MKR / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
MKR at $1,813.7 with RSI 100: explosive tape, fragile evidence
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-08-14 01:11 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Mixed
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Neutral
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
—
Insufficient data
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
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Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-24 — Underweight — +0.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-23 — Underweight — -1.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-21 — Underweight — -8.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-20 — Neutral — -11.8% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-19 — Neutral — — — VOID
2026-08-15 — Neutral — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Neutral — -13.4% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-13 — Underweight — -8.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-12 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-11 — Neutral — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Neutral — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Neutral — — — VOID
2026-08-08 — Neutral — +3.0% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-07 — Overweight — +1.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-06 — Overweight — +1.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Overweight — +0.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Underweight — -0.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-03 — Neutral — -2.5% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Neutral — -3.2% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Overweight — -3.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Overweight — -0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Underweight — -0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Overweight — +0.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Neutral — +0.1% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Neutral — +2.8% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Underweight — +2.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-25 — Underweight — +1.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Neutral — +0.2% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Underweight — +3.4% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Neutral — — — VOID
2026-07-21 — Neutral — — — VOID
2026-07-20 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-07-19 — Neutral — — — VOID
graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 1 exchanges
Invalidation: A clean subsequent data update confirming sustained price above $1,813.7 with RSI below 70 would overturn the neutral ruling toward bullish; a return to $1,650.1 would reinforce the bearish risk.. Cautious read: a break below $1,650.10 voids this research. Confidence Low — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, your $1,813.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Mixed, horizon Days (momentum).
Bold case: Leo, your $1,813. Key support to defend sits near $1,650.10. Horizon: Days (momentum).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’ll concede the ugliest number: RSI is 100.0, which usually screams overheated. But that signal is colliding with a fearful Fear & Greed reading of 29, and the price is sitting at $1,813.7 above the reported 60-day high of $1,650; that’s breakout energy, not a sleepy drift. The stale 0.0% weekly and monthly returns make the tape look mechanically suspect, so I treat the extreme reading as a momentum flare with upside room, not an automatic reversal.
Leo, your $1,813.7 breakout is built on a broken exhibit: the latest K-line says open, high, low, and close were all $1,650.1, while the 60-day high and low are also $1,650. You can’t call price discovery from a dataset that contradicts its own candle. RSI 100.0 is the one clean alarm, and contracting MACD at -1.77e-34 gives the alleged breakout no confirming thrust.
I think the bullish side has more room than the ruling admits: $1,813.7 sits 9.9% above the reported $1,650 high, while Fear & Greed is only 29. If that print is valid, the market is climbing despite fear, and the stale range could understate the move.
The fastest failure is the RSI exhibit: 100.0 is an extreme exhaustion reading, and MACD is contracting at -1.77e-34. If the $1,813.7 print is a data artifact, the entire breakout thesis collapses back toward $1,650.1.
Leo overreached by treating the contradictory $1,813.7 print as confirmed breakout structure; Mara overreached by treating RSI 100.0 as a guaranteed reversal. The deciding condition is whether a clean subsequent candle confirms price above $1,813.7 or restores the $1,650.1 range.
· RSI 100.0 exhaustion
· contradictory price and candle data
· regulatory delays
Invalidation: A clean subsequent data update confirming sustained price above $1,813.7 with RSI below 70 would overturn the neutral ruling toward bullish; a return to $1,650.1 would reinforce the bearish risk.
Leo, you’re leaning on the current $1,813.7 print while the entire reported range is pinned at $1,650.1. Which number is supposed to carry the verdict?
Mara, the live price is still the freshest exhibit: $1,813.7 is 9.9% above $1,650. I’m not ignoring the bad candle; I’m saying a stale range can’t erase a fresh print.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(5)
Leo, you’re leaning on the current $1,813.7 print while the entire reported range is pinned at $1,650.1. Which number is supposed to carry the verdict?
Mara, the live price is still the freshest exhibit: $1,813.7 is 9.9% above $1,650. I’m not ignoring the bad candle; I’m saying a stale range can’t erase a fresh print.
I’ll interrupt both of you: funding is not provided, and social flow is literally 0 bullish versus 0 bearish messages. There’s no crowding evidence to validate either a squeeze or a crowded top.
And the macro tape offers no rescue. The SEC delayed the innovation exemption again and postponed Reg Crypto without a new date; that is regulatory friction, not fresh liquidity.
Exactly, Dmitri. Leo’s only hard momentum confirmation is RSI 100.0, while MACD is contracting and both 7d and 30d returns are 0.0%. That’s a flare without a verified trend.
I rule neutral. The decisive exhibit is the internal price conflict: $1,813.7 current price versus a latest candle and 60-day high/low all fixed at $1,650.1. This ruling is overturned if a reliable update confirms MKR holds above $1,813.7 with RSI falling below 70 while price remains above $1,650.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
RSI(14) is 100.0, but the broader structure is oddly frozen: 7d and 30d returns are both 0.0%, while MACD histogram is contracting at -1.77e-34. Direction: mixed. Evidence families: RSI, moving-average structure, MACD, return profile, key levels. Conflicts: extreme RSI versus flat performance and a latest K-line fixed at 1650.1. Sufficiency: adequate.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Fear & Greed is 29, so the crowd is fearful rather than euphoric; StockTwits supplied 0 bullish and 0 bearish messages from 0 posts. Direction: mildly bullish contrarian, but weakly evidenced. Evidence families: Fear & Greed, social message flow. Conflicts: fear can support a rebound, yet there is no usable social sample and no funding data. Sufficiency: adequate.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
The headlines are mostly regulatory plumbing, not an MKR-specific catalyst: the SEC again delayed an innovation exemption and postponed Reg Crypto without a new date. Wintermute's SEC approval to trade stocks matters to market structure, while the wallet-loss and XRP stories offer no direct MKR thesis.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
The data pack provides no Maker-specific revenue, supply, governance, collateral, or protocol-growth figures. I can’t manufacture a fundamental tailwind from unrelated market-maker and SEC headlines; the fundamental case is therefore unconfirmed.
5aed51de863507d1a9a2fab73e8e4e73b05fa00476ed085b0ac04ab401a821cc53f40f609f1c3a40d35f95df8482a1a109627902af10da6eeb4433219b8978bcCommitted 2026-08-15T00:20:00+00:00 · 95 rulings that day · Check the chain
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2026-08-31 · 2026-08-30 · 2026-08-29 · 2026-08-28 · 2026-08-27 · 2026-08-26 · 2026-08-25 · 2026-08-24 · 2026-08-23