MON / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
MON slides 4.59% to $0.02028 as RSI 41.5 and bearish moving-average structure keep pressure on
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-07-28 02:24 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Longs pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-09-01 — Neutral — — — VOID
2026-08-31 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-30 — Neutral — — — VOID
2026-08-29 — Neutral — — — VOID
2026-08-28 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-27 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-26 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-25 — Underweight — -16.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-24 — Neutral — -10.1% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-23 — Underweight — -3.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-22 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-19 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-16 — Underweight — +8.5% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-13 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-12 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-11 — Neutral — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Underweight — +2.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-08 — Underweight — +3.4% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-07 — Underweight — +6.5% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-06 — Underweight — +5.2% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Underweight — +4.6% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Underweight — +2.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-03 — Underweight — -1.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Underweight — -1.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Underweight — -2.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Underweight — -5.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Underweight — -1.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Underweight — -1.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Underweight — +4.5% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Underweight — +0.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Underweight — +2.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Underweight — -1.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Neutral — -5.8% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Neutral — -6.0% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 4 exchanges
Invalidation: A decisive close above $0.02621 with RSI above 50 invalidates the bearish ruling.. Cautious read: a break below $0.01771 voids this research. Confidence High — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: I’m Mara Frost, and Leo’s “loaded spring” is being held by buyers who are already losing: 59.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: I’m Mara Frost, and Leo’s “loaded spring” is being held by buyers who are already losing: 59. Key support to defend sits near $0.01771. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’m Leo Vance, and yes, MON is down 4.5885% in 24 hours and sits 14.9% below SMA200—but that damage is already splashed across the tape. Fear & Greed at 29 and the 60-day low at $0.01771 give me a loaded spring: if $0.02028 holds, the prior 30-day gain of 8.7% can reassert itself.
I’m Mara Frost, and Leo’s “loaded spring” is being held by buyers who are already losing: 59.4% of accounts are long, yet taker buy/sell is only 0.87. His $0.02028 hold has no authority while MACD is expanding at -0.000262 and price remains beneath every major moving average.
· oversold bounce from Fear & Greed 29
· MetaMask adoption catalyst
· Phantom support ending August 26
Invalidation: A decisive close above $0.02621 with RSI above 50 invalidates the bearish ruling.
Mara, you’re treating $0.01771 as destiny when it’s still 14.5% below spot. A fearful crowd can reverse violently once that obvious downside level fails to break.
Leo, the exact problem is your crowd argument: longs are already crowded at a 1.46 ratio, while takers sell more than they buy. That isn’t fuel for a rally; it’s inventory for liquidation.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, you’re treating $0.01771 as destiny when it’s still 14.5% below spot. A fearful crowd can reverse violently once that obvious downside level fails to break.
Leo, the exact problem is your crowd argument: longs are already crowded at a 1.46 ratio, while takers sell more than they buy. That isn’t fuel for a rally; it’s inventory for liquidation.
I’m Theo Okafor, and without funding data I won’t invent a squeeze premium. The available positioning evidence favors Mara: long accounts at 59.4% and taker flow at 0.87 show optimism meeting real selling.
I’m Dmitri Volkov, and the broader Senate delay removes a near-term regulatory tailwind. MON needs a liquidity bid it hasn’t shown; until then, $0.02621 is overhead, not a promise.
I’m Judge Aldrich, and the bears win on the single decisive exhibit: expanding negative MACD at -0.000262 alongside MON trading 14.9% below SMA200. I rule bearish for weeks, with $0.01771 as the key downside test and $0.02621 as resistance; I overturn this ruling only on a decisive close above $0.02621 with RSI reclaiming 50.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
I’m Kai Nakamura, and my chart says bearish: MON sits 7.8% below SMA20, 5.1% below SMA50, and 14.9% below SMA200, while MACD histogram at -0.000262 is expanding. The $0.01771 60-day low is the downside magnet; $0.02621 is major resistance. Direction: bearish; evidence families: trend, momentum, moving averages, support/resistance; conflicts: 30-day performance is still +8.7%; sufficiency: adequate.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
I’m Sofia Reyes, and the crowd is fearful at 29 on Fear & Greed, but not washed out: 59.4% of accounts are long, with a 1.46 long/short ratio. Taker buy/sell at 0.87 shows sellers still have the initiative. Direction: bearish; evidence families: fear gauge, account positioning, taker flow; conflicts: fear can fuel a contrarian bounce; sufficiency: adequate.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
I’m Ed Walsh, and the headline tape is a knife edge: Phantom plans to end Monad support on August 26, while MetaMask is launching a yield-paying money account on Monad. The Senate’s delayed Clarity Act is broad crypto noise, not a MON-specific catalyst; wallet-support risk carries more immediate relevance.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
I’m Priya Anand, and the data pack offers one constructive adoption headline—MetaMask’s yield-paying money account on Monad—but no token-economics figures to quantify its impact. Phantom’s planned support cutoff on August 26 is a concrete distribution risk, and the pack provides no supply, unlock, revenue, or valuation metrics to overturn the technical weakness.
bce1f3c94818c8b66ee9535f25ca5ee4fddbd5993542e50e1a4d158dedacd3b71b179784d8d4e946c4157221c78e88b8ad0a662850703693246f2e057ba3ed4fCommitted 2026-07-29T00:20:00+00:00 · 100 rulings that day · Check the chain
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2026-09-01 · 2026-08-31 · 2026-08-30 · 2026-08-29 · 2026-08-28 · 2026-08-27 · 2026-08-26 · 2026-08-25 · 2026-08-24