WLFI / 研报
呈现档位 = 立场 × 裁判信心度。结算口径永远是三档。
WLFI’s 0.05823 rebound sits below the 0.0751 ceiling while the long-term trend stays heavy
⚖ 成文时间 2026-08-25 02:19 UTC
技术面信号强度
看空
C
市场情绪信号强度
看空
C
资金费率费率压力——评级是风险,不是方向
多头支付
A
KOL 共识结算档案质量
—
档案积累中
各维评级口径独立,刻意不做平均。
2026-08-24 — 减持 — -1.8% — 平 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
2026-08-23 — 减持 — -1.9% — 平 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
2026-08-21 — 增持 — -8.7% — 输 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
2026-08-20 — 增持 — -16.3% — 输 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
2026-08-16 — 增持 — -18.4% — 输 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
2026-08-15 — 中性 — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — 减持 — -3.7% — 赢 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
2026-08-13 — 减持 — +1.7% — 平 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
2026-08-12 — 减持 — +0.3% — 平 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
2026-08-11 — 减持 — +1.0% — 平 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
2026-08-10 — 减持 — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — 减持 — +17.7% — 输 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
2026-08-08 — 减持 — +10.1% — 输 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
2026-08-07 — 减持 — +5.9% — 输 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
2026-08-06 — 减持 — +4.9% — 输 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
2026-08-05 — 减持 — +2.6% — 平 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
2026-08-04 — 减持 — +0.2% — 平 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
2026-08-03 — 减持 — -6.3% — 赢 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
2026-08-02 — 减持 — -11.8% — 赢 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
2026-08-01 — 减持 — -8.5% — 赢 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
2026-07-31 — 减持 — -6.4% — 赢 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
2026-07-30 — 减持 — -5.9% — 赢 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
2026-07-29 — 减持 — +0.2% — 平 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
2026-07-28 — 减持 — +1.2% — 平 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
2026-07-27 — 减持 — +3.6% — 输 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
2026-07-26 — 减持 — +1.6% — 平 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
2026-07-24 — 减持 — -2.8% — 平 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
2026-07-23 — 减持 — +9.9% — 输 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
2026-07-22 — 减持 — +0.0% — 平 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
按 settle_v1 结算,7天 vs BTC——失误同样在档 · 完整结算档案 →
coin_evidence_v1 · 判读规则
生成时刻快照,由交易所数据计算——事实,非观点 · 价格 = 5 家交易所中位数
失效条件:The bearish ruling is invalidated by a sustained recovery above 0.0751 or a decisive move above SMA200.。 保守读法:跌破 $0.0506 即本研报失效。 信心 中,不确定时观望。 空方核心:Leo, the 30-day +5.
平衡读法:下方裁定即基准情形。 方向 看空,时限 波段(数周)。
激进情形:Leo, the 30-day +5. 需守住的关键支撑在 $0.0506 附近。 时限:波段(数周)。
同一研报的三种风险读法 · 内容全部来自当日存档数据。
Mara, your strongest number is the 21.9% discount to SMA200, and I’ll concede it looks ugly. But WLFI is still 5.3% higher over 30 days, sitting above SMA20 and SMA50, while stablecoin-bank approval gives this politically charged rocket fresh fuel; the old damage may already be priced in. I also acknowledge the 2026-08-09 and 2026-08-08 underweight calls lost as WLFI beat BTC by 17.7% and 10.1%, so fading this name can get run over.
Leo, the 30-day +5.3% is the exact number you’re polishing into a trend; the 7-day result is -3.8%, and price remains 21.9% below SMA200. Your “priced in” claim cannot explain why SMA50 is still 23.9% beneath SMA200, why taker buy/sell is 0.80, or why the 2026-08-16 overweight call lost 18.4% versus BTC. This is a bounce beneath overhead supply, not a repaired tape.
I’m more bearish than the ruling: the 60-day high at 0.0751 is 22.4% above 0.05823, while Fear & Greed at 74 leaves room for sentiment to deflate sharply. The 2026-08-16 overweight call’s -18.4% versus BTC shows how violently this token can resolve when the narrative breaks.
I’m worried the fastest failure is another squeeze against the 0.0506 low, because price is already 15.2% above that level and 30-day performance is +5.3%. The fragile exhibit is the bearish long-term average spread: a politically driven bank-approval headline could overwhelm it before the chart catches up.
I think Leo overreached by treating +5.3% over 30 days as repaired structure, while Mara slightly overreaches if she ignores the 0.0506 base and +2.2% versus SMA20. The deciding condition is whether WLFI breaks 0.0506 or reclaims 0.0751; the current evidence favors the former risk.
