LTC / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
LTC at $46.4 is still trapped 13.5% below its 60-day high
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-07-22 08:56 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Longs pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-29 — Underweight — +0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-28 — Underweight — +2.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-27 — Underweight — +0.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-26 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-25 — Underweight — -5.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-24 — Underweight — -6.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-23 — Underweight — -8.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-22 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-21 — Underweight — -4.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-20 — Neutral — -5.7% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-16 — Underweight — -2.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — -7.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-13 — Underweight — -4.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-12 — Underweight — -5.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-11 — Underweight — -4.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Underweight — -1.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-08 — Underweight — -0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-07 — Underweight — -0.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-06 — Underweight — +0.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-05 — Underweight — +2.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-04 — Underweight — +1.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-03 — Underweight — -0.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-02 — Underweight — +0.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-01 — Underweight — -0.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-31 — Underweight — -1.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-30 — Underweight — -0.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-29 — Underweight — -3.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-28 — Underweight — -3.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-27 — Underweight — -3.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-26 — Underweight — -2.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-25 — Underweight — -2.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-24 — Neutral — -2.9% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-23 — Neutral — -0.6% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-22 — Underweight — +2.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-21 — Underweight — -0.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-20 — Underweight — -0.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-19 — Neutral — +0.1% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-17 — Underweight — +2.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-16 — Neutral — +2.1% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-15 — Neutral — +0.8% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-14 — Neutral — — — VOID
graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions
Invalidation: A daily close above $53.64 with RSI(14) above 60 overturns the bearish ruling.. Cautious read: a break below $39.25 voids this research. Confidence High — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, you’re polishing a bounce that still closes at $46.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo, you’re polishing a bounce that still closes at $46. Key support to defend sits near $39.25. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’ll concede the ugliest number, Mara: LTC is 15.2% below its SMA200 and the 50-day average sits 19.4% under it. But that damage is stale baggage; price is now 5.2% above SMA50, RSI is a healthy 57.2, and the 7-day gain is 2.8%—the rebound is already putting pressure on the shorts.
Leo, you’re polishing a bounce that still closes at $46.4, down 2.725% in 24 hours and 13.5% beneath $53.64. Your 5.2% above SMA50 is the key number, and it proves only that LTC lifted off the floor; with SMA50 still 19.4% below SMA200, the primary trend is intact and hostile.
· short-term rebound from $39.25
· fear-driven contrarian buying
· ETF-adoption headline momentum
Invalidation: A daily close above $53.64 with RSI(14) above 60 overturns the bearish ruling.
Mara, the 39.25 60-day low is 18.2% below spot, so the market has already rejected the breakdown zone. A 0.3123 positive MACD histogram says the buyers still have a pulse.
A pulse isn’t a trend, Leo; that MACD histogram is contracting. And the ceiling is $53.64—only a 13.5% climb away—while your supposed buyers just printed a 0.98 taker buy/sell ratio.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, the 39.25 60-day low is 18.2% below spot, so the market has already rejected the breakdown zone. A 0.3123 positive MACD histogram says the buyers still have a pulse.
A pulse isn’t a trend, Leo; that MACD histogram is contracting. And the ceiling is $53.64—only a 13.5% climb away—while your supposed buyers just printed a 0.98 taker buy/sell ratio.
I’ll put the positioning on the table: 68.3% of long accounts and a 2.16 long/short ratio leave little room for a clean squeeze higher. Fear & Greed at 33 may look contrarian, but crowded longs are the more immediate fuel for liquidation.
Theo’s right, and the macro tape adds weight: Bitcoin is under $66,000 ahead of Alphabet earnings. LTC needs broad liquidity to reclaim $53.64; the pack shows no such tailwind.
I award the ruling to the bears, based on the single decisive exhibit: SMA50 sits 19.4% below SMA200 while LTC remains 15.2% below SMA200. I would overturn this call only on a daily close above $53.64 with RSI(14) holding above 60.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
I read LTC as bearish: RSI(14) is 57.2 and price sits 2.7% above SMA20 and 5.2% above SMA50, but it remains 15.2% below SMA200 with SMA50 trailing SMA200 by 19.4%. Evidence families: momentum, moving averages, MACD, multi-timeframe performance. Conflict: short-term momentum is positive while the long-term MA structure is bearish; sufficiency: adequate.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
I see bearish crowd psychology: Fear & Greed is 33, long accounts are 68.3% with a 2.16 long/short ratio, and taker buy/sell is 0.98. Evidence families: fear gauge, account positioning, taker flow. Conflict: fearful sentiment can fuel a rebound, but crowded longs are vulnerable; sufficiency: adequate.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
The bullish headlines pitch $100 to $500 targets and even a possible $200 cycle breakout, but they’re promotional forecasts, not catalysts. The broader tape has Bitcoin under $66,000 while traders wait on Alphabet earnings, so risk appetite is hardly wearing a tuxedo.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
Litecoin’s longevity since 2011 supports durability, and the reported addition to a T. Rowe Price crypto ETF is a constructive adoption headline. The pack provides no valuation, network-usage, supply, or revenue metrics, so fundamentals cannot outweigh the chart.
caaaad76b57c1a61f481aadc43d4a02f124e0ad99cb1e27a16dfa67e3c0c0051d60befb007b8b2c9bb2f3e860a595495bb4427a42c1d8f8851947ca5b9c4caf9Committed 2026-07-24T10:21:07+00:00 · 98 rulings that day · Check the chain
SHA-256 of this report as stored. It is the exact value committed to that day's chain — recompute it yourself and compare.
2026-09-05 · 2026-09-01 · 2026-08-31 · 2026-08-30 · 2026-08-29 · 2026-08-28 · 2026-08-27 · 2026-08-26 · 2026-08-25