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MKR / The Verdict

generated 2026-07-15 13:57 UTC
📜 Archived verdict of 2026-07-15 — latest verdict → MKR
The Verdict
Neutral

MKR shows conflicting signals with extreme fear sentiment and limited trend confirmation.

⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-07-15 13:57 UTC

Technicalsignal strength Mixed C
Measures how strong the directional signal from price structure is. An analyst lists independent evidence families (trend, momentum, structure) from the data pack; code converts the count to a letter — 3+ families with no conflict = A+, 2 = B, 1 = D; conflicting evidence caps the grade at C; insufficient information gets no grade at all. The letter is signal strength — direction is shown separately. (evidence_rule_v1) full scales →
Sentimentsignal strength Bearish C
Same scale as Technical, applied to crowd evidence — fear/greed, positioning, and flow. 3+ independent evidence families with no conflict = A+, 2 = B, 1 = D; conflicts cap at C; not enough information, no grade. The letter says how loud the crowd signal is, not which way price will go. (evidence_rule_v1) full scales →
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction Insufficient data
Measures perpetual funding-rate pressure — risk, not direction. The smaller the 8-hour normalized rate, the calmer the market: under 0.5 bp = A+, then A, B, C, D as pressure grows, F beyond 10 bp (extreme crowding). Who pays (longs or shorts) is shown separately. Read A+ as “calm”, never as “bullish”. (funding_rule_v1) full scales →
KOL Consensussettled-record quality Archive building
Measures the quality and strength of on-record KOL consensus. Only authors with 20+ settled calls count. The majority share sets the base letter (85%+ = A+ down to 55%+ = D), but few qualified authors cap it — under 5 authors we show the direction and withhold the grade while the record builds. (kol_rule_v1) full scales →

Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.

