LDO / 研报
呈现档位 = 立场 × 裁判信心度。结算口径永远是三档。
LDO surges 35% in 30 days as buyback proposal targets a 70% discount to median valuation.
⚖ 成文时间 2026-09-05 02:01 UTC
技术面信号强度
看多
C
市场情绪信号强度
看多
C
资金费率费率压力——评级是风险,不是方向
多头支付
A
KOL 共识结算档案质量
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档案积累中
各维评级口径独立,刻意不做平均。
2026-08-29 — 减持 — +8.0% — 输 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
2026-08-28 — 增持 — +7.4% — 赢 核验这条结算
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2026-08-27 — 中性 — +9.6% — 出带 ✗ 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
2026-08-26 — 增持 — — — VOID
2026-08-25 — 增持 — -3.7% — 输 核验这条结算
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2026-08-24 — 增持 — -9.7% — 输 核验这条结算
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2026-08-23 — 增持 — -4.2% — 输 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
2026-08-22 — 增持 — — — VOID
2026-08-21 — 增持 — -0.5% — 平 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
2026-08-20 — 增持 — -6.4% — 输 核验这条结算
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2026-08-19 — 减持 — — — VOID
2026-08-16 — 减持 — +0.8% — 平 核验这条结算
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2026-08-15 — 减持 — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — 减持 — -2.4% — 平 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
2026-08-13 — 减持 — +4.6% — 输 核验这条结算
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2026-08-12 — 减持 — — — VOID
2026-08-11 — 减持 — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — 减持 — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — 减持 — +5.5% — 输 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
2026-08-08 — 减持 — +5.0% — 输 核验这条结算
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2026-08-07 — 减持 — +4.6% — 输 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
2026-08-06 — 减持 — -0.5% — 平 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
2026-08-05 — 减持 — +6.9% — 输 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
2026-08-04 — 减持 — -10.8% — 赢 核验这条结算
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2026-08-03 — 减持 — -11.1% — 赢 核验这条结算
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2026-08-02 — 减持 — -14.6% — 赢 核验这条结算
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2026-08-01 — 减持 — -18.5% — 赢 核验这条结算
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2026-07-31 — 中性 — -21.6% — 出带 ✗ 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
2026-07-30 — 减持 — -18.4% — 赢 核验这条结算
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2026-07-29 — 中性 — -24.3% — 出带 ✗ 核验这条结算
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2026-07-28 — 中性 — -14.0% — 出带 ✗ 核验这条结算
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2026-07-27 — 中性 — -12.7% — 出带 ✗ 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
2026-07-26 — 中性 — -9.2% — 出带 ✗ 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
2026-07-25 — 减持 — -6.7% — 赢 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
2026-07-24 — 减持 — -4.9% — 赢 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
2026-07-23 — 中性 — -6.3% — 出带 ✗ 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
2026-07-22 — 中性 — -4.1% — 出带 ✗ 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
2026-07-21 — 中性 — +1.4% — 带内 ✓ 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
2026-07-20 — 中性 — +4.4% — 出带 ✗ 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
2026-07-19 — 减持 — +4.3% — 输 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
2026-07-17 — 中性 — +3.2% — 出带 ✗ 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
2026-07-16 — 中性 — +7.9% — 出带 ✗ 核验这条结算
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2026-07-15 — 中性 — +15.1% — 出带 ✗ 核验这条结算
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按 settle_v1 结算,7天 vs BTC——失误同样在档 · 完整结算档案 →
coin_evidence_v1 · 判读规则
生成时刻快照,由交易所数据计算——事实,非观点 · 价格 = 5 家交易所中位数
失效条件:Price closes below 0.3851.。 保守读法:跌破 $0.3851 即本研报失效。 信心 中,不确定时观望。 空方核心:Leo, you're ignoring the warning signs flashing right now; the RSI is already at 64.
平衡读法:下方裁定即基准情形。 方向 看多,时限 波段(数周)。
激进情形:I know the recent track record is ugly—four straight LOSS calls starting August 20, including a brutal -9. 待突破阻力位在 $0.4136 附近。 时限:波段(数周)。
同一研报的三种风险读法 · 内容全部来自当日存档数据。
I know the recent track record is ugly—four straight LOSS calls starting August 20, including a brutal -9.7% drop on the 24th—but those ghosts don't scare me. The market has completely flipped the script with a 30-day surge of 35.0%, and that proposed $20 million buyback while the token sits at a 70% discount is the kind of value catalyst that renders past technical failures obsolete.
Leo, you're ignoring the warning signs flashing right now; the RSI is already at 64.7, and we are sitting just -4.7% below the 60-day high of 0.4136. You're chasing a 35% monthly move that is clearly running into immediate resistance, and that buyback is just noise until it actually hits the chain.
· Resistance rejection at 0.4136
· Long crowding at 60.2%
· Buyback execution delay
推翻条件: Price closes below 0.3851.
Mara, resistance at 0.4136 is a speed bump, not a wall, especially with the MACD histogram expanding and price holding 9.2% above the SMA20.
That expansion is fading fast, Leo, and with 60.2% of accounts already long, the crowd is crowded—who is left to buy the breakout?
▶ Live Debate · 完整交锋(4)
Mara, resistance at 0.4136 is a speed bump, not a wall, especially with the MACD histogram expanding and price holding 9.2% above the SMA20.
That expansion is fading fast, Leo, and with 60.2% of accounts already long, the crowd is crowded—who is left to buy the breakout?
Mara has a point on the crowding; the L/S ratio is 1.51, but the taker buy/sell is 0.85, suggesting sellers are already hitting the bids at these levels.
Let them sell into a 70% discount; the buyback proposal acts as a floor, and the 30d momentum of 35% proves the smart money is front-running it.
I'm siding with the bulls on this one. The decisive exhibit is the 30-day price performance of +35.0%, which overrides the recent string of losses. If price breaks below the 60-day low of 0.2724, this thesis is dead.
观点是 AI;结算是事实。 · data powered by VeraMind
技术分析师(Kai Nakamura)
Price action is robust with a 30d gain of 35.0% and price sitting 20.8% above the SMA200. The bullish MA structure is confirmed with SMA50 5.5% above SMA200, and MACD histogram is expanding at +0.002791.
情绪分析师(Sofia Reyes)
Fear & Greed reads 73 (Greed) while long accounts dominate at 60.2% with an L/S ratio of 1.51. Taker buy/sell is 0.85, indicating some sell pressure into the rally, but the broader trend is clearly risk-on.
宏观新闻分析师(Ed Walsh)
Headlines focus on Lido DAO's proposed $20 million LDO buyback, explicitly citing the token is trading at a 70% discount to its two-year median. This fundamental catalyst is driving the current volatility and interest.
基本面分析师(Priya Anand)
The proposed $20 million buyback is a direct capital allocation signal intended to close the valuation gap. Trading at a steep discount to historical medians suggests potential mean reversion if the buyback executes.
7e92e062c31301be2b6242d3f271d423d9632d43deb6efe3966df449b93be9b84910750d35ef228ada15e5324d077ec5e03b15a767441cb6079eaf80baffe165已于 2026-09-06T00:20:00+00:00 承诺 · 当日共 76 篇判定 · 核验这条链
本篇研报入库原文的 SHA-256。它就是当日写进承诺链的那个值——你可以自己重算一遍比对。
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