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BSV / The Verdict

generated 2026-08-23 02:37 UTC
$16.72
-9.18% · 24h
price as of 2026-08-23 02:37 UTC
Price source
📜 Archived verdict of 2026-08-23 — latest verdict → BSV
The Verdict
Underweight

Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.

BSV’s 16.72 USD price is losing momentum after a 9.18% daily drop

⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-08-23 02:37 UTC

Technicalsignal strength Bearish C
Measures how strong the directional signal from price structure is. An analyst lists independent evidence families (trend, momentum, structure) from the data pack; code converts the count to a letter — 3+ families with no conflict = A+, 2 = B, 1 = D; conflicting evidence caps the grade at C; insufficient information gets no grade at all. The letter is signal strength — direction is shown separately. (evidence_rule_v1) full scales →
Sentimentsignal strength Bearish C
Same scale as Technical, applied to crowd evidence — fear/greed, positioning, and flow. 3+ independent evidence families with no conflict = A+, 2 = B, 1 = D; conflicts cap at C; not enough information, no grade. The letter says how loud the crowd signal is, not which way price will go. (evidence_rule_v1) full scales →
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction Longs pay A
Measures perpetual funding-rate pressure — risk, not direction. The smaller the 8-hour normalized rate, the calmer the market: under 0.5 bp = A+, then A, B, C, D as pressure grows, F beyond 10 bp (extreme crowding). Who pays (longs or shorts) is shown separately. Read A+ as “calm”, never as “bullish”. (funding_rule_v1) full scales →
KOL Consensussettled-record quality Archive building
Measures the quality and strength of on-record KOL consensus. Only authors with 20+ settled calls count. The majority share sets the base letter (85%+ = A+ down to 55%+ = D), but few qualified authors cap it — under 5 authors we show the direction and withhold the grade while the record builds. (kol_rule_v1) full scales →

Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.

Track record
3W–11L–5P · 5 neutral · since 2026-07-22
95% CI 7.6–47.6% · n=14 · early sample
2026-08-31 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-07
2026-08-30 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-06
2026-08-29 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-05
2026-08-28 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-04
stance change · Neutral → Underweight
2026-08-27 — Neutral · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-03
2026-08-26 — Neutral · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-02
stance change · Underweight → Neutral
2026-08-25 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-01
2026-08-24 — Underweight — -3.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-24 · BSV price $16.69 · BTC $77645.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-31 · BSV price $16.03 · BTC $77473.2
vs BTC
-3.7% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-23 — Underweight — -1.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-23 · BSV price $16.72 · BTC $77094.1
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-30 · BSV price $16.72 · BTC $78171.7
vs BTC
-1.4% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Overweight → Underweight
2026-08-21 — Overweight — -5.8% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-21 · BSV price $16.23 · BTC $73322.8
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-28 · BSV price $16.72 · BTC $80168.1
vs BTC
-5.8% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-20 — Overweight — -3.6% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-20 · BSV price $15.75 · BTC $69631.8
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-27 · BSV price $17.2 · BTC $78922
vs BTC
-3.6% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Underweight → Overweight
2026-08-19 — Underweight — — — VOID
stance change · Overweight → Underweight
2026-08-16 — Overweight — -11.4% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-16 · BSV price $15.44 · BTC $63070.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-23 · BSV price $16.72 · BTC $77094.1
vs BTC
-11.4% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-15 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Overweight — -7.3% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-14 · BSV price $15.17 · BTC $63504.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-21 · BSV price $16.23 · BTC $73322.8
vs BTC
-7.3% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Neutral → Overweight
2026-08-13 — Neutral — -0.9% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-13 · BSV price $14.51 · BTC $63588.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-20 · BSV price $15.75 · BTC $69631.8
vs BTC
-0.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Overweight → Neutral
2026-08-12 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-11 — Overweight — — — VOID
stance change · Neutral → Overweight
2026-08-10 — Neutral — — — VOID
stance change · Overweight → Neutral
2026-08-09 — Overweight — +11.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-09 · BSV price $14.27 · BTC $64963.4
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-16 · BSV price $15.44 · BTC $63070.5
vs BTC
+11.4% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Neutral → Overweight
2026-08-07 — Neutral — +14.3% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-07 · BSV price $13.46 · BTC $64381
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-14 · BSV price $15.17 · BTC $63504.5
vs BTC
+14.3% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Underweight → Neutral
2026-08-06 — Underweight — +15.4% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-06 · BSV price $12.78 · BTC $64604.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-13 · BSV price $14.51 · BTC $63588.5
vs BTC
+15.4% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-05 — Underweight — +12.7% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-05 · BSV price $12.81 · BTC $64023.8
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-12 · BSV price $14.33 · BTC $63546
vs BTC
+12.7% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-04 — Underweight — +11.5% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-04 · BSV price $12.71 · BTC $63558.1
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-11 · BSV price $14.26 · BTC $63941.5
vs BTC
+11.5% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-03 — Underweight — +11.9% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-03 · BSV price $12.64 · BTC $63435.7
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-10 · BSV price $14.5 · BTC $65054
vs BTC
+11.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-02 — Underweight — +9.9% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-02 · BSV price $12.57 · BTC $62914.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-09 · BSV price $14.27 · BTC $64963.4
vs BTC
+9.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-01 — Underweight — +9.8% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-01 · BSV price $12.59 · BTC $62954.5
Settled (T+8d)
2026-08-09 · BSV price $14.27 · BTC $64963.4
vs BTC
+9.8% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-31 — Underweight — +6.5% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-31 · BSV price $12.53 · BTC $63805
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-07 · BSV price $13.46 · BTC $64381
vs BTC
+6.5% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-30 — Underweight — +0.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-30 · BSV price $12.58 · BTC $64044.7
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-06 · BSV price $12.78 · BTC $64604.5
vs BTC
+0.7% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-29 — Underweight — -1.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-29 · BSV price $12.94 · BTC $64051
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-05 · BSV price $12.81 · BTC $64023.8
vs BTC
-1.0% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-28 — Underweight — -2.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-28 · BSV price $13.06 · BTC $63644.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-04 · BSV price $12.71 · BTC $63558.1
vs BTC
-2.5% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Neutral → Underweight
2026-07-27 — Neutral — -4.9% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-27 · BSV price $13.67 · BTC $65216
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-03 · BSV price $12.64 · BTC $63435.7
vs BTC
-4.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Underweight → Neutral
2026-07-26 — Underweight — -2.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-26 · BSV price $13.2 · BTC $64416
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-02 · BSV price $12.57 · BTC $62914.5
vs BTC
-2.5% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-24 — Underweight — -6.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-24 · BSV price $13.39 · BTC $64928
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-31 · BSV price $12.53 · BTC $64779.5
vs BTC
-6.2% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Neutral → Underweight
2026-07-23 — Neutral — -4.5% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-23 · BSV price $13.62 · BTC $66209
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-30 · BSV price $12.58 · BTC $64044.7
vs BTC
-4.5% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-22 — Neutral — -2.3% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-22 · BSV price $13.63 · BTC $65937.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-29 · BSV price $12.94 · BTC $64051
vs BTC
-2.3% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →

