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@MuroCrypto — settled call record

Hit rate · 0 hits · 0 misses · n=0 Archive building (n < 10) avg |move| of hits (absolute, vs USD)

Rate rule: kol_directional_v1 — read the full rule →

Small sample — the interval is wide and the number will move.

In three sentences

What @MuroCrypto has been sayingtechnical trader

AI-distilled — our read of 63 public posts from the last 30 days, not their words. Every line links to the original so you can check us.

If you had followed

Follow the calls, or just hold BTC?

-$20following every call
-$1just holding BTC
-$18the difference

0 live · 16 backtested — never merged into one number.

These dollar figures are carried by backtests — hypothetical performance from applying the same rule to past statements, not a live track record. Live records: 0 / 16.

Each call is an independent $100 position, closed after 7 days — no compounding, no fees, no slippage. How this is scored →

Rating and benchmarks
Rating Sample building (16/20)

Rating rule: kol_rating_v1 — read the full rule →

Directional record
Backtested records
Hit rate: 25% 4 hits · 12 misses · n=16

No prospective calls settled yet — the rate above stays blank until the first one lands. Everything below is backtested.

Settled after the fact from archived posts — the call was already on the record before we scored it, but we were not watching it live. Kept on a separate line and never merged into the prospective hit rate above.

CoinCallWhat they said Relative (ranked) Absolute (vs USD) SettledSource
BTC backtested ↑ Bullish Long into resistance yeah HIT +3.0% +3.0% 2026-08-18T23:30:04.136056+00:00 source post → · verdict →
ETH backtested ↑ Bullish Next week should be green in that case. MISS -1.0% +4.4% 2026-08-18T22:30:16.000918+00:00 source post → · verdict →
BTC backtested ↑ Bullish Next week should be green in that case. HIT +5.4% +5.4% 2026-08-18T22:30:15.968848+00:00 source post → · verdict →
BTC backtested ↑ Bullish Not gonna take this long before it breaks the resistance and retests HIT +4.3% +4.3% 2026-08-18T22:30:15.793818+00:00 source post → · verdict →
SUI backtested ↑ Bullish I stay long. MISS -14.1% -20.0% 2026-08-18T22:00:23.946816+00:00 source post → · verdict →
SUI backtested ↑ Bullish I stay long. MISS -3.8% -7.8% 2026-08-18T22:00:22.367269+00:00 source post → · verdict →
BTC backtested ↑ Bullish Bitcoin looks strong so far. MISS -1.5% -1.5% 2026-08-18T21:00:30.183142+00:00 source post → · verdict →
BTC backtested ↑ Bullish And currently it's likely that it keeps pushing. MISS +0.9% +0.9% 2026-08-18T19:30:16.812740+00:00 source post → · verdict →
BTC backtested ↓ Bearish $BTC looks bearish today MISS +6.9% +6.9% 2026-08-18T19:30:13.815742+00:00 source post → · verdict →
BTC backtested ↑ Bullish More fuckery before higher reasonable MISS -2.9% -2.9% 2026-08-17T13:00:13.128036+00:00 source post → · verdict →
BTC backtested ↑ Bullish I‘m for bounce MISS -0.4% -0.4% 2026-08-17T12:00:11.367071+00:00 source post → · verdict →
BTC backtested ↑ Bullish I got in a breakout long yesterday targeting 72 for now MISS -4.0% -4.0% 2026-08-17T11:30:08.847188+00:00 source post → · verdict →
ETH backtested ↑ Bullish I think there's good chance to hold and bounce here. MISS -1.0% +3.3% 2026-08-17T06:30:07.286102+00:00 source post → · verdict →
BTC backtested ↓ Bearish Main direction was down as I recently said MISS +0.8% +0.8% 2026-08-17T06:00:20.713762+00:00 source post → · verdict →
BTC backtested ↑ Bullish Currently long with the stop as mentioned. Hedge short can be cut at break-even MISS -0.9% -0.9% 2026-08-17T06:00:06.235811+00:00 source post → · verdict →
BTC backtested ↑ Bullish Longs hit my targets, expecting a bit higher HIT +4.1% +4.1% 2026-08-17T05:30:31.487444+00:00 source post → · verdict →

Relative = altcoins scored against BTC, BTC itself against USD — so BTC rows carry the same number in both columns. Absolute is always vs USD, and never carries a verdict.

Price-target record
Backtested records
Hit rate: 20% 1 hits · 4 misses · n=5

Settled after the fact from archived posts — the call was already on the record before we scored it, but we were not watching it live. Kept on a separate line and never merged into the prospective hit rate above.

Graded under price_target_v1 — did the stated price target print? A different rule, never merged into the directional rate above.

CoinCallResult SettledSource
SUI backtested MISS 2026-08-18 verdict →
BTC backtested HIT 2026-08-18 verdict →
ETH backtested MISS 2026-08-18 verdict →
BTC backtested MISS 2026-08-17 verdict →
ETH backtested MISS 2026-08-17 verdict →
Side by side with CoinVerdict
CoinVerdict win rate (settle_v1 vs BTC): 63%

Same ruler on both sides: kol_directional_v1 runs on identical parameters to settle_v1 — a 7-day window, a ±3% band, altcoins scored vs BTC and BTC vs USD. That is why the hit rate above and CoinVerdict's 63% can sit side by side. · How the two differ →

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Source: VeraMind settled-call ledger · only verified settlements, never open calls. · Chatter, recaps and "watching" posts never enter the ledger — only explicit calls are settled and counted.