Track record
2W–1L–16P · 8 neutral · since 2026-07-15
95% CI 20.8–93.9% · n=3 · early sample
2026-09-05 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-12
2026-09-01 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-08
2026-08-31 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-07
2026-08-30 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-06
2026-08-29 — Underweight — -2.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-29 · MKR price $1813.7 · BTC $77872.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-09-05 · MKR price $1813.7 · BTC $79665.6
vs BTC
-2.3% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Overweight → Underweight
2026-08-28 — Overweight — +0.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-28 · MKR price $1813.7 · BTC $80168.1
Settled (T+8d)
2026-09-05 · MKR price $1813.7 · BTC $79665.6
vs BTC
+0.6% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Underweight → Overweight
2026-08-27 — Underweight — -0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-27 · MKR price $1813.7 · BTC $78922
Settled (T+9d)
2026-09-05 · MKR price $1813.7 · BTC $79665.6
vs BTC
-0.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Overweight → Underweight
2026-08-26 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-25 — Overweight — +0.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-25 · MKR price $1813.7 · BTC $78968.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-09-01 · MKR price $1813.7 · BTC $78717.1
vs BTC
+0.3% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Underweight → Overweight
2026-08-24 — Underweight — +0.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-24 · MKR price $1813.7 · BTC $77645.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-31 · MKR price $1813.7 · BTC $77473.2
vs BTC
+0.2% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-23 — Underweight — -1.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-23 · MKR price $1813.7 · BTC $77094.1
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-30 · MKR price $1813.7 · BTC $78171.7
vs BTC
-1.4% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Neutral → Underweight
2026-08-22 — Neutral — — — VOID
stance change · Underweight → Neutral
2026-08-21 — Underweight — -8.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-21 · MKR price $1813.7 · BTC $73322.8
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-28 · MKR price $1813.7 · BTC $80168.1
vs BTC
-8.5% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Neutral → Underweight
2026-08-20 — Neutral — -11.8% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-20 · MKR price $1813.7 · BTC $69631.8
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-27 · MKR price $1813.7 · BTC $78922
vs BTC
-11.8% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-19 — Neutral — — — VOID
2026-08-15 — Neutral — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Neutral — -13.4% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-14 · MKR price $1813.7 · BTC $63504.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-21 · MKR price $1813.7 · BTC $73322.8
vs BTC
-13.4% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Underweight → Neutral
2026-08-13 — Underweight — -8.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-13 · MKR price $1813.7 · BTC $63588.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-20 · MKR price $1813.7 · BTC $69631.8
vs BTC
-8.7% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-12 — Underweight — — — VOID
stance change · Neutral → Underweight
2026-08-11 — Neutral — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Neutral — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Neutral — — — VOID
2026-08-08 — Neutral — +3.0% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-08 · MKR price $1813.7 · BTC $64896.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-15 · MKR price $1813.7 · BTC $63021.6
vs BTC
+3.0% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Overweight → Neutral
2026-08-07 — Overweight — +1.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-07 · MKR price $1813.7 · BTC $64381
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-14 · MKR price $1813.7 · BTC $63504.5
vs BTC
+1.4% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-06 — Overweight — +1.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-06 · MKR price $1813.7 · BTC $64604.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-13 · MKR price $1813.7 · BTC $63588.5
vs BTC
+1.6% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-05 — Overweight — +0.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-05 · MKR price $1813.7 · BTC $64023.8
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-12 · MKR price $1813.7 · BTC $63546
vs BTC
+0.8% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Underweight → Overweight
2026-08-04 — Underweight — -0.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-04 · MKR price $1813.7 · BTC $63558.1
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-11 · MKR price $1813.7 · BTC $63941.5
vs BTC
-0.6% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Neutral → Underweight
2026-08-03 — Neutral — -2.5% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-03 · MKR price $1813.7 · BTC $63435.7
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-10 · MKR price $1813.7 · BTC $65054
vs BTC
-2.5% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-02 — Neutral — -3.2% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-02 · MKR price $1813.7 · BTC $62914.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-09 · MKR price $1813.7 · BTC $64963.4
vs BTC
-3.2% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Overweight → Neutral
2026-08-01 — Overweight — -3.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-01 · MKR price $1813.7 · BTC $62954.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-08 · MKR price $1813.7 · BTC $64896.5
vs BTC
-3.0% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-31 — Overweight — -0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-31 · MKR price $1813.7 · BTC $63805
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-07 · MKR price $1813.7 · BTC $64381
vs BTC
-0.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Underweight → Overweight
2026-07-30 — Underweight — -0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-30 · MKR price $1813.7 · BTC $64044.7
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-06 · MKR price $1813.7 · BTC $64604.5
vs BTC
-0.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Overweight → Underweight
2026-07-29 — Overweight — +0.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-29 · MKR price $1813.7 · BTC $64051
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-05 · MKR price $1813.7 · BTC $64023.8
vs BTC
+0.0% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Neutral → Overweight
2026-07-28 — Neutral — +0.1% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-28 · MKR price $1813.7 · BTC $63644.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-04 · MKR price $1813.7 · BTC $63558.1
vs BTC
+0.1% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-27 — Neutral — +2.8% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-27 · MKR price $1813.7 · BTC $65216
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-03 · MKR price $1813.7 · BTC $63435.7
vs BTC
+2.8% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Underweight → Neutral
2026-07-26 — Underweight — +2.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-26 · MKR price $1813.7 · BTC $64416
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-02 · MKR price $1813.7 · BTC $62914.5
vs BTC
+2.4% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-25 — Underweight — +1.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-25 · MKR price $1813.7 · BTC $64141.3
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-01 · MKR price $1813.7 · BTC $62954.5
vs BTC
+1.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Neutral → Underweight
2026-07-24 — Neutral — +0.2% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-24 · MKR price $1813.7 · BTC $64928
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-31 · MKR price $1813.7 · BTC $64779.5
vs BTC
+0.2% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Underweight → Neutral
2026-07-23 — Underweight — +3.4% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-23 · MKR price $1813.7 · BTC $66209
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-30 · MKR price $1813.7 · BTC $64044.7
vs BTC
+3.4% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Neutral → Underweight
2026-07-22 — Neutral — — — VOID

graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →

The evidence
Bull evidence
Bear evidence

coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read

Price
60d high1,650.10 +0.0%
60d low1,650.10 +0.0%
RSI(14)100.0
30d change +0.0%

snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions

The Deliberation
LV
Bull Research (Leo Vance)
VS
MF
Bear Research (Mara Frost)
JA
Risk Committee · Final Ruling
Chief Adjudicator (Aldrich)
KOL Settlement Seat
Calls on record: 0 up · 0 down

Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind

Analyst notes
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)

RSI is extremely overbought, but price is flat versus SMA20/SMA50 with contracting MACD momentum and unchanged 7-day/30-day performance.

Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)

Fear & Greed at 25 indicates extreme fear, creating a bearish mood despite the absence of MKR-specific sentiment data.

Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)

Headlines are broad crypto-market developments and provide no clear, direct catalyst for MKR.

Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)

The data pack provides no MKR-specific fundamental metrics or valuation information.

Provenance
Report fingerprint
399acd1db40dbe11ca47c6dcf05a1ec9b3c68be80eb74967dde19f6f5469f8c5
UTC date
2026-07-15
Chain head
fe6d19bbd0dec4d03a8b201098fd67ad3bf99835727f3053ccd256283e21cc8a

Committed 2026-07-24T10:21:07+00:00 · 67 rulings that day · Check the chain

SHA-256 of this report as stored. It is the exact value committed to that day's chain — recompute it yourself and compare.

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