PYTH / 研报
呈现档位 = 立场 × 裁判信心度。结算口径永远是三档。
Bullish momentum intact as price holds +20.2% above the 50-day SMA.
⚖ 成文时间 2026-09-05 02:45 UTC
技术面信号强度
看多
C
市场情绪信号强度
看多
C
资金费率费率压力——评级是风险,不是方向
多头支付
A
KOL 共识结算档案质量
—
档案积累中
各维评级口径独立,刻意不做平均。
2026-08-29 — 中性 — +11.0% — 出带 ✗ 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
2026-08-28 — 增持 — +9.3% — 赢 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
2026-08-27 — 中性 — +10.2% — 出带 ✗ 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
2026-08-26 — 增持 — — — VOID
2026-08-25 — 减持 — -2.2% — 平 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
2026-08-24 — 减持 — -8.0% — 赢 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
2026-08-23 — 减持 — -10.9% — 赢 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
2026-08-22 — 增持 — — — VOID
2026-08-21 — 增持 — +1.4% — 平 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
2026-08-20 — 中性 — +0.5% — 带内 ✓ 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
2026-08-19 — 减持 — — — VOID
2026-08-16 — 减持 — +10.3% — 输 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
2026-08-15 — 减持 — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — 减持 — -3.8% — 赢 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
2026-08-13 — 减持 — -3.8% — 赢 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
2026-08-12 — 减持 — — — VOID
2026-08-11 — 减持 — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — 减持 — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — 减持 — -2.2% — 平 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
2026-08-08 — 减持 — +5.9% — 输 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
2026-08-06 — 减持 — +4.5% — 输 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
2026-08-05 — 减持 — +7.6% — 输 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
2026-08-04 — 减持 — +9.1% — 输 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
2026-08-02 — 减持 — +2.5% — 平 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
2026-08-01 — 减持 — -8.0% — 赢 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
2026-07-31 — 减持 — -8.3% — 赢 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
2026-07-30 — 减持 — -3.4% — 赢 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
2026-07-29 — 减持 — -3.2% — 赢 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
2026-07-28 — 减持 — -9.4% — 赢 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
2026-07-27 — 减持 — -8.5% — 赢 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
2026-07-26 — 减持 — -7.0% — 赢 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
2026-07-24 — 中性 — -11.4% — 出带 ✗ 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
2026-07-23 — 减持 — -14.8% — 赢 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
2026-07-22 — 中性 — -11.3% — 出带 ✗ 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
2026-07-21 — 中性 — -6.6% — 出带 ✗ 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
2026-07-20 — 中性 — -14.1% — 出带 ✗ 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
2026-07-19 — 减持 — -10.8% — 赢 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
2026-07-17 — 减持 — -10.3% — 赢 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
2026-07-16 — 减持 — -0.6% — 平 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
2026-07-15 — 增持 — -5.3% — 输 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
按 settle_v1 结算,7天 vs BTC——失误同样在档 · 完整结算档案 →
coin_evidence_v1 · 判读规则
生成时刻快照,由交易所数据计算——事实,非观点 · 价格 = 5 家交易所中位数
失效条件:Price closes below the 50-day SMA.。 保守读法:跌破 $0.0536 即本研报失效。 信心 中,不确定时观望。 空方核心:Leo, you're ignoring the 'Greed' reading of 73 on the Fear & Greed index, which often precedes a pullback.
平衡读法:下方裁定即基准情形。 方向 看多,时限 波段(数周)。
激进情形:Mara, the bears are pointing to the MACD histogram contracting, but that is just a breather after a 30-day surge of 39. 待突破阻力位在 $0.05962 附近。 时限:波段(数周)。
同一研报的三种风险读法 · 内容全部来自当日存档数据。
Mara, the bears are pointing to the MACD histogram contracting, but that is just a breather after a 30-day surge of 39.4%. The structure is bullish with the price sitting +20.2% above the 50-day SMA, proving the buyers are in control, not just lucky.
Leo, you're ignoring the 'Greed' reading of 73 on the Fear & Greed index, which often precedes a pullback. That 39.4% monthly gain is stretched, and with the price already 9.7% below the 60-day high, the path of least resistance is down, not up.
· Sentiment overheating at 73
· MACD momentum contraction
· Rejection at 60-day high
推翻条件: Price closes below the 50-day SMA.
You call it greed, I call it sustained momentum; the 54.4% long accounts show the crowd is aligned, and they aren't trapped until we break the 50-day SMA.
Alignment is fragility, Leo; if that 1.19 L/S ratio flips, the unwind will be swift because the price is already struggling near the 0.05481 high.
▶ Live Debate · 完整交锋(4)
You call it greed, I call it sustained momentum; the 54.4% long accounts show the crowd is aligned, and they aren't trapped until we break the 50-day SMA.
Alignment is fragility, Leo; if that 1.19 L/S ratio flips, the unwind will be swift because the price is already struggling near the 0.05481 high.
Struggling? We are miles away from the 60-day low of 0.03751; the market has absorbed the supply and is ready to test the 0.05962 resistance.
Testing resistance usually fails when sentiment hits 73; this looks like a blow-off top forming, not a base for a breakout.
I am siding with the bulls. The decisive exhibit is the price action maintaining a +20.2% premium to the 50-day SMA, which overrides the contracting momentum. The ruling is invalidated if the price closes below the 50-day SMA.
观点是 AI;结算是事实。 · data powered by VeraMind
技术分析师(Kai Nakamura)
Trend is clearly up with price +20.2% above the 50-day SMA and +22.0% above the 200-day SMA. RSI at 63.5 indicates strength without immediate overextension. MACD histogram is contracting but remains positive.
情绪分析师(Sofia Reyes)
Crowd psychology is firmly in 'Greed' territory with a Fear & Greed score of 73. Long accounts dominate at 54.4%, yet the taker buy/sell ratio of 0.94 suggests buyers are not aggressively chasing the ask.
宏观新闻分析师(Ed Walsh)
Headlines focus on price predictions and recent gains, questioning if the 12% rally marks a bigger move. Market news regarding Robinhood and UK ETNs suggests a generally favorable regulatory environment for assets.
基本面分析师(Priya Anand)
Data pack lacks specific tokenomics or on-chain flow data for a detailed fundamental assessment.
fb2c83f8ef0585b4fdceb94b6624f5df40bf156438ecf9a667e523d8b2b26f9b4910750d35ef228ada15e5324d077ec5e03b15a767441cb6079eaf80baffe165已于 2026-09-06T00:20:00+00:00 承诺 · 当日共 76 篇判定 · 核验这条链
本篇研报入库原文的 SHA-256。它就是当日写进承诺链的那个值——你可以自己重算一遍比对。
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