The evidence
Bull evidence
Bear evidence ✓ aligns with this verdict
Market state

coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read

Price
Price at verdict$16.72 -9.2% 24h
60d high18.99 -12.0%
60d low10.37 +61.1%
RSI(14)63.6
vs 200d SMA +15.5%
30d change +26.6%
Funding (net) +0.86 bp/8h
Fear & Greed66 · Greed
Long accounts61.1% long

snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 1 exchanges

Read this ruling three ways

Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.

The Deliberation
LV
Bull Research (Leo Vance)
VS
MF
Bear Research (Mara Frost)
!
THE RISKS — is the uncertainty laid out?

Invalidation: A sustained break above the 18.99 60-day high overturns the bearish ruling.

⚔ Key clashes
LV
Bull Research (Leo Vance)
MF
Bear Research (Mara Frost)
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(5)
LV
Bull Research (Leo Vance)
MF
Bear Research (Mara Frost)
TO
Positioning Desk (Theo Okafor)
DV
Macro Desk (Dmitri Volkov)
MF
Bear Research (Mara Frost)
JA
Risk Committee · Final Ruling
Chief Adjudicator (Aldrich)
DirectionBearish
ConfidenceMedium
HorizonWeeks (swing)
Key support$16.67
Key resistance$18.99
InvalidationA sustained break above the 18.99 60-day high overturns the bearish ruling.
Main risksRSI14 remains firm at 63.6Price is 12.0% above SMA20BSV previously outperformed BTC by 11.4% on 2026-08-09 despite later losing calls
KOL Settlement Seat
Calls on record: 0 up · 0 down

Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind

Analyst notes
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)

Direction: bearish. Evidence families: price structure, moving averages, momentum; price is still 12.0% above SMA20 and 19.5% above SMA50, but SMA50 sits 3.4% below SMA200 and MACD histogram is contracting at +0.2348. Conflicts: RSI14 at 63.6 and 7d/30d gains of 9.9%/26.6% versus the bearish MA structure and latest selloff; sufficiency: adequate.

Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)

Direction: bearish. Evidence families: greed, account skew, taker flow; Fear&Greed is 66, long accounts are 61.1% with a 1.57 L/S ratio, while taker buy/sell is only 0.78. Conflicts: StockTwits supplied no usable sample—0 bullish and 0 bearish from 0 messages; sufficiency: adequate.

Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)

The headline stream offers prediction pieces about a possible $100 outcome, but no concrete catalyst in the pack validates that path. Broader crypto news is dominated by BitMart’s creditor-restart process and a Sandbox bridging halt after an exploit—risk headlines, not a BSV-specific demand impulse.

Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)

The pack provides descriptive BSV coverage but no revenue, hash-rate, adoption, supply, or valuation metrics. A fundamental re-rating cannot be established from these exhibits.

Provenance
Report fingerprint
aaa3a0cb8113ff82942bd66f9407d338cb10a605ce30cd8557a50b14d4de845a
UTC date
2026-08-23
Chain head
8dcc587613f29d0d57db9e6584607b513023911e8f47308581cffaaf7659dcc3

Committed 2026-08-24T00:20:00+00:00 · 98 rulings that day · Check the chain

SHA-256 of this report as stored. It is the exact value committed to that day's chain — recompute it yourself and compare.

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