MKR / 研报
呈现档位 = 立场 × 裁判信心度。结算口径永远是三档。
RSI hits a literal 100.0 as price stalls at the 1650.1 ceiling, a classic exhaustion signal.
⚖ 成文时间 2026-09-05 02:00 UTC
技术面信号强度
看空
C
市场情绪信号强度
看空
C
资金费率费率压力——评级是风险,不是方向
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数据不足
KOL 共识结算档案质量
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档案积累中
各维评级口径独立,刻意不做平均。
2026-08-29 — 减持 — -2.3% — 平 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
2026-08-28 — 增持 — +0.6% — 平 核验这条结算
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2026-08-27 — 减持 — -0.9% — 平 核验这条结算
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2026-08-26 — 增持 — — — VOID
2026-08-25 — 增持 — +0.3% — 平 核验这条结算
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2026-08-24 — 减持 — +0.2% — 平 核验这条结算
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2026-08-23 — 减持 — -1.4% — 平 核验这条结算
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2026-08-22 — 中性 — — — VOID
2026-08-21 — 减持 — -8.5% — 赢 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
2026-08-20 — 中性 — -11.8% — 出带 ✗ 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
2026-08-19 — 中性 — — — VOID
2026-08-15 — 中性 — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — 中性 — -13.4% — 出带 ✗ 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
2026-08-13 — 减持 — -8.7% — 赢 核验这条结算
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2026-08-12 — 减持 — — — VOID
2026-08-11 — 中性 — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — 中性 — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — 中性 — — — VOID
2026-08-08 — 中性 — +3.0% — 带内 ✓ 核验这条结算
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2026-08-07 — 增持 — +1.4% — 平 核验这条结算
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2026-08-06 — 增持 — +1.6% — 平 核验这条结算
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2026-08-05 — 增持 — +0.8% — 平 核验这条结算
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2026-08-04 — 减持 — -0.6% — 平 核验这条结算
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2026-08-03 — 中性 — -2.5% — 带内 ✓ 核验这条结算
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2026-08-02 — 中性 — -3.2% — 出带 ✗ 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
2026-08-01 — 增持 — -3.0% — 平 核验这条结算
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2026-07-31 — 增持 — -0.9% — 平 核验这条结算
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2026-07-30 — 减持 — -0.9% — 平 核验这条结算
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2026-07-29 — 增持 — +0.0% — 平 核验这条结算
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2026-07-28 — 中性 — +0.1% — 带内 ✓ 核验这条结算
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2026-07-27 — 中性 — +2.8% — 带内 ✓ 核验这条结算
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2026-07-26 — 减持 — +2.4% — 平 核验这条结算
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2026-07-25 — 减持 — +1.9% — 平 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
2026-07-24 — 中性 — +0.2% — 带内 ✓ 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
2026-07-23 — 减持 — +3.4% — 输 核验这条结算
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2026-07-22 — 中性 — — — VOID
按 settle_v1 结算,7天 vs BTC——失误同样在档 · 完整结算档案 →
coin_evidence_v1 · 判读规则
生成时刻快照,由交易所数据计算——事实,非观点 · 价格 = 1 家交易所中位数
失效条件:Price breaks above 1650.1 with volume.。 保守读法:跌破 $1,650.10 即本研报失效。 信心 中,不确定时观望。 空方核心:Leo, calling a 'tight coil' when the 7d and 30d change is exactly 0.
平衡读法:下方裁定即基准情形。 方向 看空,时限 短线(数日)。
激进情形:Leo, calling a 'tight coil' when the 7d and 30d change is exactly 0. 需守住的关键支撑在 $1,650.10 附近。 时限:短线(数日)。
同一研报的三种风险读法 · 内容全部来自当日存档数据。
Mara, you're staring at the 1650.1 level and seeing a ceiling, but with the 50-day SMA holding above the 200-day, the structural floor is solid. That 100.0 RSI reading isn't a crash signal; it's a testament to how tightly this market is coiled, waiting for any spark to push us past this static price.
Leo, calling a 'tight coil' when the 7d and 30d change is exactly 0.0% is pure delusion. That RSI of 100.0 isn't strength, it's mathematical exhaustion—there is literally no one left to buy at 1650.1, and without volume, this 'structure' is just a flatline waiting to gap down.
· RSI exhaustion at 100.0
· Zero 30d price momentum
· Lack of social volume engagement
推翻条件: Price breaks above 1650.1 with volume.
You're ignoring the MACD histogram contraction at -1.77e-34; the momentum divergence is fading, which usually precedes the volatility expansion you claim is missing.
I'm not ignoring it, I'm laughing at it—near-zero MACD movement with a maxed-out RSI means price is stuck while the oscillator screams 'overbought', a classic bearish trap.
▶ Live Debate · 完整交锋(4)
You're ignoring the MACD histogram contraction at -1.77e-34; the momentum divergence is fading, which usually precedes the volatility expansion you claim is missing.
I'm not ignoring it, I'm laughing at it—near-zero MACD movement with a maxed-out RSI means price is stuck while the oscillator screams 'overbought', a classic bearish trap.
Even so, the Fear&Greed index sitting at 73 shows the crowd is comfortable, not panicking, which keeps the downside limited compared to the upside potential if we clear 1650.1.
Comfort is dangerous, Leo; a 73 reading with zero social messages on StockTwits implies the smart money is distributing into this greed, leaving late entrants to hold the bag.
I'm siding with Mara. The RSI of 100.0 at the 1650.1 high is the decisive exhibit of exhaustion. If price drops below 1650.1, the ruling is invalidated.
观点是 AI;结算是事实。 · data powered by VeraMind
技术分析师(Kai Nakamura)
Price is compressed at 1650.1 with RSI(14) pegged at 100.0, indicating extreme overbought conditions and zero upside momentum.
情绪分析师(Sofia Reyes)
Fear&Greed reads 73 (Greed), yet social volume is non-existent, suggesting retail complacency rather than active participation.
宏观新闻分析师(Ed Walsh)
Headlines focus on market maker infrastructure and exchange acquisitions, lacking specific MKR catalysts to justify a breakout.
基本面分析师(Priya Anand)
Flat 7d and 30d performance despite bullish MA structure implies the token is currently dead money.
015d0d4f9ff6ccd406845fe1147c6e8ad0bb3f386a8911e68ea29aceaee706744910750d35ef228ada15e5324d077ec5e03b15a767441cb6079eaf80baffe165已于 2026-09-06T00:20:00+00:00 承诺 · 当日共 76 篇判定 · 核验这条链
本篇研报入库原文的 SHA-256。它就是当日写进承诺链的那个值——你可以自己重算一遍比对。
2026-09-01 · 2026-08-31 · 2026-08-30 · 2026-08-29 · 2026-08-28 · 2026-08-27 · 2026-08-26 · 2026-08-25