KAS / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
KAS sits at $0.02771 with RSI 39.3 and a 60-day low only 4.5% below
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-07-20 07:21 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Longs pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-29 — Underweight — +3.8% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-28 — Neutral — +0.7% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-27 — Underweight — +5.5% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-26 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-25 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-24 — Underweight — -5.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-23 — Underweight — -7.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-22 — Neutral — — — VOID
2026-08-21 — Neutral — -3.8% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-20 — Underweight — -8.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-19 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-16 — Underweight — -6.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — -3.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-13 — Underweight — -3.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-12 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-11 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Underweight — -0.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-08 — Underweight — -1.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-07 — Underweight — -0.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-06 — Underweight — -0.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Underweight — -0.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Underweight — -1.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-03 — Underweight — -4.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Underweight — -3.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Underweight — -5.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Underweight — -8.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Underweight — -5.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Underweight — -6.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Underweight — -6.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Neutral — -5.8% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Underweight — -2.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-25 — Underweight — +0.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Underweight — -0.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Underweight — +0.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Underweight — +2.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-21 — Underweight — +1.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-20 — Underweight — +3.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-19 — Underweight — +1.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-17 — Underweight — -2.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-16 — Underweight — -4.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-15 — Underweight — -2.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions
Invalidation: The bearish ruling is invalidated by a sustained reclaim of $0.02927 with RSI above 50.. Cautious read: a break below $0.02652 voids this research. Confidence High — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, that $0.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo, that $0. Key support to defend sits near $0.02652. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’ll concede the ugly number, colleagues: KAS is 18.0% under its SMA200 and the MACD histogram is expanding at -0.0001043. But RSI at 39.3 isn’t capitulation, and the price is only 4.5% above the 60-day low of $0.02652—bad news is already stamped into the ticket, Leo says; a rebound needs only a small spark.
Leo, that $0.02652 distance is precisely the trap: a support level 4.5% below is not a floor when the entire moving-average structure points down. KAS is below every major average, down 6.9% over 30 days, and your “priced in” claim ignores that 59.5% of accounts are still long.
· Sharp relief rally from the $0.02652 low
· Kaspa upgrade-driven adoption surprise
· Broad crypto-market rebound
Invalidation: The bearish ruling is invalidated by a sustained reclaim of $0.02927 with RSI above 50.
Leo, you’re calling a 39.3 RSI stale pain, but the MACD histogram is expanding negatively. Show me the reversal, not the possibility of one.
Mara, the reversal can start from the 60-day low zone; a fearful 29 reading is fuel if sellers exhaust. You’re treating proximity to $0.02652 as a guaranteed breakdown.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Leo, you’re calling a 39.3 RSI stale pain, but the MACD histogram is expanding negatively. Show me the reversal, not the possibility of one.
Mara, the reversal can start from the 60-day low zone; a fearful 29 reading is fuel if sellers exhaust. You’re treating proximity to $0.02652 as a guaranteed breakdown.
Mara has the positioning problem right: 59.5% long accounts, L/S 1.47, and taker buy/sell 0.95. That’s not washed-out positioning; it’s a crowd leaning into a falling market.
And Bitcoin under $64,000 while oil bounces and the AI selloff lingers is no liquidity gift. Leo’s spark needs oxygen, and the macro tape is taking it away.
I rule for Mara’s bears, and the single decisive exhibit is KAS trading 18.0% below SMA200 with an expanding -0.0001043 MACD histogram. My ruling is overturned only if KAS reclaims $0.02927, the approximate level implied by its 5.6% discount to SMA20, while RSI rises above 50.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
Kai Nakamura: Bearish. KAS is below SMA20 by 5.6%, SMA50 by 7.1%, and SMA200 by 18.0%; the SMA50 sits 11.8% below the SMA200. MACD histogram is -0.0001043 and expanding, while RSI 39.3 is weak but not yet deeply oversold.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Sofia Reyes: Bearish. Fear & Greed is 29, and taker buy/sell at 0.95 shows sellers have the edge. Yet 59.5% of long accounts and a 1.47 long/short ratio leave plenty of hopeful positioning to unwind.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
Ed Walsh: Bearish. The upgrade headlines and 15% rally narrative are fighting the tape, while the latest local report instead describes a 3.1% drop in a low-volume, fearful market. Bitcoin slipping under $64,000 amid oil strength and an AI-led selloff adds a hostile macro backdrop.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
Priya Anand: Constructive but unproven. Kaspa’s major-upgrade coverage presents a credible adoption narrative and a possible top-10 ambition, but the data pack supplies no concrete adoption, revenue, supply, or valuation figures. That leaves the fundamental case unable to overpower the damaged chart.
568eab330b5256a78476354d7c6358b8eecae1dfa61e1ee7c34a41ead85ff588bb295d7aae9e558a346e804945fde08e4613bfb70347c2a2bf2fe08f555e4fc6Committed 2026-07-24T10:21:07+00:00 · 67 rulings that day · Check the chain
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2026-09-05 · 2026-08-31 · 2026-08-30 · 2026-08-29 · 2026-08-28 · 2026-08-27 · 2026-08-26 · 2026-08-25 · 2026-08-24