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CC / The Verdict

generated 2026-07-29 00:48 UTC
$0.12
+0.27% · 24h
price as of 2026-07-29 00:48 UTC
Price source
📜 Archived verdict of 2026-07-29 — latest verdict → CC
The Verdict
Sell

Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.

CC trades near $0.1201 with RSI 36.3, but the chart still points lower

⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-07-29 00:48 UTC

Technicalsignal strength Bearish C
Measures how strong the directional signal from price structure is. An analyst lists independent evidence families (trend, momentum, structure) from the data pack; code converts the count to a letter — 3+ families with no conflict = A+, 2 = B, 1 = D; conflicting evidence caps the grade at C; insufficient information gets no grade at all. The letter is signal strength — direction is shown separately. (evidence_rule_v1) full scales →
Sentimentsignal strength Bearish C
Same scale as Technical, applied to crowd evidence — fear/greed, positioning, and flow. 3+ independent evidence families with no conflict = A+, 2 = B, 1 = D; conflicts cap at C; not enough information, no grade. The letter says how loud the crowd signal is, not which way price will go. (evidence_rule_v1) full scales →
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction Shorts pay A
Measures perpetual funding-rate pressure — risk, not direction. The smaller the 8-hour normalized rate, the calmer the market: under 0.5 bp = A+, then A, B, C, D as pressure grows, F beyond 10 bp (extreme crowding). Who pays (longs or shorts) is shown separately. Read A+ as “calm”, never as “bullish”. (funding_rule_v1) full scales →
KOL Consensussettled-record quality Archive building
Measures the quality and strength of on-record KOL consensus. Only authors with 20+ settled calls count. The majority share sets the base letter (85%+ = A+ down to 55%+ = D), but few qualified authors cap it — under 5 authors we show the direction and withhold the grade while the record builds. (kol_rule_v1) full scales →

Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.

Track record
14W–6L–4P · 4 neutral · since 2026-07-22
95% CI 48.1–85.5% · n=20 · early sample
2026-09-05 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-12
stance change · Overweight → Underweight
2026-09-01 — Overweight — — — VOID
stance change · Underweight → Overweight
2026-08-31 — Underweight — — — VOID
stance change · Neutral → Underweight
2026-08-30 — Neutral — — — VOID
stance change · Underweight → Neutral
2026-08-29 — Underweight — -4.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-29 · CC price $0.11086 · BTC $77872.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-09-05 · CC price $0.10826 · BTC $79665.6
vs BTC
-4.5% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-28 — Underweight — -4.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-28 · CC price $0.113455 · BTC $80168.1
Settled (T+8d)
2026-09-05 · CC price $0.10826 · BTC $79665.6
vs BTC
-4.0% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Neutral → Underweight
2026-08-27 — Neutral — -7.9% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-27 · CC price $0.116495 · BTC $78922
Settled (T+9d)
2026-09-05 · CC price $0.10826 · BTC $79665.6
vs BTC
-7.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-26 — Neutral — — — VOID
2026-08-25 — Neutral — -0.3% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-25 · CC price $0.12386 · BTC $78968.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-09-01 · CC price $0.12309 · BTC $78717.1
vs BTC
-0.3% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-24 — Neutral — -2.8% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-24 · CC price $0.120775 · BTC $77645.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-31 · CC price $0.117135 · BTC $77473.2
vs BTC
-2.8% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-23 — Neutral — -2.1% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-23 · CC price $0.11948 · BTC $77094.1
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-30 · CC price $0.11866 · BTC $78171.7
vs BTC
-2.1% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-22 — Neutral — — — VOID
stance change · Underweight → Neutral
2026-08-21 — Underweight — +3.7% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-21 · CC price $0.10008 · BTC $73322.8
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-28 · CC price $0.113455 · BTC $80168.1
vs BTC
+3.7% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-20 — Underweight — +4.2% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-20 · CC price $0.098635 · BTC $69631.8
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-27 · CC price $0.116495 · BTC $78922
vs BTC
+4.2% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-19 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-16 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-16 · CC price $0.1007 · BTC $63070.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-23 · CC price $0.11948 · BTC $77094.1
vs BTC
-2.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — -10.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-14 · CC price $0.09721 · BTC $63504.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-21 · CC price $0.10008 · BTC $73322.8
vs BTC
-10.8% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-12 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Underweight — +9.5% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-09 · CC price $0.094745 · BTC $64963.4
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-16 · CC price $0.1007 · BTC $63070.5
vs BTC
+9.5% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-08 — Underweight — +11.4% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-08 · CC price $0.091375 · BTC $64896.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-15 · CC price $0.09885 · BTC $63021.6
vs BTC
+11.4% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-07 — Underweight — +8.0% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-07 · CC price $0.09126 · BTC $64381
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-14 · CC price $0.09721 · BTC $63504.5
vs BTC
+8.0% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-06 — Underweight — -3.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-06 · CC price $0.10269 · BTC $64604.5
Settled (T+8d)
2026-08-14 · CC price $0.09721 · BTC $63504.5
vs BTC
-3.7% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-05 — Underweight — -6.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-05 · CC price $0.10814 · BTC $64023.8
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-12 · CC price $0.100335 · BTC $63546
vs BTC
-6.5% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-04 — Underweight — -12.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-04 · CC price $0.115105 · BTC $63558.1
Settled (T+8d)
2026-08-12 · CC price $0.100335 · BTC $63546
vs BTC
-12.8% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-03 — Underweight — -15.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-03 · CC price $0.11629 · BTC $63435.7
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-10 · CC price $0.10066 · BTC $65054
vs BTC
-15.6% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-02 — Underweight — -21.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-02 · CC price $0.116615 · BTC $62914.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-09 · CC price $0.094745 · BTC $64963.4
vs BTC
-21.3% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-01 — Underweight — -24.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-01 · CC price $0.1178 · BTC $62954.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-08 · CC price $0.091375 · BTC $64896.5
vs BTC
-24.8% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-31 — Underweight — -25.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-31 · CC price $0.120855 · BTC $63805
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-07 · CC price $0.09126 · BTC $64381
vs BTC
-25.2% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-30 — Underweight — -17.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-30 · CC price $0.122675 · BTC $64044.7
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-06 · CC price $0.10269 · BTC $64604.5
vs BTC
-17.0% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-29 — Underweight — -9.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-29 · CC price $0.120055 · BTC $64051
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-05 · CC price $0.10814 · BTC $64023.8
vs BTC
-9.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-28 — Underweight — -3.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-28 · CC price $0.1193 · BTC $63644.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-04 · CC price $0.115105 · BTC $63558.1
vs BTC
-3.4% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-27 — Underweight — -3.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-27 · CC price $0.12432 · BTC $65216
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-03 · CC price $0.11629 · BTC $63435.7
vs BTC
-3.8% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-26 — Underweight — -2.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-26 · CC price $0.12266 · BTC $64416
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-02 · CC price $0.116615 · BTC $62914.5
vs BTC
-2.7% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-24 — Underweight — -0.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-24 · CC price $0.12126 · BTC $64928
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-31 · CC price $0.120855 · BTC $64779.5
vs BTC
-0.1% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-23 — Underweight — +3.6% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-23 · CC price $0.12244 · BTC $66209
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-30 · CC price $0.122675 · BTC $64044.7
vs BTC
+3.6% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-22 — Underweight — -0.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-22 · CC price $0.12448 · BTC $65937.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-29 · CC price $0.120055 · BTC $64051
vs BTC
-0.7% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →

