SUN / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
SUN sits at $0.017701 with RSI 46.0 as mild weakness meets a bullish long-term MA structure
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-08-23 02:22 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Neutral
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Longs pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-24 — Underweight — -5.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-23 — Neutral — -6.2% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-21 — Underweight — -11.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-20 — Underweight — -12.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-19 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-16 — Neutral — -19.2% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-15 — Neutral — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Neutral — -17.4% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-13 — Neutral — -13.9% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-12 — Neutral — — — VOID
2026-08-11 — Neutral — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Underweight — +2.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-08 — Underweight — +4.0% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-07 — Underweight — +3.0% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-06 — Underweight — +2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-05 — Underweight — +2.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-04 — Neutral — +0.3% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-03 — Underweight — -2.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-02 — Neutral — -2.6% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-01 — Underweight — -2.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-31 — Underweight — -1.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-30 — Neutral — -0.1% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-29 — Underweight — +0.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-28 — Underweight — +1.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-27 — Neutral — +1.5% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-26 — Underweight — +0.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-24 — Neutral — -1.5% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-23 — Neutral — -0.2% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-22 — Neutral — -0.5% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 4 exchanges
Invalidation: The neutral ruling turns bearish on a decisive break below $0.01614 and bullish on a close above $0.017844 with RSI above 50.. Cautious read: a break below $0.01614 voids this research. Confidence Low — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, your 1.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Neutral, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo, your 1. Key support to defend sits near $0.01614. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’ll concede the tape is soft: SUN is down 1.552% in 24 hours, sits 2.1% below SMA50, and the recent underweight calls on August 7 and 8 lost as SUN gained 3.0% and 4.0% versus BTC. But that loss streak is stale evidence, while today’s SMA50 is still 1.4% above SMA200 and the MACD histogram is contracting; the bearish impulse is losing fuel rather than accelerating.
Leo, your 1.4% moving-average spread is the number you’re hiding behind, and it hasn’t stopped price from trading below every listed moving average: SMA20 by 1.0%, SMA50 by 2.1%, and SMA200 by 0.7%. RSI at 46.0 is not capitulation, Greed is 66, and taker buy/sell at 0.71 says the supposedly resilient structure is meeting active selling.
· Greed at 66 with 53.5% long accounts
· taker buy/sell at 0.71
· legal-news volatility and absent funding data
Invalidation: The neutral ruling turns bearish on a decisive break below $0.01614 and bullish on a close above $0.017844 with RSI above 50.
Leo, contracting MACD is not a reversal; it merely says the negative histogram is shrinking. Until SUN reclaims $0.017844, the latest candle’s high, your structural bull case has no price confirmation.
Mara, the market is already 9.3% below the 60-day high of $0.01949, so demanding a breakout before recognizing stabilization is classic rear-view short-selling. The 60-day low at $0.01614 is still 9.6% beneath spot, leaving room for the current base to hold.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Leo, contracting MACD is not a reversal; it merely says the negative histogram is shrinking. Until SUN reclaims $0.017844, the latest candle’s high, your structural bull case has no price confirmation.
Mara, the market is already 9.3% below the 60-day high of $0.01949, so demanding a breakout before recognizing stabilization is classic rear-view short-selling. The 60-day low at $0.01614 is still 9.6% beneath spot, leaving room for the current base to hold.
Mara’s flow exhibit is real: 53.5% of long accounts and an L/S ratio of 1.15 coexist with a 0.71 taker buy/sell reading. That is a mild long-side crowd leaning into weak aggression, but funding is unavailable, so crowding cannot be upgraded into a full liquidation thesis.
Leo, macro liquidity gets no help from the pack, and the broader headlines include a BitMart shutdown aftermath and a Sandbox exploit. With SUN down 3.9% over 30 days, the burden is still on the rebound story.
I rule for the neutral side: the decisive exhibit is the collision between price below SMA20, SMA50, and SMA200 and the still-bullish SMA50/SMA200 spread of +1.4%. This call is overturned if SUN closes above $0.017844 with RSI reclaiming 50; a break below $0.01614 would instead confirm a bearish resolution.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
Direction: neutral. Evidence families: momentum, moving averages, support/resistance. RSI is 46.0, price is below SMA20 by 1.0%, SMA50 by 2.1%, and SMA200 by 0.7%, but SMA50 remains 1.4% above SMA200 and MACD histogram is contracting. Conflicts: short-term weakness versus the bullish SMA50/SMA200 structure. Sufficiency: adequate.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Direction: bearish. Evidence families: fear/greed, account positioning, taker flow. Fear&Greed is 66 (Greed), long accounts are 53.5% with an L/S ratio of 1.15, while taker buy/sell is only 0.71. Conflicts: no StockTwits sample was available, with 0 messages. Sufficiency: adequate.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
Direction: neutral. Coin-specific headlines focus on Justin Sun's publicly important lawsuit and a procedural court victory involving World Liberty Financial. The broader headlines concern BitMart's possible restart and a Sandbox exploit, offering no direct SUN catalyst.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
Direction: neutral. The data pack supplies no token-supply, revenue, usage, or valuation metrics for SUN. The available evidence is therefore legal-news driven rather than fundamental.
62c74bcf77a1d00c1d63aafbd0d1c44259e8d89b048bc0928447ee2a15468fd18dcc587613f29d0d57db9e6584607b513023911e8f47308581cffaaf7659dcc3Committed 2026-08-24T00:20:00+00:00 · 98 rulings that day · Check the chain
SHA-256 of this report as stored. It is the exact value committed to that day's chain — recompute it yourself and compare.
2026-08-31 · 2026-08-30 · 2026-08-29 · 2026-08-28 · 2026-08-27 · 2026-08-26 · 2026-08-25 · 2026-08-24