@100trillionUSD — settled call record
Rate rule: kol_directional_v1 — read the full rule →
Small sample — the interval is wide and the number will move.
Follow the calls, or just hold BTC?
0 live · 4 backtested — never merged into one number.
These dollar figures are carried by backtests — hypothetical performance from applying the same rule to past statements, not a live track record. Live records: 0 / 4.
Each call is an independent $100 position, closed after 7 days — no compounding, no fees, no slippage. How this is scored →
No prospective calls settled yet — the rate above stays blank until the first one lands. Everything below is backtested.
Settled after the fact from archived posts — the call was already on the record before we scored it, but we were not watching it live. Kept on a separate line and never merged into the prospective hit rate above.
| Coin | Call | What they said | Relative (ranked) † | Absolute (vs USD) † | Settled | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ETH backtested | ↓ Bearish | No ETH bull market pump in 2023/2024, like it did in 2017 and 2021... | MISS -1.7% | +2.1% | 2026-08-17T09:00:09.243536+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↓ Bearish | bitcoin ... is in bear now | MISS +5.9% | +5.9% | 2026-08-17T09:00:08.367541+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| ETH backtested | ↓ Bearish | Take ETH for example: -70% from its 2021 top and almost back to its 2017 top | MISS +1.2% | +7.1% | 2026-08-17T09:00:07.037151+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↓ Bearish | IMO data is telling us that we have not seen bottom formation yet, and that there is a >50% probablility that we go lower (below 200wma $61k or realized price $53k). | MISS -0.4% | -0.4% | 2026-08-17T08:30:08.989969+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
Relative = altcoins scored against BTC, BTC itself against USD — so BTC rows carry the same number in both columns. Absolute is always vs USD, and never carries a verdict.
Settled after the fact from archived posts — the call was already on the record before we scored it, but we were not watching it live. Kept on a separate line and never merged into the prospective hit rate above.
Graded under price_target_v1 — did the stated price target print? A different rule, never merged into the directional rate above.
| Coin | Call | Result | Settled | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC backtested | — | MISS | 2026-08-17 | verdict → |
| ETH backtested | — | MISS | 2026-08-17 | verdict → |
Same ruler on both sides: kol_directional_v1 runs on identical parameters to settle_v1 — a 7-day window, a ±3% band, altcoins scored vs BTC and BTC vs USD. That is why the hit rate above and CoinVerdict's 63% can sit side by side. · How the two differ →
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Source: VeraMind settled-call ledger · only verified settlements, never open calls. · Chatter, recaps and "watching" posts never enter the ledger — only explicit calls are settled and counted.