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ATOM / The Verdict

generated 2026-07-15 00:15 UTC
$1.56
+1.36% · 24h
price as of 2026-07-15 00:15 UTC
Price source
📜 Archived verdict of 2026-07-15 — latest verdict → ATOM
The Verdict
Underweight

ATOM remains technically weak despite a modest short-term rebound.

⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-07-15 00:15 UTC

Technicalsignal strength Bearish C
Measures how strong the directional signal from price structure is. An analyst lists independent evidence families (trend, momentum, structure) from the data pack; code converts the count to a letter — 3+ families with no conflict = A+, 2 = B, 1 = D; conflicting evidence caps the grade at C; insufficient information gets no grade at all. The letter is signal strength — direction is shown separately. (evidence_rule_v1) full scales →
Sentimentsignal strength Bearish C
Same scale as Technical, applied to crowd evidence — fear/greed, positioning, and flow. 3+ independent evidence families with no conflict = A+, 2 = B, 1 = D; conflicts cap at C; not enough information, no grade. The letter says how loud the crowd signal is, not which way price will go. (evidence_rule_v1) full scales →
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction Shorts pay A
Measures perpetual funding-rate pressure — risk, not direction. The smaller the 8-hour normalized rate, the calmer the market: under 0.5 bp = A+, then A, B, C, D as pressure grows, F beyond 10 bp (extreme crowding). Who pays (longs or shorts) is shown separately. Read A+ as “calm”, never as “bullish”. (funding_rule_v1) full scales →
KOL Consensussettled-record quality Archive building
Measures the quality and strength of on-record KOL consensus. Only authors with 20+ settled calls count. The majority share sets the base letter (85%+ = A+ down to 55%+ = D), but few qualified authors cap it — under 5 authors we show the direction and withhold the grade while the record builds. (kol_rule_v1) full scales →

Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.

