DOGE / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
DOGE trades at $0.07404 with bearish moving averages and RSI 41.3
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-07-16 00:17 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Longs pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-28 — Neutral — -4.0% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-27 — Neutral — -3.9% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-26 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-25 — Underweight — -7.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-24 — Underweight — -10.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-23 — Underweight — -8.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-22 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-21 — Neutral — +0.2% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-20 — Overweight — +2.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-16 — Underweight — +8.5% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — +0.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-13 — Underweight — -1.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-12 — Underweight — -4.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-11 — Underweight — -0.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-08 — Underweight — +3.5% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-07 — Underweight — +3.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-06 — Underweight — +1.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Underweight — +3.7% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Underweight — -1.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-03 — Underweight — -3.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Underweight — -2.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Underweight — -2.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Underweight — -1.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Underweight — -1.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Underweight — -0.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Underweight — -1.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Underweight — -1.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-25 — Underweight — +1.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Underweight — +2.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Underweight — -0.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Underweight — +0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-21 — Underweight — +0.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-20 — Underweight — +0.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-19 — Underweight — -0.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-17 — Underweight — -6.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-16 — Underweight — -3.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-15 — Neutral — -3.4% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-14 — Neutral — — — VOID
graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions
Invalidation: A decisive close above $0.07424 with RSI above 50 would invalidate the bearish ruling.. Cautious read: a break below $0.06946 voids this research. Confidence High — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, your MACD is a spark in a flooded engine, not a trend reversal.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo, your MACD is a spark in a flooded engine, not a trend reversal. Key support to defend sits near $0.06946. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’ll concede the ugliest number, Mara: DOGE sits 26.0% below its SMA200 and the 60-day high is a distant $0.109. But the expanding positive MACD histogram and a 1.6% seven-day gain say the engine has started coughing back to life, while Extreme Fear at 25 is already pricing in plenty of misery.
Leo, your MACD is a spark in a flooded engine, not a trend reversal. The decisive structure is still bearish: price is 9.5% below SMA50, 26.0% below SMA200, and 72.6% of long accounts are leaning the wrong way while takers sell at a 0.95 ratio.
· MACD histogram expansion
· Extreme Fear contrarian rebound
· Broad institutional blockchain adoption
Invalidation: A decisive close above $0.07424 with RSI above 50 would invalidate the bearish ruling.
Mara, the 60-day low at $0.06946 is only 6.6% below spot, so the downside pocket is defined and nearby. A crowded long book can become fuel if DOGE reclaims the moving-average shelf.
Leo, that same $0.06946 is a magnet, not a shield. With the 30-day return at -15.0% and price still under every major average, your upside case needs a breakout the tape has not supplied.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, the 60-day low at $0.06946 is only 6.6% below spot, so the downside pocket is defined and nearby. A crowded long book can become fuel if DOGE reclaims the moving-average shelf.
Leo, that same $0.06946 is a magnet, not a shield. With the 30-day return at -15.0% and price still under every major average, your upside case needs a breakout the tape has not supplied.
Leo, fear at 25 is notable, but positioning is not washed out: longs hold 72.6% of accounts and the L/S ratio is 2.65. That is fragile optimism wearing a panic mask.
Mara has the regime right: broad blockchain headlines do not equal DOGE liquidity. Until price proves otherwise, a 26.0% discount to SMA200 is the market’s macro verdict.
I rule for the bears, and the single decisive exhibit is DOGE’s 26.0% discount to SMA200 alongside an 18.2% bearish SMA50/SMA200 spread. I would overturn this ruling only if DOGE closes decisively above $0.07424 and RSI reclaims 50.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
DOGE is below SMA50 by 9.5% and below SMA200 by 26.0%, with SMA50 below SMA200 by 18.2%. RSI is 41.3, while the expanding positive MACD histogram offers only a short-term countertrend pulse.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Crowd positioning is dangerously one-sided: 72.6% of long accounts and a 2.65 long/short ratio leave little room for fresh upside fuel. Fear & Greed at 25 and taker buy/sell at 0.95 show fear, but not enough capitulation to validate a durable reversal.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
The headlines split between institutional blockchain adoption and fresh infrastructure failures. DTCC tokenized-securities trading and the Cantor-Securitize collaboration are broad blockchain positives, while the $18 million Ostium exploit reinforces sector-wide risk aversion; neither headline directly improves DOGE demand.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
DOGE remains a high-supply, sentiment-driven asset with no new coin-specific fundamental catalyst in the data pack. The available evidence is therefore dominated by price structure and positioning rather than durable utility or cash-flow fundamentals.
d41fea10f45f993a967a9a5bb1b1f77e98652b4f1d05da28fab6359cddfdb9b46da543ec34b237c483d95fc9d70813ee7d11bb2d47e02a9a1b3e1847a4282badCommitted 2026-07-24T10:21:07+00:00 · 67 rulings that day · Check the chain
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2026-09-05 · 2026-09-01 · 2026-08-31 · 2026-08-30 · 2026-08-28 · 2026-08-27 · 2026-08-26 · 2026-08-25 · 2026-08-24