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DOT / The Verdict

generated 2026-07-14 16:13 UTC
$0.85
+1.79% · 24h
price as of 2026-07-14 16:13 UTC
Price source
📜 Archived verdict of 2026-07-14 — latest verdict → DOT
The Verdict
Neutral

DOT shows a modest short-term rebound, but evidence is too limited for a directional verdict.

⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-07-14 16:13 UTC

Technicalsignal strength Bullish Insufficient data
Measures how strong the directional signal from price structure is. An analyst lists independent evidence families (trend, momentum, structure) from the data pack; code converts the count to a letter — 3+ families with no conflict = A+, 2 = B, 1 = D; conflicting evidence caps the grade at C; insufficient information gets no grade at all. The letter is signal strength — direction is shown separately. (evidence_rule_v1) full scales →
Sentimentsignal strength Mixed Insufficient data
Same scale as Technical, applied to crowd evidence — fear/greed, positioning, and flow. 3+ independent evidence families with no conflict = A+, 2 = B, 1 = D; conflicts cap at C; not enough information, no grade. The letter says how loud the crowd signal is, not which way price will go. (evidence_rule_v1) full scales →
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction Longs pay A
Measures perpetual funding-rate pressure — risk, not direction. The smaller the 8-hour normalized rate, the calmer the market: under 0.5 bp = A+, then A, B, C, D as pressure grows, F beyond 10 bp (extreme crowding). Who pays (longs or shorts) is shown separately. Read A+ as “calm”, never as “bullish”. (funding_rule_v1) full scales →
KOL Consensussettled-record quality Archive building
Measures the quality and strength of on-record KOL consensus. Only authors with 20+ settled calls count. The majority share sets the base letter (85%+ = A+ down to 55%+ = D), but few qualified authors cap it — under 5 authors we show the direction and withhold the grade while the record builds. (kol_rule_v1) full scales →

Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.

