DOGE / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
DOGE sits at $0.06971 with RSI 43.2 and a 23.9% discount to its SMA200
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-08-11 00:16 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Longs pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-04 — Underweight — -1.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-03 — Underweight — -3.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-02 — Underweight — -2.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-01 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-31 — Underweight — -2.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-30 — Underweight — -1.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-29 — Underweight — -1.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-28 — Underweight — -0.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-27 — Underweight — -1.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-26 — Underweight — -1.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-25 — Underweight — +1.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-24 — Underweight — +2.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-23 — Underweight — -0.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-22 — Underweight — +0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-21 — Underweight — +0.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-20 — Underweight — +0.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-19 — Underweight — -0.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-17 — Underweight — -6.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-16 — Underweight — -3.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-15 — Neutral — -3.4% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-14 — Neutral — — — VOID
graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 5 exchanges
Invalidation: The bearish ruling is overturned by a sustained move above $0.09088, the 60-day high.. Cautious read: a break below $0.0676 voids this research. Confidence Medium — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, that MACD flicker is a candle in a storm, not a trend reversal.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo, that MACD flicker is a candle in a storm, not a trend reversal. Key support to defend sits near $0.0676. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’ll concede the ugly exhibit: DOGE is 23.9% below its SMA200 and the 60-day high at $0.09088 is a distant ridge. But RSI at 43.2 is not capitulation, and the expanding MACD histogram at +0.0002129 says the engine is trying to relight; with price only 3.1% above $0.0676 support, the bearish damage is stale and a snapback has room.
Leo, that MACD flicker is a candle in a storm, not a trend reversal. Your own $0.0676 support is only 3.1% beneath $0.06971, while price remains below every listed moving average and the SMA50 sits 20.8% under the SMA200—a structure that makes the rebound thesis fragile.
I think the bearish ruling leaves upside underpriced: RSI is only 43.2, MACD histogram is expanding at +0.0002129, and $0.0676 is just 3.1% below spot. The shown record also favors underweight calls, with 1 WIN and 0 LOSS, but that history can reverse quickly on a rebound.
The fastest failure is a clean break of $0.0676. That would turn the only nearby support into a trap, while 73.2% long accounts and a 0.90 taker buy/sell ratio show how much hopeful demand can unwind.
Leo overreached by treating a positive MACD histogram as a reversal; Mara overreached only if she assumes support must fail. The deciding condition is whether DOGE holds $0.0676 or loses it decisively.
· MACD rebound at +0.0002129
· support failure below $0.0676
· inflation-data-driven crypto relief rally
Invalidation: The bearish ruling is overturned by a sustained move above $0.09088, the 60-day high.
Mara, the 60-day low at $0.0676 has held close enough to matter, and RSI 43.2 leaves room before exhaustion. A market that cannot extend the breakdown can punish late bears.
Leo, holding 3.1% above support is not strength when the 7-day return is -0.5% and the 30-day return is -4.2%. The chart still slopes toward the floor.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, the 60-day low at $0.0676 has held close enough to matter, and RSI 43.2 leaves room before exhaustion. A market that cannot extend the breakdown can punish late bears.
Leo, holding 3.1% above support is not strength when the 7-day return is -0.5% and the 30-day return is -4.2%. The chart still slopes toward the floor.
I’m siding with Mara on crowd mechanics: 73.2% long accounts against a 0.90 taker buy/sell ratio is a lopsided optimism setup. Funding is absent, so I won’t invent a crowding premium, but the flow evidence is plainly defensive.
And the macro backdrop is hardly friendly: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, and DOGE were all reported sliding ahead of inflation data. Leo’s rebound needs liquidity; the pack gives me a catalyst risk instead.
I rule for the bearish side. The decisive exhibit is the bearish moving-average stack: DOGE is 23.9% below SMA200 while SMA50 is 20.8% below SMA200, and the 60-day low at $0.0676 is the immediate fault line. My ruling is invalidated by a sustained break above the SMA20 implied by the current -0.7% gap, or more concretely by a move above the $0.09088 60-day high.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
Bearish. Evidence families: moving-average structure, RSI, MACD, support/resistance, multi-period returns. Price is below SMA20, SMA50, and SMA200; the expanding MACD histogram is the lone counterpunch. Direction: bearish. Conflicts: MACD histogram +0.0002129. Sufficiency: adequate.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Bearish. Evidence families: fear gauge, account positioning, taker flow, social sample. Fear & Greed is 29, 73.2% of accounts are long, and taker buy/sell is 0.90—fear underneath, optimism crowded on top. Direction: bearish. Conflicts: StockTwits shows 18 bullish versus 7 bearish posts. Sufficiency: adequate.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
Headlines frame DOGE as part of a broader crypto slide ahead of crucial inflation data, while one StockTwits item touts relative outperformance. That is headline oxygen, not a catalyst: the macro tape still points to risk sensitivity.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
DOGE remains a meme-driven asset with no fresh token-economics catalyst in the data pack. The ETF inclusion defense from T. Rowe Price supports the category narrative, but it does not offset DOGE trading 23.9% below its SMA200.
2d75cd6d3c9e94d94be5c3fb3fa258221834a12f7d5f3c0d10bafc903d0fc4282c8e61ed9717fc037f2346806fbddf89aba5fc9628deaa1b4eb639daad8c0736Committed 2026-08-12T00:20:00+00:00 · 92 rulings that day · Check the chain
SHA-256 of this report as stored. It is the exact value committed to that day's chain — recompute it yourself and compare.
2026-08-12 · 2026-08-10 · 2026-08-08 · 2026-08-07 · 2026-08-06 · 2026-08-05 · 2026-08-04 · 2026-08-03