The evidence
Bear evidence ✓ aligns with this verdict
Market state

coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read

Price
Price at verdict$0.120055 +0.3% 24h
60d high0.171 -29.8%
60d low0.1155 +3.9%
RSI(14)36.3
vs 200d SMA -20.1%
30d change -17.4%
Funding (net) -0.26 bp/8h
Fear & Greed29 · Fear
Long accounts60.8% long

snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 4 exchanges

Read this ruling three ways

Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.

The Deliberation
LV
Bull Research (Leo Vance)
VS
MF
Bear Research (Mara Frost)
!
THE RISKS — is the uncertainty laid out?

Invalidation: The bearish view is invalidated by a sustained move above $0.171, the 60-day high.

⚔ Key clashes
LV
Bull Research (Leo Vance)
MF
Bear Research (Mara Frost)
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
LV
Bull Research (Leo Vance)
MF
Bear Research (Mara Frost)
TO
Positioning Desk (Theo Okafor)
DV
Macro Desk (Dmitri Volkov)
JA
Risk Committee · Final Ruling
Chief Adjudicator (Aldrich)
DirectionBearish
ConfidenceHigh
HorizonWeeks (swing)
Key support$0.1155
Key resistance$0.171
InvalidationThe bearish view is invalidated by a sustained move above $0.171, the 60-day high.
Main risksRSI 36.3 and expanding MACD histogram could trigger a relief bounceSBI/Canton ecosystem news could attract fresh demandA break below $0.1155 could accelerate liquidation
KOL Settlement Seat
Calls on record: 0 up · 0 down

Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind

Analyst notes
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)

Bearish. Evidence families: moving-average structure, trend returns, momentum, support/resistance. Price sits 5.4% below SMA20, 14.7% below SMA50, and 20.1% below SMA200; SMA50 is 6.4% below SMA200. RSI is 36.3, while MACD histogram is expanding at +9.029e-05. Conflicts: MACD improvement and near-oversold RSI oppose the broader downtrend. Sufficiency: adequate.

Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)

Bearish. Evidence families: fear gauge, account positioning, taker flow. Fear&Greed is 29, yet 60.8% of long accounts are still long with a 1.55 long/short ratio, while taker buy/sell is only 0.94. Conflicts: fear can support a contrarian bounce, but long positioning leaves crowded downside exposure. Sufficiency: adequate.

Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)

Canton is attracting strategic attention: SBI is expanding its blockchain strategy around Canton, and Canton’s decentralized app layer reportedly has $1M+ in foundation backing. Those are constructive adoption headlines, but the pack provides no direct revenue, usage, or valuation impact.

Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)

The SBI expansion and decentralized app-layer grant improve the narrative around Canton’s ecosystem. However, the data pack offers no token-supply, revenue, utilization, or valuation figures, so the fundamental case cannot override the price trend.

Provenance
Report fingerprint
3f9e64f2ef71c465d1f9d979b4e447edba3efb75d2e02253dab8963c778b3ab9
UTC date
2026-07-29
Chain head
e65b9d2c8c3aaa5bbfb44b1c0d548dd39e9b3ad714e19978cc23a37eb1110a92

Committed 2026-07-30T00:20:00+00:00 · 100 rulings that day · Check the chain

SHA-256 of this report as stored. It is the exact value committed to that day's chain — recompute it yourself and compare.

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