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PENDLE / The Verdict

generated 2026-08-31 03:46 UTC
$1.72
+0.81% · 24h
price as of 2026-08-31 03:46 UTC
Price source
📜 Archived verdict of 2026-08-31 — latest verdict → PENDLE
The Verdict
Overweight

Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.

PENDLE holds above $1.71 with RSI 61.5 and a 24.1% 30-day surge

⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-08-31 03:46 UTC

Technicalsignal strength Bullish C
Measures how strong the directional signal from price structure is. An analyst lists independent evidence families (trend, momentum, structure) from the data pack; code converts the count to a letter — 3+ families with no conflict = A+, 2 = B, 1 = D; conflicting evidence caps the grade at C; insufficient information gets no grade at all. The letter is signal strength — direction is shown separately. (evidence_rule_v1) full scales →
Sentimentsignal strength Neutral C
Same scale as Technical, applied to crowd evidence — fear/greed, positioning, and flow. 3+ independent evidence families with no conflict = A+, 2 = B, 1 = D; conflicts cap at C; not enough information, no grade. The letter says how loud the crowd signal is, not which way price will go. (evidence_rule_v1) full scales →
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction Longs pay A
Measures perpetual funding-rate pressure — risk, not direction. The smaller the 8-hour normalized rate, the calmer the market: under 0.5 bp = A+, then A, B, C, D as pressure grows, F beyond 10 bp (extreme crowding). Who pays (longs or shorts) is shown separately. Read A+ as “calm”, never as “bullish”. (funding_rule_v1) full scales →
KOL Consensussettled-record quality Archive building
Measures the quality and strength of on-record KOL consensus. Only authors with 20+ settled calls count. The majority share sets the base letter (85%+ = A+ down to 55%+ = D), but few qualified authors cap it — under 5 authors we show the direction and withhold the grade while the record builds. (kol_rule_v1) full scales →

Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.

Track record
7W–2L–10P · 4 neutral · since 2026-07-22
95% CI 45.3–93.7% · n=9 · early sample
2026-08-31 — Overweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-07
2026-08-30 — Overweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-06
2026-08-29 — Overweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-05
2026-08-28 — Overweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-04
2026-08-27 — Overweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-03
2026-08-26 — Overweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-02
2026-08-24 — Overweight — -5.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-24 · PENDLE price $1.813 · BTC $77645.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-31 · PENDLE price $1.7175 · BTC $77473.2
vs BTC
-5.1% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-23 — Overweight — +1.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-23 · PENDLE price $1.649 · BTC $77094.1
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-30 · PENDLE price $1.699 · BTC $78171.7
vs BTC
+1.6% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-22 — Overweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-08-29
2026-08-21 — Overweight — +3.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-21 · PENDLE price $1.546 · BTC $73322.8
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-28 · PENDLE price $1.7426 · BTC $80168.1
vs BTC
+3.1% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-20 — Overweight — +1.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-20 · PENDLE price $1.4982 · BTC $69631.8
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-27 · PENDLE price $1.725 · BTC $78922
vs BTC
+1.6% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Underweight → Overweight
2026-08-19 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — -1.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-14 · PENDLE price $1.353 · BTC $63504.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-21 · PENDLE price $1.546 · BTC $73322.8
vs BTC
-1.0% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-13 — Underweight — +3.3% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-13 · PENDLE price $1.3243 · BTC $63588.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-20 · PENDLE price $1.4982 · BTC $69631.8
vs BTC
+3.3% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-12 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-08 — Underweight — -2.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-08 · PENDLE price $1.3764 · BTC $64896.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-15 · PENDLE price $1.307 · BTC $63021.6
vs BTC
-2.2% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-07 — Underweight — +1.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-07 · PENDLE price $1.358 · BTC $64381
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-14 · PENDLE price $1.353 · BTC $63504.5
vs BTC
+1.0% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-06 — Underweight — -2.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-06 · PENDLE price $1.3774 · BTC $64604.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-13 · PENDLE price $1.3243 · BTC $63588.5
vs BTC
-2.3% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-05 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-05 · PENDLE price $1.388 · BTC $64023.8
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-12 · PENDLE price $1.338 · BTC $63546
vs BTC
-2.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-04 — Underweight — -1.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-04 · PENDLE price $1.356 · BTC $63558.1
Settled (T+8d)
2026-08-12 · PENDLE price $1.338 · BTC $63546
vs BTC
-1.3% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-03 — Underweight — -2.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-03 · PENDLE price $1.366 · BTC $63435.7
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-10 · PENDLE price $1.3628 · BTC $65054
vs BTC
-2.7% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-02 — Underweight — -2.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-02 · PENDLE price $1.387 · BTC $62914.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-09 · PENDLE price $1.4041 · BTC $64963.4
vs BTC
-2.0% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-01 — Underweight — -6.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-01 · PENDLE price $1.431 · BTC $62954.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-08 · PENDLE price $1.3764 · BTC $64896.5
vs BTC
-6.7% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-31 — Underweight — -5.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-31 · PENDLE price $1.417 · BTC $63805
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-07 · PENDLE price $1.358 · BTC $64381
vs BTC
-5.0% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-30 — Underweight — -4.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-30 · PENDLE price $1.433 · BTC $64044.7
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-06 · PENDLE price $1.3774 · BTC $64604.5
vs BTC
-4.7% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-29 — Underweight — -5.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-29 · PENDLE price $1.467 · BTC $64051
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-05 · PENDLE price $1.388 · BTC $64023.8
vs BTC
-5.3% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-28 — Underweight — -9.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-28 · PENDLE price $1.492 · BTC $63644.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-04 · PENDLE price $1.356 · BTC $63558.1
vs BTC
-9.0% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Neutral → Underweight
2026-07-27 — Neutral — -9.0% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-27 · PENDLE price $1.544 · BTC $65216
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-03 · PENDLE price $1.366 · BTC $63435.7
vs BTC
-9.0% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Underweight → Neutral
2026-07-26 — Underweight — -3.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-26 · PENDLE price $1.477 · BTC $64416
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-02 · PENDLE price $1.387 · BTC $62914.5
vs BTC
-3.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Neutral → Underweight
2026-07-24 — Neutral — -9.3% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-24 · PENDLE price $1.5657 · BTC $64928
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-31 · PENDLE price $1.417 · BTC $64779.5
vs BTC
-9.3% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-23 — Neutral — -9.3% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-23 · PENDLE price $1.6341 · BTC $66209
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-30 · PENDLE price $1.433 · BTC $64044.7
vs BTC
-9.3% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-22 — Neutral — -6.8% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-22 · PENDLE price $1.621 · BTC $65937.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-29 · PENDLE price $1.467 · BTC $64051
vs BTC
-6.8% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →

