CoinVerdict
中文 Scoreboard

ARB / The Verdict

generated 2026-07-14 16:21 UTC
$0.09
-0.39% · 24h
price as of 2026-07-14 16:21 UTC
Price source
📜 Archived verdict of 2026-07-14 — latest verdict → ARB
The Verdict
Neutral

ARB verdict: neutral with limited evidence

⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-07-14 16:21 UTC

Technicalsignal strength Neutral Insufficient data
Measures how strong the directional signal from price structure is. An analyst lists independent evidence families (trend, momentum, structure) from the data pack; code converts the count to a letter — 3+ families with no conflict = A+, 2 = B, 1 = D; conflicting evidence caps the grade at C; insufficient information gets no grade at all. The letter is signal strength — direction is shown separately. (evidence_rule_v1) full scales →
Sentimentsignal strength Mixed Insufficient data
Same scale as Technical, applied to crowd evidence — fear/greed, positioning, and flow. 3+ independent evidence families with no conflict = A+, 2 = B, 1 = D; conflicts cap at C; not enough information, no grade. The letter says how loud the crowd signal is, not which way price will go. (evidence_rule_v1) full scales →
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction Shorts pay A
Measures perpetual funding-rate pressure — risk, not direction. The smaller the 8-hour normalized rate, the calmer the market: under 0.5 bp = A+, then A, B, C, D as pressure grows, F beyond 10 bp (extreme crowding). Who pays (longs or shorts) is shown separately. Read A+ as “calm”, never as “bullish”. (funding_rule_v1) full scales →
KOL Consensussettled-record quality Archive building
Measures the quality and strength of on-record KOL consensus. Only authors with 20+ settled calls count. The majority share sets the base letter (85%+ = A+ down to 55%+ = D), but few qualified authors cap it — under 5 authors we show the direction and withhold the grade while the record builds. (kol_rule_v1) full scales →

Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.

Track record
11W–9L–13P · 3 neutral · since 2026-07-14
95% CI 34.2–74.2% · n=20 · early sample
2026-09-05 — Overweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-12
2026-09-01 — Overweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-08
stance change · Underweight → Overweight
2026-08-31 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-07
2026-08-30 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-06
2026-08-29 — Underweight — +44.9% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-29 · ARB price $0.0885 · BTC $77872.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-09-05 · ARB price $0.13121 · BTC $79665.6
vs BTC
+44.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-28 — Underweight — +42.7% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-28 · ARB price $0.09255 · BTC $80168.1
Settled (T+8d)
2026-09-05 · ARB price $0.13121 · BTC $79665.6
vs BTC
+42.7% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-27 — Underweight — +41.6% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-27 · ARB price $0.0918 · BTC $78922
Settled (T+9d)
2026-09-05 · ARB price $0.13121 · BTC $79665.6
vs BTC
+41.6% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Neutral → Underweight
2026-08-26 — Neutral — — — VOID
stance change · Underweight → Neutral
2026-08-25 — Underweight — +20.5% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-25 · ARB price $0.0969 · BTC $78968.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-09-01 · ARB price $0.11639 · BTC $78717.1
vs BTC
+20.5% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-24 — Underweight — -15.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-24 · ARB price $0.10069 · BTC $77645.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-31 · ARB price $0.0853 · BTC $77473.2
vs BTC
-15.1% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Overweight → Underweight
2026-08-23 — Overweight — -13.9% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-23 · ARB price $0.10011 · BTC $77094.1
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-30 · ARB price $0.08742 · BTC $78171.7
vs BTC
-13.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-22 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-21 — Overweight — -6.8% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-21 · ARB price $0.0908 · BTC $73322.8
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-28 · ARB price $0.09255 · BTC $80168.1
vs BTC
-6.8% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Underweight → Overweight
2026-08-20 — Underweight — -9.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-20 · ARB price $0.08926 · BTC $69631.8
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-27 · ARB price $0.0918 · BTC $78922
vs BTC
-9.3% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — +4.3% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-14 · ARB price $0.0754 · BTC $63504.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-21 · ARB price $0.0908 · BTC $73322.8
vs BTC
+4.3% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-13 — Underweight — +9.9% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-13 · ARB price $0.07417 · BTC $63588.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-20 · ARB price $0.08926 · BTC $69631.8
vs BTC
+9.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-12 — Underweight — +1.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-12 · ARB price $0.08001 · BTC $63546
Settled (T+8d)
2026-08-20 · ARB price $0.08926 · BTC $69631.8
vs BTC
+1.8% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-11 — Underweight — +1.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-11 · ARB price $0.0808 · BTC $63941.5
Settled (T+9d)
2026-08-20 · ARB price $0.08926 · BTC $69631.8
vs BTC
+1.4% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-08 — Underweight — -2.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-08 · ARB price $0.07844 · BTC $64896.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-15 · ARB price $0.07468 · BTC $63021.6
vs BTC
-2.0% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-07 — Underweight — -2.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-07 · ARB price $0.07804 · BTC $64381
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-14 · ARB price $0.0754 · BTC $63504.5
vs BTC
-2.0% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-06 — Underweight — -6.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-06 · ARB price $0.0806 · BTC $64604.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-13 · ARB price $0.07417 · BTC $63588.5
vs BTC
-6.5% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-05 — Underweight — -1.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-05 · ARB price $0.08147 · BTC $64023.8
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-12 · ARB price $0.08001 · BTC $63546
vs BTC
-1.1% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-04 — Underweight — -2.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-04 · ARB price $0.08238 · BTC $63558.1
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-11 · ARB price $0.0808 · BTC $63941.5
vs BTC
-2.5% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-03 — Underweight — -6.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-03 · ARB price $0.0815 · BTC $63435.7
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-10 · ARB price $0.0778 · BTC $65054
vs BTC
-6.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-02 — Underweight — -4.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-02 · ARB price $0.07919 · BTC $62914.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-09 · ARB price $0.0782 · BTC $64963.4
vs BTC
-4.4% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-01 — Underweight — -2.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-01 · ARB price $0.0781 · BTC $62954.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-08 · ARB price $0.07844 · BTC $64896.5
vs BTC
-2.6% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-31 — Underweight — -0.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-31 · ARB price $0.0775 · BTC $63805
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-07 · ARB price $0.07804 · BTC $64381
vs BTC
-0.2% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-30 — Underweight — +1.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-30 · ARB price $0.07892 · BTC $64044.7
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-06 · ARB price $0.0806 · BTC $64604.5
vs BTC
+1.2% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-29 — Underweight — +3.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-29 · ARB price $0.07915 · BTC $64051
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-05 · ARB price $0.08147 · BTC $64023.8
vs BTC
+3.0% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-28 — Underweight — +6.3% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-28 · ARB price $0.0776 · BTC $63644.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-04 · ARB price $0.08238 · BTC $63558.1
vs BTC
+6.3% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-27 — Underweight — +1.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-27 · ARB price $0.08253 · BTC $65216
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-03 · ARB price $0.0815 · BTC $63435.7
vs BTC
+1.5% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-26 — Underweight — -1.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-26 · ARB price $0.08223 · BTC $64416
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-02 · ARB price $0.07919 · BTC $62914.5
vs BTC
-1.4% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-25 — Underweight — -4.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-25 · ARB price $0.0831 · BTC $64141.3
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-01 · ARB price $0.0781 · BTC $62954.5
vs BTC
-4.2% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-24 — Underweight — -9.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-24 · ARB price $0.08606 · BTC $64928
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-31 · ARB price $0.0775 · BTC $64779.5
vs BTC
-9.7% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Neutral → Underweight
2026-07-23 — Neutral — -10.0% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-23 · ARB price $0.09064 · BTC $66209
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-30 · ARB price $0.07892 · BTC $64044.7
vs BTC
-10.0% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Underweight → Neutral
2026-07-22 — Underweight — -9.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-22 · ARB price $0.08973 · BTC $65937.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-29 · ARB price $0.07915 · BTC $64051
vs BTC
-9.2% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Neutral → Underweight
2026-07-21 — Neutral — -12.2% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-21 · ARB price $0.09044 · BTC $65161.4
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-28 · ARB price $0.0776 · BTC $63644.6
vs BTC
-12.2% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Underweight → Neutral
2026-07-20 — Underweight — -6.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-20 · ARB price $0.08593 · BTC $63745.4
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-27 · ARB price $0.08253 · BTC $65216
vs BTC
-6.1% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-19 — Underweight — -6.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-19 · ARB price $0.08812 · BTC $64708.7
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-26 · ARB price $0.08223 · BTC $64416
vs BTC
-6.3% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-17 — Underweight — -5.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-17 · ARB price $0.08939 · BTC $63739.1
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-24 · ARB price $0.08606 · BTC $64928
vs BTC
-5.5% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-16 — Underweight — +1.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-16 · ARB price $0.08768 · BTC $64777.8
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-23 · ARB price $0.09064 · BTC $66209
vs BTC
+1.1% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Neutral → Underweight
2026-07-15 — Neutral — -5.2% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-15 · ARB price $0.09219 · BTC $65000.1
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-22 · ARB price $0.0895 · BTC $66588
vs BTC
-5.2% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-14 — Neutral — — — VOID

graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →

The evidence
Bull evidence

coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read

Price
Price at verdict$0.09214 -0.4% 24h
60d high0.10133 -9.1%
60d low0.0704 +30.9%
RSI(14)61.2

snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions

The Deliberation
LV
Bull Research (Leo Vance)
VS
MF
Bear Research (Mara Frost)
JA
Risk Committee · Final Ruling
Chief Adjudicator (Aldrich)
KOL Settlement Seat
Calls on record: 0 up · 0 down
CoinVerdict — 11W–9L–13P · 95% CI 34.2–74.2% · n=20 · early sample
CryptoMichNL — 0/1 hit on ARB · 95% CI 0.0–79.3% · early sample Verify this settlement
2026-08-29 · ARB None — — MISS
same day, our verdict: Underweight → LOSS

Same yardstick for everyone — Wilson 95% CI, settled facts only. KOL outcomes are transcribed from VeraMind's ledger, not re-graded. · Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind

Analyst notes
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)

ARB is slightly down over 24 hours, while the latest candle recovered from its intraday low; the 30-candle set is insufficient for a reliable trend assessment.

Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)

Sentiment is mixed: cooling U.S. CPI is supportive of risk assets, but the headlines provide no direct ARB-specific catalyst.

Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)

News is broadly focused on stablecoins, Ethereum infrastructure, tokenization, and macro conditions, with no clear ARB-specific development.

Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)

The data pack contains no ARB-specific valuation, adoption, revenue, tokenomics, or ecosystem metrics.

Provenance
Report fingerprint
56882816e6e86a3ed55f4d6b38441c9d030c2fec5102aae2a75b0613ffc01f8e
UTC date
2026-07-14
Chain head
db67f5aa2a2dbcb89b70963c6b527d753ee1390bac3f00ac095ef86bc5140e3d

Committed 2026-07-24T10:21:07+00:00 · 21 rulings that day · Check the chain

SHA-256 of this report as stored. It is the exact value committed to that day's chain — recompute it yourself and compare.

Recent verdicts
Related verdicts