MKR / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
MKR trades at $1,813.70 with RSI 100, but the tape needs confirmation
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-08-28 01:13 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bullish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bullish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
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Insufficient data
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
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Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-24 — Underweight — +0.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-23 — Underweight — -1.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-21 — Underweight — -8.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-20 — Neutral — -11.8% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-19 — Neutral — — — VOID
2026-08-15 — Neutral — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Neutral — -13.4% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-13 — Underweight — -8.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-12 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-11 — Neutral — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Neutral — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Neutral — — — VOID
2026-08-08 — Neutral — +3.0% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-07 — Overweight — +1.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-06 — Overweight — +1.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Overweight — +0.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Underweight — -0.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-03 — Neutral — -2.5% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Neutral — -3.2% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Overweight — -3.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Overweight — -0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Underweight — -0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Overweight — +0.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Neutral — +0.1% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Neutral — +2.8% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Underweight — +2.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-25 — Underweight — +1.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Neutral — +0.2% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Underweight — +3.4% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Neutral — — — VOID
2026-07-21 — Neutral — — — VOID
2026-07-20 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-07-19 — Neutral — — — VOID
graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 1 exchanges
Invalidation: A move below $1,650 overturns the bullish ruling.. Cautious read: a break below $1,650.00 voids this research. Confidence Low — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, that $1,813.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bullish, horizon Days (momentum).
Bold case: I’ll concede the ugliest number: the latest candle is frozen at 1650. Resistance to clear sits near $1,813.70. Horizon: Days (momentum).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’ll concede the ugliest number: the latest candle is frozen at 1650.1 and 7d and 30d performance are both 0.0%. But spot is now $1,813.70, RSI is a scorching 100.0, and SMA50 sits above SMA200; that’s not a dead engine, Leo says, it’s a breakout-shaped flare whose stale chart feed is hiding the move.
Leo, that $1,813.70 headline is exactly the trap: the actual 250-bar candle still prints 1650.1 across open, high, low, and close. RSI 100.0 is not proof of durable demand; it is a vertical warning label, while MACD is effectively zero and the stated 60-day high remains 1650.
I see more upside than the ruling admits: $1,813.70 already sits above the 1650 reference by roughly 9.9%, while RSI 100.0 and Fear&Greed 73 show a forceful impulse that could continue before mean reversion appears. The underappreciated exhibit is the bullish SMA50-over-SMA200 structure.
The fastest failure is a bad tape print masquerading as confirmation: all OHLC fields are 1650.1, MACD is -1.77e-34, and both 7d and 30d returns are 0.0%. If $1,650 rejects the current quote, the RSI 100.0 exhibit becomes exhaustion evidence rather than momentum evidence.
I think the aggressive desk overreaches by treating RSI 100.0 as runway, while the conservative desk overreaches by treating the stale candle as the whole market. The deciding condition is whether price holds above $1,650, the pack’s 60-day reference level; the settled record shows the latest neutral call resolved FLAT_OUT at -11.8% versus BTC, so passivity has recently missed relative weakness.
· stale OHLC data
· RSI 100.0 exhaustion
· no funding or flow confirmation
Invalidation: A move below $1,650 overturns the bullish ruling.
Leo, you’re calling a data discontinuity a breakout. Where is the confirming range expansion when the pack reports 7d and 30d at 0.0%?
Mara, the current $1,813.70 is above every 1650 reference in the pack. Your bearish case depends on trusting a frozen candle more than the live quote.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Leo, you’re calling a data discontinuity a breakout. Where is the confirming range expansion when the pack reports 7d and 30d at 0.0%?
Mara, the current $1,813.70 is above every 1650 reference in the pack. Your bearish case depends on trusting a frozen candle more than the live quote.
Leo, I can’t rescue the crowd thesis: funding is unavailable, and StockTwits has 0 messages. Fear&Greed 73 shows appetite, not MKR-specific sponsorship.
Mara has the cleaner macro objection: with no liquidity or flow evidence, RSI 100 can be the last gasp. Still, the SMA50-over-SMA200 structure keeps the immediate tape from being outright bearish.
I rule for the bullish side, because the decisive exhibit is current price at $1,813.70 versus the pack’s 1650 high, reinforced by RSI(14)=100.0 and bullish SMA50/SMA200 structure. This ruling is overturned if MKR falls back below $1,650, the stated 60-day high and low reference.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
RSI(14) is 100.0, and the moving-average structure is bullish with SMA50 above SMA200. Yet the latest 250-bar candle is frozen at 1650.1, while current price is 1813.7; MACD histogram is effectively zero and 7d/30d returns are 0.0%, so the chart evidence is bullish but mechanically thin.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Fear&Greed at 73 signals Greed, supporting a risk-on crowd backdrop. StockTwits has 0 bullish and 0 bearish messages from 0 posts, leaving no usable social confirmation; direction: bullish; evidence families: Fear&Greed, social breadth; conflicts: greed without message-flow confirmation; sufficiency: adequate.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
The listed headlines are mostly unrelated to Maker: Binance market-maker rules, a Trezor logistics breach, and stories about Z.ai and Unitree. The market headlines focus on Kalshi litigation and Ethena’s buyback, offering no direct MKR catalyst.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
The data pack supplies no Maker-specific revenue, governance, collateral, supply, or protocol-usage figures. Fundamental direction is neutral because no coin-specific fundamental evidence is available.
6f32a89d180d38f4c520f159336b9a8850a1c845a3619fb61f567528a5ab03cab460912c22e647ff99deef7428c2f0098da84f163350ba433a36d11ce82e7419Committed 2026-08-29T00:20:00+00:00 · 98 rulings that day · Check the chain
SHA-256 of this report as stored. It is the exact value committed to that day's chain — recompute it yourself and compare.
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