@LayahHeilpern — settled call record
Rate rule: kol_directional_v1 — read the full rule →
Small sample — the interval is wide and the number will move.
Follow the calls, or just hold BTC?
0 live · 3 backtested — never merged into one number.
These dollar figures are carried by backtests — hypothetical performance from applying the same rule to past statements, not a live track record. Live records: 0 / 3.
Each call is an independent $100 position, closed after 7 days — no compounding, no fees, no slippage. How this is scored →
No prospective calls settled yet — the rate above stays blank until the first one lands. Everything below is backtested.
Settled after the fact from archived posts — the call was already on the record before we scored it, but we were not watching it live. Kept on a separate line and never merged into the prospective hit rate above.
| Coin | Call | What they said | Relative (ranked) † | Absolute (vs USD) † | Settled | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC backtested | ↓ Bearish | here we go lower lows baby! | MISS +3.8% | +3.8% | 2026-08-20T21:30:02.671543+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↓ Bearish | support for bitcoin is about to break! | MISS +8.1% | +8.1% | 2026-08-20T21:30:02.633064+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↓ Bearish | And you think the bottom is in already? | MISS +0.7% | +0.7% | 2026-08-20T17:30:02.732375+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
Relative = altcoins scored against BTC, BTC itself against USD — so BTC rows carry the same number in both columns. Absolute is always vs USD, and never carries a verdict.
Settled after the fact from archived posts — the call was already on the record before we scored it, but we were not watching it live. Kept on a separate line and never merged into the prospective hit rate above.
Graded under price_target_v1 — did the stated price target print? A different rule, never merged into the directional rate above.
| Coin | Call | Result | Settled | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC backtested | — | MISS | 2026-08-20 | verdict → |
Same ruler on both sides: kol_directional_v1 runs on identical parameters to settle_v1 — a 7-day window, a ±3% band, altcoins scored vs BTC and BTC vs USD. That is why the hit rate above and CoinVerdict's 63% can sit side by side. · How the two differ →
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Source: VeraMind settled-call ledger · only verified settlements, never open calls. · Chatter, recaps and "watching" posts never enter the ledger — only explicit calls are settled and counted.