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CC / The Verdict

generated 2026-07-30 01:52 UTC
$0.12
+2.60% · 24h
price as of 2026-07-30 01:52 UTC
Price source
📜 Archived verdict of 2026-07-30 — latest verdict → CC
The Verdict
Underweight

Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.

Despite a 2.6% bounce, CC remains trapped in a bearish MA structure with price down 18.3% against the SMA200.

⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-07-30 01:52 UTC

Technicalsignal strength Bearish C
Measures how strong the directional signal from price structure is. An analyst lists independent evidence families (trend, momentum, structure) from the data pack; code converts the count to a letter — 3+ families with no conflict = A+, 2 = B, 1 = D; conflicting evidence caps the grade at C; insufficient information gets no grade at all. The letter is signal strength — direction is shown separately. (evidence_rule_v1) full scales →
Sentimentsignal strength Bearish C
Same scale as Technical, applied to crowd evidence — fear/greed, positioning, and flow. 3+ independent evidence families with no conflict = A+, 2 = B, 1 = D; conflicts cap at C; not enough information, no grade. The letter says how loud the crowd signal is, not which way price will go. (evidence_rule_v1) full scales →
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction Longs pay A+
Measures perpetual funding-rate pressure — risk, not direction. The smaller the 8-hour normalized rate, the calmer the market: under 0.5 bp = A+, then A, B, C, D as pressure grows, F beyond 10 bp (extreme crowding). Who pays (longs or shorts) is shown separately. Read A+ as “calm”, never as “bullish”. (funding_rule_v1) full scales →
KOL Consensussettled-record quality Archive building
Measures the quality and strength of on-record KOL consensus. Only authors with 20+ settled calls count. The majority share sets the base letter (85%+ = A+ down to 55%+ = D), but few qualified authors cap it — under 5 authors we show the direction and withhold the grade while the record builds. (kol_rule_v1) full scales →

Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.

Track record
14W–6L–4P · 4 neutral · since 2026-07-22
95% CI 48.1–85.5% · n=20 · early sample
2026-09-05 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-12
stance change · Overweight → Underweight
2026-09-01 — Overweight — — — VOID
stance change · Underweight → Overweight
2026-08-31 — Underweight — — — VOID
stance change · Neutral → Underweight
2026-08-30 — Neutral — — — VOID
stance change · Underweight → Neutral
2026-08-29 — Underweight — -4.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-29 · CC price $0.11086 · BTC $77872.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-09-05 · CC price $0.10826 · BTC $79665.6
vs BTC
-4.5% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-28 — Underweight — -4.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-28 · CC price $0.113455 · BTC $80168.1
Settled (T+8d)
2026-09-05 · CC price $0.10826 · BTC $79665.6
vs BTC
-4.0% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Neutral → Underweight
2026-08-27 — Neutral — -7.9% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-27 · CC price $0.116495 · BTC $78922
Settled (T+9d)
2026-09-05 · CC price $0.10826 · BTC $79665.6
vs BTC
-7.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-26 — Neutral — — — VOID
2026-08-25 — Neutral — -0.3% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-25 · CC price $0.12386 · BTC $78968.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-09-01 · CC price $0.12309 · BTC $78717.1
vs BTC
-0.3% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-24 — Neutral — -2.8% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-24 · CC price $0.120775 · BTC $77645.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-31 · CC price $0.117135 · BTC $77473.2
vs BTC
-2.8% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-23 — Neutral — -2.1% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-23 · CC price $0.11948 · BTC $77094.1
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-30 · CC price $0.11866 · BTC $78171.7
vs BTC
-2.1% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-22 — Neutral — — — VOID
stance change · Underweight → Neutral
2026-08-21 — Underweight — +3.7% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-21 · CC price $0.10008 · BTC $73322.8
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-28 · CC price $0.113455 · BTC $80168.1
vs BTC
+3.7% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-20 — Underweight — +4.2% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-20 · CC price $0.098635 · BTC $69631.8
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-27 · CC price $0.116495 · BTC $78922
vs BTC
+4.2% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-19 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-16 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-16 · CC price $0.1007 · BTC $63070.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-23 · CC price $0.11948 · BTC $77094.1
vs BTC
-2.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — -10.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-14 · CC price $0.09721 · BTC $63504.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-21 · CC price $0.10008 · BTC $73322.8
vs BTC
-10.8% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-12 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Underweight — +9.5% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-09 · CC price $0.094745 · BTC $64963.4
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-16 · CC price $0.1007 · BTC $63070.5
vs BTC
+9.5% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-08 — Underweight — +11.4% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-08 · CC price $0.091375 · BTC $64896.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-15 · CC price $0.09885 · BTC $63021.6
vs BTC
+11.4% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-07 — Underweight — +8.0% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-07 · CC price $0.09126 · BTC $64381
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-14 · CC price $0.09721 · BTC $63504.5
vs BTC
+8.0% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-06 — Underweight — -3.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-06 · CC price $0.10269 · BTC $64604.5
Settled (T+8d)
2026-08-14 · CC price $0.09721 · BTC $63504.5
vs BTC
-3.7% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-05 — Underweight — -6.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-05 · CC price $0.10814 · BTC $64023.8
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-12 · CC price $0.100335 · BTC $63546
vs BTC
-6.5% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-04 — Underweight — -12.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-04 · CC price $0.115105 · BTC $63558.1
Settled (T+8d)
2026-08-12 · CC price $0.100335 · BTC $63546
vs BTC
-12.8% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-03 — Underweight — -15.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-03 · CC price $0.11629 · BTC $63435.7
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-10 · CC price $0.10066 · BTC $65054
vs BTC
-15.6% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-02 — Underweight — -21.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-02 · CC price $0.116615 · BTC $62914.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-09 · CC price $0.094745 · BTC $64963.4
vs BTC
-21.3% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-01 — Underweight — -24.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-01 · CC price $0.1178 · BTC $62954.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-08 · CC price $0.091375 · BTC $64896.5
vs BTC
-24.8% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-31 — Underweight — -25.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-31 · CC price $0.120855 · BTC $63805
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-07 · CC price $0.09126 · BTC $64381
vs BTC
-25.2% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-30 — Underweight — -17.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-30 · CC price $0.122675 · BTC $64044.7
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-06 · CC price $0.10269 · BTC $64604.5
vs BTC
-17.0% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-29 — Underweight — -9.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-29 · CC price $0.120055 · BTC $64051
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-05 · CC price $0.10814 · BTC $64023.8
vs BTC
-9.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-28 — Underweight — -3.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-28 · CC price $0.1193 · BTC $63644.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-04 · CC price $0.115105 · BTC $63558.1
vs BTC
-3.4% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-27 — Underweight — -3.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-27 · CC price $0.12432 · BTC $65216
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-03 · CC price $0.11629 · BTC $63435.7
vs BTC
-3.8% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-26 — Underweight — -2.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-26 · CC price $0.12266 · BTC $64416
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-02 · CC price $0.116615 · BTC $62914.5
vs BTC
-2.7% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-24 — Underweight — -0.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-24 · CC price $0.12126 · BTC $64928
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-31 · CC price $0.120855 · BTC $64779.5
vs BTC
-0.1% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-23 — Underweight — +3.6% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-23 · CC price $0.12244 · BTC $66209
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-30 · CC price $0.122675 · BTC $64044.7
vs BTC
+3.6% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-22 — Underweight — -0.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-22 · CC price $0.12448 · BTC $65937.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-29 · CC price $0.120055 · BTC $64051
vs BTC
-0.7% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →

