DOGE / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
DOGE sits at $0.07046 with a bearish moving-average structure and only 3.6% above its 60-day low
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-07-28 00:18 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Longs pay
A+
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-31 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-30 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-28 — Neutral — -4.0% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-27 — Neutral — -3.9% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-26 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-25 — Underweight — -7.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-24 — Underweight — -10.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-23 — Underweight — -8.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-22 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-21 — Neutral — +0.2% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-20 — Overweight — +2.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-16 — Underweight — +8.5% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — +0.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-13 — Underweight — -1.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-12 — Underweight — -4.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-11 — Underweight — -0.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-08 — Underweight — +3.5% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-07 — Underweight — +3.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-06 — Underweight — +1.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Underweight — +3.7% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Underweight — -1.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-03 — Underweight — -3.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Underweight — -2.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Underweight — -2.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Underweight — -1.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Underweight — -1.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Underweight — -0.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Underweight — -1.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Underweight — -1.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-25 — Underweight — +1.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Underweight — +2.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Underweight — -0.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Underweight — +0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-21 — Underweight — +0.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-20 — Underweight — +0.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-19 — Underweight — -0.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-17 — Underweight — -6.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-16 — Underweight — -3.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-15 — Neutral — -3.4% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-14 — Neutral — — — VOID
graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 5 exchanges
Invalidation: A sustained move above $0.07047 with RSI above 50 would overturn the bearish ruling.. Cautious read: a break below $0.06805 voids this research. Confidence High — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: I’m Mara Frost: Leo’s positive MACD print is a thimble of green paint on a collapsing wall.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: I’m Mara Frost: Leo’s positive MACD print is a thimble of green paint on a collapsing wall. Key support to defend sits near $0.06805. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’m Leo Vance: I’ll concede the ugly number—DOGE is 26.6% below SMA200 and sits just 3.6% above $0.06805. But RSI at 40.5 is beaten down rather than capitulation, and the contracting MACD histogram is still positive at +0.0002311; the spring is compressed, not necessarily broken.
I’m Mara Frost: Leo’s positive MACD print is a thimble of green paint on a collapsing wall. Price is below every major average, the SMA50 trails the SMA200 by 20.0%, and takers are selling at 0.89; a tiny positive histogram cannot overrule a trend that has DOGE 30.8% beneath its $0.1018 high.
· short-term bounce from $0.06805
· unexpected Musk-driven catalyst
· broad crypto liquidity rebound
Invalidation: A sustained move above $0.07047 with RSI above 50 would overturn the bearish ruling.
Mara, you’re treating $0.06805 as destiny when it’s only 3.6% away. If that floor holds, a move back toward $0.10 needs barely more than a headline spark.
Leo, the supposed floor has not produced demand, and your $0.10 target is 30.8% above spot. Fear at 29 plus 75.3% long accounts is the classic setup for longs to become exit liquidity.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, you’re treating $0.06805 as destiny when it’s only 3.6% away. If that floor holds, a move back toward $0.10 needs barely more than a headline spark.
Leo, the supposed floor has not produced demand, and your $0.10 target is 30.8% above spot. Fear at 29 plus 75.3% long accounts is the classic setup for longs to become exit liquidity.
I’m Theo Okafor: the 3.05 long/short ratio is the cleanest positioning exhibit here, and it cuts against the bullish squeeze fantasy. With taker buy/sell at 0.89, longs are crowded while aggressive flow is net seller; funding is absent, so I won’t invent a carry signal.
I’m Dmitri Volkov: Bitcoin falling below $64,000 as stocks retreat is the liquidity weather, and DOGE is a high-beta passenger in that storm. The delayed Clarity Act adds no near-term fuel; meme narratives don’t manufacture liquidity.
I’m Judge Aldrich: I rule for the bears, based decisively on DOGE trading 26.6% below SMA200 while the SMA50 sits 20.0% below it. The invalidation is a sustained break above $0.07047 followed by recovery through SMA20, or an RSI move above 50; absent that, $0.06805 is the immediate downside test.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
I’m Kai Nakamura: DOGE trades 2.5% below SMA20, 8.2% below SMA50, and 26.6% below SMA200. RSI is 40.5 and the 50/200-day spread is -20.0%; the chart points lower, with $0.06805 as the line in the sand.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
I’m Sofia Reyes: Fear & Greed at 29 says the crowd is scared, but 75.3% of long accounts and a 3.05 long/short ratio show traders are still leaning long. Taker buy/sell at 0.89 confirms sellers have the immediate psychological edge; this is fearful positioning with crowded optimism underneath.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
I’m Ed Walsh: DOGE headlines are dominated by speculative $0.10 calls and another Elon Musk moon narrative, while the broader tape shows Bitcoin slipping below $64,000 as stocks retreat. The Senate’s delayed Clarity Act is a market-wide policy drag, not a DOGE-specific catalyst.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
I’m Priya Anand: The pack supplies no new token-economics, adoption, or network-usage evidence to offset the chart damage. The actionable fundamental fact here is absence: DOGE’s case is being carried by speculation rather than demonstrated economic improvement.
b39b3d9f3084b84599f8ffaefd6ed580e3bb4523b592122f765bc6dc275ad4c41b179784d8d4e946c4157221c78e88b8ad0a662850703693246f2e057ba3ed4fCommitted 2026-07-29T00:20:00+00:00 · 100 rulings that day · Check the chain
SHA-256 of this report as stored. It is the exact value committed to that day's chain — recompute it yourself and compare.
2026-09-05 · 2026-09-01 · 2026-08-31 · 2026-08-30 · 2026-08-28 · 2026-08-27 · 2026-08-26 · 2026-08-25 · 2026-08-24