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@jasonpizzino — settled call record

Hit rate · 0 hits · 0 misses · n=0 Archive building (n < 10) avg |move| of hits (absolute, vs USD)

Rate rule: kol_directional_v1 — read the full rule →

Small sample — the interval is wide and the number will move.

In three sentences

What @jasonpizzino has been sayingcycle trader

AI-distilled — our read of 40 public posts from the last 30 days, not their words. Every line links to the original so you can check us.

If you had followed

Follow the calls, or just hold BTC?

-$30following every call
-$14just holding BTC
-$16the difference

0 live · 20 backtested — never merged into one number.

These dollar figures are carried by backtests — hypothetical performance from applying the same rule to past statements, not a live track record. Live records: 0 / 20.

Each call is an independent $100 position, closed after 7 days — no compounding, no fees, no slippage. How this is scored →

Rating and benchmarks
33 Rating ahead of 33% of 22 rated accounts Vs benchmark -0.7pp

Hit rate (all directional calls) 25.0% (n=20 · tracked 502 days)

Benchmark (same direction) 25.7% (as of 2026-09-06)

Peer median 26.2% (of 22 rated accounts)

Percentile (hit rate) 40.9 (of 22 rated accounts)

Tier Average ★★★

Profit-loss ratio 5.63% / 4.17% = 1.4 : 1 (breakeven hit rate 42.6%)

Bull-bear mix ↑ 8 · ↓ 12 · → 0

Rating is computed on every settled directional call — live and backtested together. The prospective-only rate stays on the line above and is never merged into it.

Rating ranks accounts against each other on one shared yardstick. It is not a forecast, and it is not a statement about what following anyone would have earned.

Rating rule: kol_rating_v1 — read the full rule →

Directional record
Backtested records
Hit rate: 25% 5 hits · 15 misses · n=20

No prospective calls settled yet — the rate above stays blank until the first one lands. Everything below is backtested.

Settled after the fact from archived posts — the call was already on the record before we scored it, but we were not watching it live. Kept on a separate line and never merged into the prospective hit rate above.

