@52kskew — settled call record
Rate rule: kol_directional_v1 — read the full rule →
Small sample — the interval is wide and the number will move.
Follow the calls, or just hold BTC?
0 live · 12 backtested — never merged into one number.
These dollar figures are carried by backtests — hypothetical performance from applying the same rule to past statements, not a live track record. Live records: 0 / 12.
Each call is an independent $100 position, closed after 7 days — no compounding, no fees, no slippage. How this is scored →
No prospective calls settled yet — the rate above stays blank until the first one lands. Everything below is backtested.
Settled after the fact from archived posts — the call was already on the record before we scored it, but we were not watching it live. Kept on a separate line and never merged into the prospective hit rate above.
| Coin | Call | What they said | Relative (ranked) † | Absolute (vs USD) † | Settled | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | I do think we're seeing some substantial tradfi buying via coinbase | MISS -7.7% | -7.7% | 2026-08-18T22:30:07.035686+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | Important day ahead; Very contextual price area for the market to see resumed strength | MISS +2.0% | +2.0% | 2026-08-18T22:00:14.690604+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | → Sideways | Market consolidating here just under HTF supply & resistance | HIT +0.9% | +0.9% | 2026-08-18T21:00:07.977204+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | longs opening targeting higher | MISS +1.4% | +1.4% | 2026-08-18T21:00:06.511047+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↓ Bearish | Price now trading into the lower end of this current LTF balance Longs cutting here with spot selling continuing | HIT -4.5% | -4.5% | 2026-08-17T09:30:03.514009+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↓ Bearish | shorts opening into price here as market positions for lower | HIT -16.9% | -16.9% | 2026-08-17T08:30:03.113004+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↓ Bearish | consequently we're seeing pretty standard bleeding price action | HIT -13.8% | -13.8% | 2026-08-17T08:00:09.789059+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | → Sideways | price sideways, interesting | HIT -2.8% | -2.8% | 2026-08-17T08:00:07.332262+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | Price moving up here after a fairly significant short rotated out & into longs | MISS -4.0% | -4.0% | 2026-08-17T08:00:06.124739+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↓ Bearish | someone doesn't want higher prices | HIT -4.3% | -4.3% | 2026-08-17T07:30:07.945695+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | Looks like 2nd round of twap bidding here leading price higher | MISS -3.1% | -3.1% | 2026-08-17T07:30:04.661038+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | Someone seems to be getting squeezed today ~ $ 30M spoof chasing price higher | MISS -1.3% | -1.3% | 2026-08-17T07:30:03.847483+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | you want to see more of the same aggressive short covering in perps till there's a premium & continued spot buying | MISS -2.6% | -2.6% | 2026-08-17T07:00:35.786423+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | Market will want to see continued momentum higher & sustaining trend of HHs & HLs imo | MISS -5.3% | -5.3% | 2026-08-17T06:00:10.008379+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
Relative = altcoins scored against BTC, BTC itself against USD — so BTC rows carry the same number in both columns. Absolute is always vs USD, and never carries a verdict.
Settled after the fact from archived posts — the call was already on the record before we scored it, but we were not watching it live. Kept on a separate line and never merged into the prospective hit rate above.
Graded under price_target_v1 — did the stated price target print? A different rule, never merged into the directional rate above.
| Coin | Call | Result | Settled | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC backtested | — | MISS | 2026-08-18 | verdict → |
| BTC backtested | — | HIT | 2026-08-17 | verdict → |
| BTC backtested | > $82000 | MISS | 2026-08-16 | verdict → |
Same ruler on both sides: kol_directional_v1 runs on identical parameters to settle_v1 — a 7-day window, a ±3% band, altcoins scored vs BTC and BTC vs USD. That is why the hit rate above and CoinVerdict's 63% can sit side by side. · How the two differ →
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Source: VeraMind settled-call ledger · only verified settlements, never open calls. · Chatter, recaps and "watching" posts never enter the ledger — only explicit calls are settled and counted.