PENGU / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
PENGU hovers just 5.6% above the 60d low of 0.005554 as bearish momentum accelerates.
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-07-30 02:17 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Shorts pay
B
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-09-01 — Neutral — — — VOID
2026-08-31 — Neutral — — — VOID
2026-08-30 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-28 — Neutral — — — VOID
2026-08-27 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-26 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-25 — Overweight — -12.8% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-24 — Overweight — -9.3% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-23 — Neutral — +6.7% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-22 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-21 — Overweight — +14.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-20 — Overweight — +28.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-19 — Neutral — — — VOID
2026-08-16 — Underweight — +14.2% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Neutral — +3.4% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-13 — Neutral — -5.5% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-12 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-11 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Neutral — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Overweight — -1.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-08 — Underweight — +4.0% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-07 — Underweight — +5.7% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-06 — Underweight — +2.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Underweight — +6.6% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Underweight — +5.3% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-03 — Underweight — +5.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Underweight — +1.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Underweight — -3.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Underweight — -2.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Underweight — +4.2% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Underweight — +2.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Underweight — +3.9% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Underweight — -1.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Underweight — -0.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Underweight — -0.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Underweight — -4.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Underweight — -2.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 5 exchanges
Invalidation: Price breaks and closes above 0.005872.. Cautious read: a break below $0.005554 voids this research. Confidence Medium — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: That 'floor' is actually a trap door, Leo.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Days (momentum).
Bold case: That 'floor' is actually a trap door, Leo. Key support to defend sits near $0.005554. Horizon: Days (momentum).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
Mara, you're staring at the -22.5% drop from the SMA200 and missing the floor. We're sitting just 5.6% above the 60d low of 0.005554, a level that has historically acted like a magnet for dip buyers looking for a dead cat bounce.
That 'floor' is actually a trap door, Leo. The MACD histogram is expanding negatively, and with the price down -3.4% over the last week, there is zero momentum to support a bounce off that support.
· Sudden volume spike at 60d low
· Positive ETF headline catalyst
· Short squeeze from low long accounts
Invalidation: Price breaks and closes above 0.005872.
You're ignoring the Fear & Greed index sitting at 28, Mara. When the crowd is this fearful, the squeeze potential is massive if we just hold the 0.005554 line.
Fear isn't a catalyst for a rally, it's a symptom of distribution. The taker buy/sell ratio is 0.79—sellers are hitting every bid you imagine exists.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
You're ignoring the Fear & Greed index sitting at 28, Mara. When the crowd is this fearful, the squeeze potential is massive if we just hold the 0.005554 line.
Fear isn't a catalyst for a rally, it's a symptom of distribution. The taker buy/sell ratio is 0.79—sellers are hitting every bid you imagine exists.
But the long accounts are only 40.9%! There's plenty of dry powder on the sidelines to absorb that selling if the narrative shifts.
If they wanted in, they'd be buying. Instead, price is -7.3% below the SMA50. The lack of interest is the story, not the potential.
I side with the bears. The decisive exhibit is the expanding negative MACD histogram, which confirms that selling pressure is intensifying rather than exhausting. A break below the 60d low of 0.005554 would invalidate any near-term bullish thesis.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
Price action is weak, sitting -22.5% below the SMA200. The MACD histogram is expanding negatively, and the RSI at 42.7 lacks bullish divergence to signal a reversal.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Fear dominates with a score of 28. Long accounts are down to 40.9%, and the taker buy/sell ratio of 0.79 confirms persistent selling pressure.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
Headlines focus on price struggles following the comic debut and ETF review delays. The Visa card news failed to sustain a bid, suggesting narrative fatigue.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
Tokenomics data is absent from the pack, preventing a full valuation assessment.
7a3637cf1d6240c7f82f045a257671c1bb26975357f8b7661eaef64948d5d39daa060d7030c0f8a7ef90b4eff282d9df7889a97182b9445afd6aba086b7e303cCommitted 2026-07-31T00:20:00+00:00 · 100 rulings that day · Check the chain
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2026-09-01 · 2026-08-31 · 2026-08-30 · 2026-08-28 · 2026-08-27 · 2026-08-26 · 2026-08-25 · 2026-08-24 · 2026-08-23