CoinCallWhat they said Relative (ranked) Absolute (vs USD) SettledSource
BTC backtested ↑ Bullish Come on, pity bounce! 🔥 MISS -6.0% -6.0% 2026-08-18T23:00:13.970121+00:00 source post → · verdict →
BTC backtested ↓ Bearish Bitcoin is Crashing Through Bull Market Support HIT -10.0% -10.0% 2026-08-18T23:00:12.594065+00:00 source post → · verdict →
ETH backtested ↑ Bullish Ethereum local lows are confirmed. The hard work is ahead to overbalance the short-term bears. The minimum target is $113k 📈 MISS -4.0% -13.6% 2026-08-18T23:00:11.459400+00:00 source post → · verdict →
BTC backtested ↑ Bullish Bitcoin ... local lows are confirmed. The hard work is ahead to overbalance the short-term bears. The minimum target is $113k 📈 MISS -10.0% -10.0% 2026-08-18T23:00:10.777917+00:00 source post → · verdict →
ETH backtested ↓ Bearish Ethereum closed under the 50% level, confrims a daily lower high, and now looks to retest previous support base. HIT -5.4% -10.3% 2026-08-18T22:00:26.538791+00:00 source post → · verdict →
ETH backtested ↓ Bearish #ETH will retrace roughly 20-30% of its stellar move to $4900 before resuming the macro trend. MISS +3.3% +5.5% 2026-08-18T22:00:20.441076+00:00 source post → · verdict →
BTC backtested ↓ Bearish Bitcoin is heading towards the downside 50% level MISS -2.6% -2.6% 2026-08-18T22:00:08.626802+00:00 source post → · verdict →
XRP backtested ↑ Bullish XRP breaking resistance. $3.20 while USDT.Dom is falling. So far, so good. MISS -9.0% -9.7% 2026-08-18T21:00:36.087702+00:00 source post → · verdict →
BTC backtested ↑ Bullish Bitcoin is attempting to go parabolic as it breaks out of the 7-year resistance level. MISS -2.1% -2.1% 2026-08-18T21:00:32.056814+00:00 source post → · verdict →
BTC backtested ↓ Bearish An 8-year-old diagonal line is slowing down BTC's price gains. MISS +2.0% +2.0% 2026-08-18T20:00:37.611632+00:00 source post → · verdict →
BTC backtested ↑ Bullish - Bitcoin is lining up to test the next resistance level HIT +3.6% +3.6% 2026-08-18T17:30:11.975894+00:00 source post → · verdict →
BTC backtested ↓ Bearish Bitcoin: Journey To The Brutal Bottom MISS -0.8% -0.8% 2026-08-17T12:30:13.935667+00:00 source post → · verdict →
BTC backtested ↑ Bullish Bitcoin grinding higher... which isn't a bad thing for Bitcoin (or altcoins) this time! MISS -4.0% -4.0% 2026-08-17T11:30:06.830079+00:00 source post → · verdict →
BTC backtested ↓ Bearish Bitcoin: The Brutal Bottom Is Beginning MISS +4.7% +4.7% 2026-08-17T11:00:08.774763+00:00 source post → · verdict →
BTC backtested ↓ Bearish Bitcoin: Preparing for the Bottom MISS +8.1% +8.1% 2026-08-17T10:00:14.883717+00:00 source post → · verdict →
BTC backtested ↓ Bearish This account was bullish all the way down now flips as price tanks… HIT -4.1% -4.1% 2026-08-17T08:30:07.313755+00:00 source post → · verdict →
BTC backtested ↓ Bearish I've said many times that the tide is turning (the transition is approaching), but the trend is still down. MISS +2.4% +2.4% 2026-08-17T07:00:34.624214+00:00 source post → · verdict →
BTC backtested ↓ Bearish bull posting will die off as BTC price reaches its cycle low. MISS -2.8% -2.8% 2026-08-17T05:30:23.835380+00:00 source post → · verdict →
BTC backtested ↓ Bearish I just opened a $12M short. HIT -5.1% -5.1% 2026-08-17T05:30:20.445813+00:00 source post → · verdict →
BTC backtested ↑ Bullish I think enough buyers are stepping in now to support a ST rally MISS -0.9% -0.9% 2026-08-17T05:30:14.685123+00:00 source post → · verdict →

Relative = altcoins scored against BTC, BTC itself against USD — so BTC rows carry the same number in both columns. Absolute is always vs USD, and never carries a verdict.

Price-target record
Backtested records
Hit rate: 17% 1 hits · 5 misses · n=6

Settled after the fact from archived posts — the call was already on the record before we scored it, but we were not watching it live. Kept on a separate line and never merged into the prospective hit rate above.

Graded under price_target_v1 — did the stated price target print? A different rule, never merged into the directional rate above.

CoinCallResult SettledSource
BTC backtested MISS 2026-08-18 verdict →
BTC backtested > $118000 MISS 2026-08-18 verdict →
BTC backtested < $116000 HIT 2026-08-18 verdict →
ETH backtested MISS 2026-08-18 verdict →
XRP backtested MISS 2026-08-18 verdict →
BTC backtested MISS 2026-08-17 verdict →
Side by side with CoinVerdict
CoinVerdict win rate (settle_v1 vs BTC): 63%

Same ruler on both sides: kol_directional_v1 runs on identical parameters to settle_v1 — a 7-day window, a ±3% band, altcoins scored vs BTC and BTC vs USD. That is why the hit rate above and CoinVerdict's 63% can sit side by side. · How the two differ →

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Source: VeraMind settled-call ledger · only verified settlements, never open calls. · Chatter, recaps and "watching" posts never enter the ledger — only explicit calls are settled and counted.