Track record
14W–11L–4P · 9 neutral · since 2026-07-14
95% CI 37.1–73.3% · n=25 · early sample
2026-09-05 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-12
2026-09-01 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-08
2026-08-31 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-07
2026-08-29 — Underweight — -1.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-29 · ATOM price $1.489 · BTC $77872.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-09-05 · ATOM price $1.502 · BTC $79665.6
vs BTC
-1.4% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Neutral → Underweight
2026-08-28 — Neutral — -3.9% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-28 · ATOM price $1.572 · BTC $80168.1
Settled (T+8d)
2026-09-05 · ATOM price $1.502 · BTC $79665.6
vs BTC
-3.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Underweight → Neutral
2026-08-27 — Underweight — -0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-27 · ATOM price $1.501 · BTC $78922
Settled (T+9d)
2026-09-05 · ATOM price $1.502 · BTC $79665.6
vs BTC
-0.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-26 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-25 — Underweight — -2.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-25 · ATOM price $1.511 · BTC $78968.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-09-01 · ATOM price $1.471 · BTC $78717.1
vs BTC
-2.3% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-24 — Underweight — -7.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-24 · ATOM price $1.589 · BTC $77645.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-31 · ATOM price $1.4684 · BTC $77473.2
vs BTC
-7.4% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Overweight → Underweight
2026-08-23 — Overweight — -7.7% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-23 · ATOM price $1.583 · BTC $77094.1
Settled (T+8d)
2026-08-31 · ATOM price $1.4684 · BTC $77473.2
vs BTC
-7.7% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-22 — Overweight — — — VOID
stance change · Neutral → Overweight
2026-08-21 — Neutral — -5.2% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-21 · ATOM price $1.516 · BTC $73322.8
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-28 · ATOM price $1.572 · BTC $80168.1
vs BTC
-5.2% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-20 — Neutral — -11.4% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-20 · ATOM price $1.4944 · BTC $69631.8
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-27 · ATOM price $1.501 · BTC $78922
vs BTC
-11.4% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Overweight → Neutral
2026-08-16 — Overweight — -12.4% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-16 · ATOM price $1.479 · BTC $63070.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-23 · ATOM price $1.583 · BTC $77094.1
vs BTC
-12.4% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-15 — Overweight — — — VOID
stance change · Neutral → Overweight
2026-08-14 — Neutral — -12.7% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-14 · ATOM price $1.5034 · BTC $63504.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-21 · ATOM price $1.516 · BTC $73322.8
vs BTC
-12.7% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Underweight → Neutral
2026-08-13 — Underweight — -3.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-13 · ATOM price $1.408 · BTC $63588.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-20 · ATOM price $1.4944 · BTC $69631.8
vs BTC
-3.1% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Neutral → Underweight
2026-08-12 — Neutral — -5.2% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-12 · ATOM price $1.4379 · BTC $63546
Settled (T+8d)
2026-08-20 · ATOM price $1.4944 · BTC $69631.8
vs BTC
-5.2% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-11 — Neutral — -2.1% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-11 · ATOM price $1.401 · BTC $63941.5
Settled (T+9d)
2026-08-20 · ATOM price $1.4944 · BTC $69631.8
vs BTC
-2.1% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-10 — Neutral — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Neutral — +10.0% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-09 · ATOM price $1.385 · BTC $64963.4
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-16 · ATOM price $1.479 · BTC $63070.5
vs BTC
+10.0% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-08 — Neutral — +13.5% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-08 · ATOM price $1.365 · BTC $64896.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-15 · ATOM price $1.504 · BTC $63021.6
vs BTC
+13.5% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-07 — Neutral — +12.6% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-07 · ATOM price $1.354 · BTC $64381
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-14 · ATOM price $1.5034 · BTC $63504.5
vs BTC
+12.6% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Underweight → Neutral
2026-08-06 — Underweight — +5.4% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-06 · ATOM price $1.357 · BTC $64604.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-13 · ATOM price $1.408 · BTC $63588.5
vs BTC
+5.4% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-05 — Underweight — +5.0% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-05 · ATOM price $1.38 · BTC $64023.8
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-12 · ATOM price $1.4379 · BTC $63546
vs BTC
+5.0% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-04 — Underweight — +2.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-04 · ATOM price $1.363 · BTC $63558.1
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-11 · ATOM price $1.401 · BTC $63941.5
vs BTC
+2.2% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-03 — Underweight — +5.3% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-03 · ATOM price $1.272 · BTC $63435.7
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-10 · ATOM price $1.374 · BTC $65054
vs BTC
+5.3% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-02 — Underweight — +9.3% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-02 · ATOM price $1.227 · BTC $62914.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-09 · ATOM price $1.385 · BTC $64963.4
vs BTC
+9.3% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-01 — Underweight — +8.0% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-01 · ATOM price $1.226 · BTC $62954.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-08 · ATOM price $1.365 · BTC $64896.5
vs BTC
+8.0% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-31 — Underweight — +4.4% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-31 · ATOM price $1.285 · BTC $63805
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-07 · ATOM price $1.354 · BTC $64381
vs BTC
+4.4% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-30 — Underweight — +4.9% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-30 · ATOM price $1.283 · BTC $64044.7
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-06 · ATOM price $1.357 · BTC $64604.5
vs BTC
+4.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-29 — Underweight — +5.5% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-29 · ATOM price $1.309 · BTC $64051
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-05 · ATOM price $1.38 · BTC $64023.8
vs BTC
+5.5% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-28 — Underweight — +4.9% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-28 · ATOM price $1.301 · BTC $63644.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-04 · ATOM price $1.363 · BTC $63558.1
vs BTC
+4.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-27 — Underweight — -6.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-27 · ATOM price $1.397 · BTC $65216
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-03 · ATOM price $1.272 · BTC $63435.7
vs BTC
-6.4% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-26 — Underweight — -9.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-26 · ATOM price $1.383 · BTC $64416
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-02 · ATOM price $1.227 · BTC $62914.5
vs BTC
-9.2% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-25 — Underweight — -10.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-25 · ATOM price $1.395 · BTC $64141.3
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-01 · ATOM price $1.226 · BTC $62954.5
vs BTC
-10.5% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-24 — Underweight — -9.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-24 · ATOM price $1.419 · BTC $64928
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-31 · ATOM price $1.285 · BTC $64779.5
vs BTC
-9.2% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-23 — Underweight — -9.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-23 · ATOM price $1.468 · BTC $66209
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-30 · ATOM price $1.283 · BTC $64044.7
vs BTC
-9.6% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-22 — Underweight — -8.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-22 · ATOM price $1.466 · BTC $65937.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-29 · ATOM price $1.309 · BTC $64051
vs BTC
-8.1% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-21 — Underweight — -10.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-21 · ATOM price $1.493 · BTC $65161.4
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-28 · ATOM price $1.301 · BTC $63644.6
vs BTC
-10.8% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-20 — Underweight — -6.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-20 · ATOM price $1.453 · BTC $63745.4
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-27 · ATOM price $1.397 · BTC $65216
vs BTC
-6.0% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-19 — Underweight — -6.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-19 · ATOM price $1.492 · BTC $64708.7
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-26 · ATOM price $1.383 · BTC $64416
vs BTC
-6.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-17 — Underweight — -7.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-17 · ATOM price $1.508 · BTC $63739.1
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-24 · ATOM price $1.419 · BTC $64928
vs BTC
-7.6% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-16 — Underweight — -7.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-16 · ATOM price $1.551 · BTC $64777.8
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-23 · ATOM price $1.468 · BTC $66209
vs BTC
-7.4% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-15 — Underweight — -7.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-15 · ATOM price $1.563 · BTC $65000.1
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-22 · ATOM price $1.485 · BTC $66588
vs BTC
-7.3% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Neutral → Underweight
2026-07-14 — Neutral — — — VOID

graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →

The evidence
Bear evidence ✓ aligns with this verdict

coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read

Price
Price at verdict$1.56 +1.4% 24h
60d high2.30 -32.0%
60d low1.48 +5.8%
RSI(14)40.3
30d change -20.4%

snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions

The Deliberation
LV
Bull Research (Leo Vance)
VS
MF
Bear Research (Mara Frost)
JA
Risk Committee · Final Ruling
Chief Adjudicator (Aldrich)
KOL Settlement Seat
Calls on record: 0 up · 0 down

Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind

Analyst notes
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)

Medium-term momentum is bearish, with price 10.1% below SMA50 and down 20.4% over 30 days, while expanding positive MACD histogram offers a limited recovery signal.

Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)

Sentiment is risk-off at Extreme Fear, although a majority of accounts are long and taker flow is mildly buy-led.

Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)

Headlines are broadly crypto-sector focused and provide no clear, direct catalyst for ATOM.

Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)

The data pack contains insufficient fundamental information to assess Cosmos network or token value.

Provenance
Report fingerprint
9ee583b1cb7d7d0cffe1889e906e091b990f492bb53ec5528e2c45424a41750e
UTC date
2026-07-15
Chain head
fe6d19bbd0dec4d03a8b201098fd67ad3bf99835727f3053ccd256283e21cc8a

Committed 2026-07-24T10:21:07+00:00 · 67 rulings that day · Check the chain

SHA-256 of this report as stored. It is the exact value committed to that day's chain — recompute it yourself and compare.

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