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GALA / The Verdict

generated 2026-08-19 02:07 UTC
$0.00
-14.52% · 24h
price as of 2026-08-19 02:07 UTC
Price source
📜 Archived verdict of 2026-08-19 — latest verdict → GALA
The Verdict
Sell

Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.

GALA’s 0.001372 price sits 53.5% below its SMA200 as the selloff presses toward 0.001355

⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-08-19 02:07 UTC

Technicalsignal strength Bearish C
Measures how strong the directional signal from price structure is. An analyst lists independent evidence families (trend, momentum, structure) from the data pack; code converts the count to a letter — 3+ families with no conflict = A+, 2 = B, 1 = D; conflicting evidence caps the grade at C; insufficient information gets no grade at all. The letter is signal strength — direction is shown separately. (evidence_rule_v1) full scales →
Sentimentsignal strength Bearish C
Same scale as Technical, applied to crowd evidence — fear/greed, positioning, and flow. 3+ independent evidence families with no conflict = A+, 2 = B, 1 = D; conflicts cap at C; not enough information, no grade. The letter says how loud the crowd signal is, not which way price will go. (evidence_rule_v1) full scales →
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction Shorts pay C
Measures perpetual funding-rate pressure — risk, not direction. The smaller the 8-hour normalized rate, the calmer the market: under 0.5 bp = A+, then A, B, C, D as pressure grows, F beyond 10 bp (extreme crowding). Who pays (longs or shorts) is shown separately. Read A+ as “calm”, never as “bullish”. (funding_rule_v1) full scales →
KOL Consensussettled-record quality Archive building
Measures the quality and strength of on-record KOL consensus. Only authors with 20+ settled calls count. The majority share sets the base letter (85%+ = A+ down to 55%+ = D), but few qualified authors cap it — under 5 authors we show the direction and withhold the grade while the record builds. (kol_rule_v1) full scales →

Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.

Track record
17W–2L–12P · since 2026-07-15
95% CI 68.6–97.1% · n=19 · early sample
2026-08-31 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-07
2026-08-30 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-06
2026-08-29 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-05
2026-08-28 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-04
2026-08-27 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-03
2026-08-26 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-02
2026-08-25 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-01
2026-08-24 — Underweight — -11.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-24 · GALA price $0.001906 · BTC $77645.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-31 · GALA price $0.001683 · BTC $77473.2
vs BTC
-11.5% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-23 — Underweight — -9.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-23 · GALA price $0.001924 · BTC $77094.1
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-30 · GALA price $0.00176 · BTC $78171.7
vs BTC
-9.8% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-21 — Underweight — +3.4% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-21 · GALA price $0.00166 · BTC $73322.8
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-28 · GALA price $0.001876 · BTC $80168.1
vs BTC
+3.4% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-20 — Underweight — +10.8% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-20 · GALA price $0.001438 · BTC $69631.8
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-27 · GALA price $0.001806 · BTC $78922
vs BTC
+10.8% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-19 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-16 — Underweight — -4.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-16 · GALA price $0.001639 · BTC $63070.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-23 · GALA price $0.001924 · BTC $77094.1
vs BTC
-4.0% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — -14.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-14 · GALA price $0.001678 · BTC $63504.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-21 · GALA price $0.00166 · BTC $73322.8
vs BTC
-14.3% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-13 — Underweight — -19.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-13 · GALA price $0.001632 · BTC $63588.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-20 · GALA price $0.001438 · BTC $69631.8
vs BTC
-19.5% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-12 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-11 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Underweight — -6.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-09 · GALA price $0.001795 · BTC $64963.4
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-16 · GALA price $0.001639 · BTC $63070.5
vs BTC
-6.0% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-08 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-08 · GALA price $0.001777 · BTC $64896.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-15 · GALA price $0.001676 · BTC $63021.6
vs BTC
-2.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-07 — Underweight — -5.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-07 · GALA price $0.001799 · BTC $64381
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-14 · GALA price $0.001678 · BTC $63504.5
vs BTC
-5.4% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-06 — Underweight — -7.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-06 · GALA price $0.001788 · BTC $64604.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-13 · GALA price $0.001632 · BTC $63588.5
vs BTC
-7.3% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-05 — Underweight — -2.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-05 · GALA price $0.001778 · BTC $64023.8
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-12 · GALA price $0.001728 · BTC $63546
vs BTC
-2.1% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-04 — Underweight — -0.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-04 · GALA price $0.0018 · BTC $63558.1
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-11 · GALA price $0.001801 · BTC $63941.5
vs BTC
-0.5% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-03 — Underweight — -2.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-03 · GALA price $0.001781 · BTC $63435.7
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-10 · GALA price $0.001781 · BTC $65054
vs BTC
-2.5% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-02 — Underweight — -1.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-02 · GALA price $0.00176 · BTC $62914.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-09 · GALA price $0.001795 · BTC $64963.4
vs BTC
-1.2% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-01 — Underweight — -5.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-01 · GALA price $0.001826 · BTC $62954.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-08 · GALA price $0.001777 · BTC $64896.5
vs BTC
-5.6% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-31 — Underweight — -0.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-31 · GALA price $0.001785 · BTC $63805
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-07 · GALA price $0.001799 · BTC $64381
vs BTC
-0.1% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-30 — Underweight — -1.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-30 · GALA price $0.001805 · BTC $64044.7
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-06 · GALA price $0.001788 · BTC $64604.5
vs BTC
-1.8% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-29 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-29 · GALA price $0.001832 · BTC $64051
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-05 · GALA price $0.001778 · BTC $64023.8
vs BTC
-2.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-28 — Underweight — -2.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-28 · GALA price $0.001839 · BTC $63644.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-04 · GALA price $0.0018 · BTC $63558.1
vs BTC
-2.0% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-27 — Underweight — -8.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-27 · GALA price $0.002003 · BTC $65216
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-03 · GALA price $0.001781 · BTC $63435.7
vs BTC
-8.6% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-26 — Underweight — -9.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-26 · GALA price $0.001987 · BTC $64416
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-02 · GALA price $0.00176 · BTC $62914.5
vs BTC
-9.3% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-24 — Underweight — -10.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-24 · GALA price $0.001998 · BTC $64928
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-31 · GALA price $0.001785 · BTC $64779.5
vs BTC
-10.5% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-23 — Underweight — -9.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-23 · GALA price $0.002053 · BTC $66209
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-30 · GALA price $0.001805 · BTC $64044.7
vs BTC
-9.1% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-22 — Underweight — -7.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-22 · GALA price $0.002044 · BTC $65937.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-29 · GALA price $0.001832 · BTC $64051
vs BTC
-7.7% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-21 — Underweight — -6.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-21 · GALA price $0.002018 · BTC $65161.4
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-28 · GALA price $0.001839 · BTC $63644.6
vs BTC
-6.7% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-20 — Underweight — -2.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-20 · GALA price $0.00201 · BTC $63745.4
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-27 · GALA price $0.002003 · BTC $65216
vs BTC
-2.6% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-19 — Underweight — -4.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-19 · GALA price $0.002094 · BTC $64708.7
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-26 · GALA price $0.001987 · BTC $64416
vs BTC
-4.7% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-17 — Underweight — -5.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-17 · GALA price $0.00208 · BTC $63739.1
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-24 · GALA price $0.001998 · BTC $64928
vs BTC
-5.7% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-16 — Underweight — -0.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-16 · GALA price $0.002021 · BTC $64777.8
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-23 · GALA price $0.002053 · BTC $66209
vs BTC
-0.6% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-15 — Underweight — -0.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-15 · GALA price $0.002034 · BTC $65000.1
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-22 · GALA price $0.002073 · BTC $66588
vs BTC
-0.5% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →

The evidence
Bear evidence ✓ aligns with this verdict
Market state

coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read

Price
Price at verdict$0.001372 -14.5% 24h
60d high0.002769 -50.5%
60d low0.001355 +1.2%
RSI(14)20.1
vs 200d SMA -53.5%
30d change -32.6%
Funding (net) -3.15 bp/8h
Fear & Greed46 · Fear
Long accounts58.2% long
StockTwits (self-tagged)0 bull / 0 bear · 3 msgs

snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 5 exchanges

Read this ruling three ways

Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.

The Deliberation
LV
Bull Research (Leo Vance)
VS
MF
Bear Research (Mara Frost)
!
THE RISKS — is the uncertainty laid out?

Invalidation: The bearish ruling is overturned by a sustained recovery above SMA20, approximately 0.001639 based on the current 19.5% discount.

⚔ Key clashes
LV
Bull Research (Leo Vance)
MF
Bear Research (Mara Frost)
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
LV
Bull Research (Leo Vance)
MF
Bear Research (Mara Frost)
TO
Positioning Desk (Theo Okafor)
DV
Macro Desk (Dmitri Volkov)
JA
Risk Committee · Final Ruling
Chief Adjudicator (Aldrich)
DirectionBearish
ConfidenceHigh
HorizonWeeks (swing)
Key support$0.001355
Key resistance$0.001639
InvalidationThe bearish ruling is overturned by a sustained recovery above SMA20, approximately 0.001639 based on the current 19.5% discount.
Main risksoversold relief rallybreakdown below 0.001355Gala Games security and credibility overhang
KOL Settlement Seat
Calls on record: 0 up · 0 down

Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind

Analyst notes
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)

RSI(14) is 20.1, but oversold is not a reversal signal while price sits 19.5% below SMA20, 29.0% below SMA50, and 53.5% below SMA200. The expanding MACD histogram at -2.192e-05 and bearish SMA50/SMA200 spread of -34.5% keep the chart structurally broken.

Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)

Fear&Greed is 46, long accounts still lead at 58.2% with an L/S ratio of 1.39, and taker buy/sell is only 0.87. That combination reads as fearful but not capitulated; the crowd is still leaning long into a 14.5% 24-hour drop.

Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)

The local headlines are mostly conversion pages, with the substantive item being coverage of the Gala Games hack and $22M crypto theft. Broader crypto-rule headlines about Andrew Cuomo and tokenized stocks offer no direct catalyst for GALA.

Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)

The data pack offers no fresh operating, adoption, revenue, or token-supply figures to support a fundamental rerating. The documented $22M Gala Games theft is a direct credibility overhang, while the absence of positive project-specific news leaves price action in control.

Provenance
Report fingerprint
2a937a5ac79544380e71cc93d4ef9c70b99182f5e443054fc08a875e9b75cd69
UTC date
2026-08-19
Chain head
0f1b74c5d5aa8bd9fe0e079b811d2482b9bd27566afea1ff19e554ca5230c439

Committed 2026-08-20T00:20:00+00:00 · 73 rulings that day · Check the chain

SHA-256 of this report as stored. It is the exact value committed to that day's chain — recompute it yourself and compare.

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