Track record
16W–5L–13P · 2 neutral · since 2026-07-14
95% CI 54.9–89.4% · n=21 · early sample
2026-09-05 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-12
2026-09-01 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-08
2026-08-31 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-07
2026-08-30 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-06
2026-08-29 — Underweight — +2.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-29 · DOT price $0.853 · BTC $77872.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-09-05 · DOT price $0.8908 · BTC $79665.6
vs BTC
+2.1% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-28 — Underweight — +1.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-28 · DOT price $0.8802 · BTC $80168.1
Settled (T+8d)
2026-09-05 · DOT price $0.8908 · BTC $79665.6
vs BTC
+1.8% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-27 — Underweight — +0.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-27 · DOT price $0.8763 · BTC $78922
Settled (T+9d)
2026-09-05 · DOT price $0.8908 · BTC $79665.6
vs BTC
+0.7% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-26 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-25 — Underweight — -5.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-25 · DOT price $0.8969 · BTC $78968.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-09-01 · DOT price $0.8442 · BTC $78717.1
vs BTC
-5.6% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-24 — Underweight — -9.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-24 · DOT price $0.9165 · BTC $77645.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-31 · DOT price $0.8246 · BTC $77473.2
vs BTC
-9.8% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-23 — Underweight — -9.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-23 · DOT price $0.9235 · BTC $77094.1
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-30 · DOT price $0.8439 · BTC $78171.7
vs BTC
-9.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-22 — Underweight — — — VOID
stance change · Neutral → Underweight
2026-08-21 — Neutral — -5.2% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-21 · DOT price $0.8495 · BTC $73322.8
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-28 · DOT price $0.8802 · BTC $80168.1
vs BTC
-5.2% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Underweight → Neutral
2026-08-16 — Underweight — -0.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-16 · DOT price $0.761 · BTC $63070.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-23 · DOT price $0.9235 · BTC $77094.1
vs BTC
-0.7% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — -4.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-14 · DOT price $0.7724 · BTC $63504.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-21 · DOT price $0.8495 · BTC $73322.8
vs BTC
-4.7% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-13 — Underweight — -4.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-13 · DOT price $0.7744 · BTC $63588.5
Settled (T+8d)
2026-08-21 · DOT price $0.8495 · BTC $73322.8
vs BTC
-4.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-12 — Underweight — -6.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-12 · DOT price $0.789 · BTC $63546
Settled (T+9d)
2026-08-21 · DOT price $0.8495 · BTC $73322.8
vs BTC
-6.7% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-11 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Underweight — -3.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-09 · DOT price $0.8149 · BTC $64963.4
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-16 · DOT price $0.761 · BTC $63070.5
vs BTC
-3.8% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Neutral → Underweight
2026-08-08 — Neutral — -3.9% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-08 · DOT price $0.8186 · BTC $64896.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-15 · DOT price $0.764 · BTC $63021.6
vs BTC
-3.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Underweight → Neutral
2026-08-07 — Underweight — -4.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-07 · DOT price $0.8215 · BTC $64381
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-14 · DOT price $0.7724 · BTC $63504.5
vs BTC
-4.7% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-06 — Underweight — -6.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-06 · DOT price $0.8453 · BTC $64604.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-13 · DOT price $0.7744 · BTC $63588.5
vs BTC
-6.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-05 — Underweight — -8.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-05 · DOT price $0.865 · BTC $64023.8
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-12 · DOT price $0.789 · BTC $63546
vs BTC
-8.1% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-04 — Underweight — -2.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-04 · DOT price $0.8234 · BTC $63558.1
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-11 · DOT price $0.8054 · BTC $63941.5
vs BTC
-2.8% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-03 — Underweight — -2.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-03 · DOT price $0.7972 · BTC $63435.7
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-10 · DOT price $0.7991 · BTC $65054
vs BTC
-2.3% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-02 — Underweight — +0.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-02 · DOT price $0.785 · BTC $62914.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-09 · DOT price $0.8149 · BTC $64963.4
vs BTC
+0.5% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-01 — Underweight — +4.6% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-01 · DOT price $0.7591 · BTC $62954.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-08 · DOT price $0.8186 · BTC $64896.5
vs BTC
+4.6% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-31 — Underweight — +6.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-31 · DOT price $0.7675 · BTC $63805
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-07 · DOT price $0.8215 · BTC $64381
vs BTC
+6.1% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-30 — Underweight — +9.5% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-30 · DOT price $0.765 · BTC $64044.7
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-06 · DOT price $0.8453 · BTC $64604.5
vs BTC
+9.5% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-29 — Underweight — +13.2% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-29 · DOT price $0.7642 · BTC $64051
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-05 · DOT price $0.865 · BTC $64023.8
vs BTC
+13.2% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-28 — Underweight — +8.3% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-28 · DOT price $0.761 · BTC $63644.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-04 · DOT price $0.8234 · BTC $63558.1
vs BTC
+8.3% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-27 — Underweight — -0.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-27 · DOT price $0.8249 · BTC $65216
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-03 · DOT price $0.7972 · BTC $63435.7
vs BTC
-0.6% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-26 — Underweight — -1.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-26 · DOT price $0.8162 · BTC $64416
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-02 · DOT price $0.785 · BTC $62914.5
vs BTC
-1.5% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-25 — Underweight — -4.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-25 · DOT price $0.8074 · BTC $64141.3
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-01 · DOT price $0.7591 · BTC $62954.5
vs BTC
-4.2% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-24 — Underweight — -5.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-24 · DOT price $0.815 · BTC $64928
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-31 · DOT price $0.7675 · BTC $64779.5
vs BTC
-5.6% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-23 — Underweight — -5.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-23 · DOT price $0.8375 · BTC $66209
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-30 · DOT price $0.765 · BTC $64044.7
vs BTC
-5.6% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-22 — Underweight — -6.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-22 · DOT price $0.8415 · BTC $65937.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-29 · DOT price $0.7642 · BTC $64051
vs BTC
-6.5% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-21 — Underweight — -5.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-21 · DOT price $0.826 · BTC $65161.4
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-28 · DOT price $0.761 · BTC $63644.6
vs BTC
-5.7% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-20 — Underweight — +0.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-20 · DOT price $0.804 · BTC $63745.4
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-27 · DOT price $0.8249 · BTC $65216
vs BTC
+0.3% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-19 — Underweight — -1.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-19 · DOT price $0.835 · BTC $64708.7
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-26 · DOT price $0.8162 · BTC $64416
vs BTC
-1.8% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-17 — Underweight — -6.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-17 · DOT price $0.859 · BTC $63739.1
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-24 · DOT price $0.815 · BTC $64928
vs BTC
-6.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-16 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-16 · DOT price $0.844 · BTC $64777.8
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-23 · DOT price $0.8375 · BTC $66209
vs BTC
-2.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-15 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-15 · DOT price $0.855 · BTC $65000.1
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-22 · DOT price $0.8507 · BTC $66588
vs BTC
-2.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Neutral → Underweight
2026-07-14 — Neutral — — — VOID

graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →

The evidence
Bull evidence
Bear evidence

coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read

Price
Price at verdict$0.855 +1.8% 24h
60d high1.05 -18.2%
60d low0.795 +7.7%
RSI(14)40.5

snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions

The Deliberation
LV
Bull Research (Leo Vance)
VS
MF
Bear Research (Mara Frost)
JA
Risk Committee · Final Ruling
Chief Adjudicator (Aldrich)
KOL Settlement Seat
Calls on record: 0 up · 0 down

Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind

Analyst notes
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)

Short-term price action is mildly constructive, with a positive 24-hour move and the latest close near the session high, but only 30 candles are provided.

Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)

Sentiment is mixed: macro conditions appear somewhat supportive, while the headlines are largely unrelated to DOT.

Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)

Current headlines focus on stablecoins, Ethereum privacy infrastructure, tokenization, AI valuations, and U.S. inflation rather than Polkadot-specific developments.

Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)

No DOT-specific fundamentals, adoption metrics, ecosystem data, or valuation information are included.

Provenance
Report fingerprint
87d3edb8742b457cd367da93e86f18000aa5dc405503950eddef934f3fa7d031
UTC date
2026-07-14
Chain head
db67f5aa2a2dbcb89b70963c6b527d753ee1390bac3f00ac095ef86bc5140e3d

Committed 2026-07-24T10:21:07+00:00 · 21 rulings that day · Check the chain

SHA-256 of this report as stored. It is the exact value committed to that day's chain — recompute it yourself and compare.

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