The evidence
Bull evidence ✓ aligns with this verdict
Bear evidence
Market state

coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read

Price
Price at verdict$1.72 +0.8% 24h
60d high1.98 -13.5%
60d low1.25 +37.6%
RSI(14)61.5
vs 200d SMA +21.6%
30d change +24.1%
Funding (net) +1.00 bp/8h
Fear & Greed62 · Greed
Long accounts46.3% long

snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 5 exchanges

Read this ruling three ways

Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.

The Deliberation
LV
Bull Research (Leo Vance)
VS
MF
Bear Research (Mara Frost)
!
THE RISKS — is the uncertainty laid out?

Invalidation: A close below $1.699 accompanied by RSI falling below 50 overturns the bullish ruling.

⚔ Key clashes
LV
Bull Research (Leo Vance)
MF
Bear Research (Mara Frost)
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(5)
LV
Bull Research (Leo Vance)
MF
Bear Research (Mara Frost)
TO
Positioning Desk (Theo Okafor)
DV
Macro Desk (Dmitri Volkov)
LV
Bull Research (Leo Vance)
JA
Risk Committee · Final Ruling
Chief Adjudicator (Aldrich)
DirectionBullish
ConfidenceMedium
HorizonWeeks (swing)
Key support$1.70
Key resistance$1.99
InvalidationA close below $1.699 accompanied by RSI falling below 50 overturns the bullish ruling.
Main riskscontracting MACD momentum$1.985 resistance overheadfunding rate unavailable
KOL Settlement Seat
Calls on record: 0 up · 0 down

Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind

Analyst notes
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)

Direction: bullish. Evidence families: RSI 61.5; price above SMA20, SMA50, and SMA200 by 10.1%, 14.0%, and 21.6%; bullish moving-average structure. Conflicts: MACD histogram is positive at +0.01281 but contracting; 7-day return is -2.9%. Sufficiency: adequate.

Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)

Direction: neutral. Evidence families: Fear & Greed at 62; long accounts at 46.3%; long/short ratio 0.86; taker buy/sell at 0.97. Conflicts: greed is elevated, but account breadth and taker flow do not show aggressive long dominance; StockTwits had 0 messages. Sufficiency: adequate.

Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)

The headline flow is mostly prediction content, not a fresh fundamental catalyst. The notable company-specific item says PENDLE rose 12.5% as buyers absorbed whale selling and spot outflows reduced supply, but that is supportive context rather than a new earnings-style trigger.

Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)

The pack offers no fresh protocol revenue, token-supply, or yield data to establish a heavy fundamental case. Price support from absorbed whale supply is constructive, but the valuation argument stays technically led.

Provenance
Report fingerprint
b37839bca79d17ce70b5ec99b6959e8eadcf18f0b65b1bb0a9790fa13d225ead
UTC date
2026-08-31

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