The evidence
Bear evidence ✓ aligns with this verdict
Market state

coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read

Price
Price at verdict$0.122675 +2.6% 24h
60d high0.171 -28.3%
60d low0.1155 +6.1%
RSI(14)40.6
vs 200d SMA -18.3%
30d change -13.2%
Funding (net) +0.40 bp/8h
Fear & Greed28 · Fear
Long accounts61.2% long

snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 4 exchanges

Read this ruling three ways

Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.

The Deliberation
LV
Bull Research (Leo Vance)
VS
MF
Bear Research (Mara Frost)
!
THE RISKS — is the uncertainty laid out?

Invalidation: Price breaks and closes above 0.1228, negating the lower high structure.

⚔ Key clashes
LV
Bull Research (Leo Vance)
MF
Bear Research (Mara Frost)
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
LV
Bull Research (Leo Vance)
MF
Bear Research (Mara Frost)
TO
Positioning Desk (Theo Okafor)
LV
Bull Research (Leo Vance)
JA
Risk Committee · Final Ruling
Chief Adjudicator (Aldrich)
DirectionBearish
ConfidenceMedium
HorizonWeeks (swing)
Key support$0.1155
Key resistance$0.171
InvalidationPrice breaks and closes above 0.1228, negating the lower high structure.
Main risksSBI partnership materializes into immediate volumeSustained MACD expansion signals trend reversalRegulatory clarity boosts institutional tokens
KOL Settlement Seat
Calls on record: 0 up · 0 down

Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind

Analyst notes
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)

Price action is weak; trading 12.3% below the SMA50 and 18.3% below the SMA200 confirms the downtrend. RSI at 40.6 is not oversold enough to trigger a reliable bounce, and the 60d high at 0.171 is a distant 28.3% away.

Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)

Fear dominates the board with a Fear & Greed reading of 28. Long accounts at 61.2% and a taker buy/sell ratio of 1.11 suggest trapped retail buyers trying to catch a falling knife, which is a contrarian bearish signal.

Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)

Headlines are a mixed bag of institutional hopium and skepticism. SBI targeting a $6T market is bullish noise, but Fortune calling bank-run blockchains a 'bust' and the Bitcoin Foundation questioning legitimacy creates a toxic information environment.

Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)

The pivot to institutional on-chain finance via SBI is the fundamental narrative, but until it translates to on-chain volume or user growth, it remains speculative vaporware against a backdrop of price decay.

Provenance
Report fingerprint
06b2b1779d267e2dfd3904e8319187d64ea3701b2e00ead8d7b0c3eb584ac2bd
UTC date
2026-07-30
Chain head
aa060d7030c0f8a7ef90b4eff282d9df7889a97182b9445afd6aba086b7e303c

Committed 2026-07-31T00:20:00+00:00 · 100 rulings that day · Check the chain

SHA-256 of this report as stored. It is the exact value committed to that day's chain — recompute it yourself and compare.

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