 structure; MACD histogram +0.01693 but contracting. Conflicts: mildly positive MACD histogram. Sufficiency: adequate.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Direction: bearish. Evidence families: Fear&Greed 27; long accounts 57.3% with L/S ratio 1.34; taker buy/sell 0.97. Conflicts: crowd is already fearful, which can support a contrarian bounce. Sufficiency: adequate.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
The headlines point to institutional crypto expansion—from T. Rowe Price’s multi-token ETF to Visa’s stablecoin platform—but none names ETC or supplies a direct catalyst. Broad adoption headlines are backdrop, not a coin-specific rescue.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
The data pack offers no ETC-specific issuance, usage, development, or valuation metrics. The institutional and payments headlines may lift the sector, but they do not establish fundamental demand for ETC.
d12e6d1c9079d223552c7a648df4e1fdd83c4feb94c170023b7ba0811410bacf70e6e12fe78524df5289beb80d3f4382c89c73b1c7a527091a8c313a2bcf59adCommitted 2026-07-24T10:21:07+00:00 · 67 rulings that day · Check the chain
SHA-256 of this report as stored. It is the exact value committed to that day's chain — recompute it yourself and compare.
2026-09-05 · 2026-09-01 · 2026-08-31 · 2026-08-30 · 2026-08-28 · 2026-08-27 · 2026-08-26 · 2026-08-25 · 2026-08-24