@caprioleio — settled call record
Rate rule: kol_directional_v1 — read the full rule →
Small sample — the interval is wide and the number will move.
Follow the calls, or just hold BTC?
0 live · 4 backtested — never merged into one number.
These dollar figures are carried by backtests — hypothetical performance from applying the same rule to past statements, not a live track record. Live records: 0 / 4.
Each call is an independent $100 position, closed after 7 days — no compounding, no fees, no slippage. How this is scored →
No prospective calls settled yet — the rate above stays blank until the first one lands. Everything below is backtested.
Settled after the fact from archived posts — the call was already on the record before we scored it, but we were not watching it live. Kept on a separate line and never merged into the prospective hit rate above.
| Coin | Call | What they said | Relative (ranked) † | Absolute (vs USD) † | Settled | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | should be good for a local bounce. | MISS -6.0% | -6.0% | 2026-08-18T23:00:13.946646+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↓ Bearish | lower bitcoin | MISS -2.0% | -2.0% | 2026-08-17T12:00:04.676954+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↓ Bearish | Near term, rates above 4.6% is the biggest headwind to risk assets (equities, bitcoin). | HIT -3.2% | -3.2% | 2026-08-17T11:30:09.130915+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | Strong technical support at $70-71K for BTC, now would be as good a time as any for a bounce. | HIT +5.3% | +5.3% | 2026-08-17T05:30:11.012448+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
Relative = altcoins scored against BTC, BTC itself against USD — so BTC rows carry the same number in both columns. Absolute is always vs USD, and never carries a verdict.
Settled after the fact from archived posts — the call was already on the record before we scored it, but we were not watching it live. Kept on a separate line and never merged into the prospective hit rate above.
Graded under price_target_v1 — did the stated price target print? A different rule, never merged into the directional rate above.
| Coin | Call | Result | Settled | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC backtested | — | MISS | 2026-08-18 | verdict → |
| BTC backtested | — | MISS | 2026-08-17 | verdict → |
Same ruler on both sides: kol_directional_v1 runs on identical parameters to settle_v1 — a 7-day window, a ±3% band, altcoins scored vs BTC and BTC vs USD. That is why the hit rate above and CoinVerdict's 63% can sit side by side. · How the two differ →
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Media and creators may cite CoinVerdict data with attribution and a link back.
Source: VeraMind settled-call ledger · only verified settlements, never open calls. · Chatter, recaps and "watching" posts never enter the ledger — only explicit calls are settled and counted.