· Trump-linked regulatory or banking catalyst
· Rebound from the 0.0506 base
· Bitcoin recovery broadening into WLFI
推翻条件: The bearish ruling is invalidated by a sustained recovery above 0.0751 or a decisive move above SMA200.
Mara, the 60-day low is 0.0506 and price is 15.2% above it; that’s a defended base, not free fall. The latest close at 0.05829 also held above the 0.05748 intraday low.
Leo, a 15.2% cushion is not a reversal signal when the 60-day high at 0.0751 is still 22.4% away. Your base sits inside a broader downtrend, and RSI at 52.5 has no bullish thrust.
▶ Live Debate · 完整交锋(6)
Mara, the 60-day low is 0.0506 and price is 15.2% above it; that’s a defended base, not free fall. The latest close at 0.05829 also held above the 0.05748 intraday low.
Leo, a 15.2% cushion is not a reversal signal when the 60-day high at 0.0751 is still 22.4% away. Your base sits inside a broader downtrend, and RSI at 52.5 has no bullish thrust.
Leo, the crowd is not confirming your rocket: only 43.8% of accounts are long, L/S is 0.78, and taker buy/sell is 0.80. That combination says upside enthusiasm is mostly commentary, not execution.
Theo, and the macro tape is helping Bitcoin near $80,000, but that broad recovery has not lifted WLFI back above SMA200. A liquidity tide that leaves this token 21.9% underwater is a poor bullish exhibit.
Dmitri, WLFI’s 30-day +5.3% still beats the recent 7-day slide narrative, and the bank approval can create a catalyst path the moving averages lag. I’m arguing for asymmetry from 0.05823, not claiming the chart is already clean.
Leo, then the decisive test is simple: your catalyst must overcome the 0.0751 resistance, while the current evidence only shows contracting MACD and excessive greed. Until that changes, hopium is doing the accounting.
I rule bearish, and the decisive exhibit is WLFI’s 21.9% position below SMA200 alongside a 23.9% SMA50-versus-SMA200 bearish spread. This differs from the recent losing underweight calls on 2026-08-09 and 2026-08-08 because the current pack shows only 43.8% long accounts, a 0.80 taker buy/sell ratio, and persistent long-term trend damage despite Bitcoin’s recovery. My ruling is invalidated by a sustained move above 0.0751 or a decisive recovery of price above SMA200.
观点是 AI;结算是事实。 · data powered by VeraMind
技术分析师(Kai Nakamura)
Kai Nakamura: I’m bearish on the structure: WLFI is 21.9% below SMA200, while SMA50 trails SMA200 by 23.9%. RSI at 52.5 and a contracting positive MACD histogram of +7.34e-05 offer short-term stabilization, but price remains only 2.2% above SMA20 and 2.7% above SMA50.
情绪分析师(Sofia Reyes)
Sofia Reyes: I’m bearish on the crowd setup: Fear & Greed is 74, StockTwits shows 15 bullish versus 1 bearish message, and taker buy/sell is only 0.80. Long accounts are just 43.8% with an L/S ratio of 0.78, so exuberance is loud even as aggressive buying fails to confirm it.
宏观新闻分析师(Ed Walsh)
Ed Walsh: I see headline support from stablecoin-bank approval and the Trump-linked financial narrative, but the news is politically concentrated and headline-sensitive. Reuters also reports a venture tied to AI from restricted Chinese companies, adding reputational and regulatory drag rather than a clean fundamental catalyst.
基本面分析师(Priya Anand)
Priya Anand: The data pack provides no token-supply, revenue, valuation, or adoption metrics, so I cannot establish fundamental value. The available fundamental evidence is therefore driven by regulatory and political headlines, with no durable cash-flow exhibit to offset the bearish chart structure.
7c1c4ef02d84eb9b97ff9d9c4b888fe900b4f3b439d748dca33d5c3ac8f1946314faabecdb7719003b4bda7de235e76e71170edaad505076d223f4a3b6d33cbe已于 2026-08-26T00:20:00+00:00 承诺 · 当日共 92 篇判定 · 核验这条链
本篇研报入库原文的 SHA-256。它就是当日写进承诺链的那个值——你可以自己重算一遍比对。
2026-08-31 · 2026-08-30 · 2026-08-29 · 2026-08-28 · 2026-08-27 · 2026-08-26 · 2026-08-24 · 2026-08-23