@KoroushAK 的已结算叫单档案
—
命中率 · 0 中 · 0 错 · n=0
档案积累中(n < 10)
命中平均幅度(绝对口径,对美元) —
记分规则:kol_directional_v1 —— 看规则全文 →
样本不足——区间较宽,数字还会变动。
三句话看懂
@KoroushAK 最近在说什么交易导师
- 将交易失败归咎于个人技能不足或坏习惯，而非市场操纵等外部因素。 原话 ↗
- 主张交易 mastery 需要像医生一样数万小时的积累，而非短期暴富。 原话 ↗
- 劝导交易者通过“减法”简化策略，而非不断堆叠指标。 原话 ↗
- 强调心理与常规管理，认为身体健康直接决定交易表现。 原话 ↗
AI 提炼 —— 这是我们对他最近 30 天 27 条公开发言的解读,不是他本人的话。每句都挂原文,欢迎对着核。
如果你跟了
跟他做,还是自己拿 BTC?
-$16跟他每一条
+$17什么都不做拿 BTC
-$33差额
实时 0 条 · 补算 21 条 —— 永不合并成一个数字。
这页金额由回测撑起 —— 把同一套规则套到历史言论上得出的假设业绩(hypothetical performance),不是实时跟单战绩。实时记录:0 / 21 条。
每条喊单当作独立投入 $100,7 天后平仓 —— 非滚仓,不含费用与滑点。 怎么算的 →
方向战绩
回测记录
命中率: 35%
8 中 · 15 错 · n=23
尚无已结算的前瞻喊单——上方命中率在第一条落地前一直留空。以下全部为回测记录。
从存档帖子事后结算——喊单当时已在公开记录里,但我们并未实时盯着它。单独成线,永不与上方前瞻命中率合算。
| 币种 | 叫单 | 原话 | 相对口径(计入榜单) † | 绝对口径(对美元) † | 结算日 | 来源 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | Trends will continue until something changes structurally... Simply trade in the direction that the market has already picked. | 失误 +5.0% | +5.0% | 2026-08-18T23:00:30.173097+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | Why was this an ideal breakdown trade on $BTC? The HTF structure was bearish | 命中 -10.0% | -10.0% | 2026-08-18T23:00:12.619725+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Since both macro and micro LHS align, this becomes the perfect environment to long with the trend. | 失误 -1.4% | -1.4% | 2026-08-18T22:30:17.611789+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BNB 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | FUD was increasing, and market sentiment being bearish made me remain risk-off on BNB and favor the breakdown play. | 失误 -0.7% | +3.5% | 2026-08-18T22:30:15.762528+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | → 看平 | BTC remains neutral ahead of FOMC, but alts have better opportunities | 命中 -2.3% | -2.3% | 2026-08-18T22:00:21.805817+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| SOL 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Strength continues. | 失误 -1.0% | -1.2% | 2026-08-18T22:00:21.755892+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| SOL 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Expecting the strength to continue until the next target | 命中 +6.7% | +8.2% | 2026-08-18T22:00:21.067882+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | ETH pulls back over the same period | 失误 +2.1% | +5.0% | 2026-08-18T22:00:18.801379+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BNB 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Price is going for another ATH breakout, aiming to set a new higher high. | 命中 +5.0% | -0.1% | 2026-08-18T22:00:06.212345+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Look for a slow-grinding staircase upwards and long the price in the direction of the trend. | 失误 +0.1% | +0.1% | 2026-08-18T21:30:05.298483+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Bitcoin is now in price-discovery mode. | 失误 -2.1% | -2.1% | 2026-08-18T21:00:30.700496+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| XRP 回测 | → 看平 | Expect range-bound price action here unless the support breaks. | 命中 +1.5% | +5.7% | 2026-08-18T20:30:08.724557+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | We're currently in a bearish market breakdown, headed towards potential support. | 失误 +11.7% | +11.7% | 2026-08-18T18:00:11.742366+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | this is the only way to catch the next major breakdown. | 失误 -0.2% | -0.2% | 2026-08-18T18:00:10.467064+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | Bitcoin lost key structure and is heading toward potential support. | 失误 +1.3% | +1.3% | 2026-08-18T18:00:10.446430+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | this meant the move was in a state of failure. | 失误 +9.6% | +9.6% | 2026-08-18T18:00:09.023155+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | Assume trend continuation. | 命中 -3.6% | -4.2% | 2026-08-18T17:30:13.741475+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| PEPE 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | currently looking to revert back to the lows. | 命中 -6.5% | -7.1% | 2026-08-18T17:30:13.449580+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | Safer to assume resistance will reject price again and the downtrend will continue. | 失误 -2.5% | +1.0% | 2026-08-18T17:30:12.004810+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| AAVE 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | AAVE is trading cleanly between levels with some good opportunities to trade Support/ Resistance flips. | 失误 -9.4% | -3.1% | 2026-08-18T17:30:07.576961+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| SOL 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | The downtrend continues as the last major support level breaks. | 失误 -2.0% | +4.1% | 2026-08-18T17:00:09.109258+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| AAVE 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | My strategy has been the same for weeks now, assume the downtrend continues until proven otherwise. | 失误 +2.4% | +0.8% | 2026-08-18T17:00:07.470668+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | I just bought more bitcoin:native 'But what if it goes lower?' Then I get to buy more. I invest in decades not years. | 命中 +4.1% | +4.1% | 2026-08-17T09:00:02.983781+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
相对口径 = 山寨对 BTC 计价、BTC 自身对美元——所以 BTC 那一行两列是同一个数。绝对口径恒为对美元,且不参与命中判定。
点位战绩
回测记录
命中率: 30%
3 中 · 7 错 · n=10
从存档帖子事后结算——喊单当时已在公开记录里,但我们并未实时盯着它。单独成线,永不与上方前瞻命中率合算。
按 price_target_v1 判定——他喊的那个点位有没有踩到。另一把尺,永不与上方方向命中率合算。
| 币种 | 叫单 | 结果 | 结算日 | 来源 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AAVE 回测 | — | 失误 | 2026-08-18 | 研报 → |
| BNB 回测 | — | 失误 | 2026-08-18 | 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | — | 失误 | 2026-08-18 | 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | > $116000 | 命中 | 2026-08-18 | 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | >= $120000 | 失误 | 2026-08-18 | 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | — | 失误 | 2026-08-18 | 研报 → |
| XRP 回测 | — | 命中 | 2026-08-18 | 研报 → |
| SOL 回测 | — | 失误 | 2026-08-18 | 研报 → |
| SOL 回测 | <= $135 | 失误 | 2026-08-18 | 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | — | 命中 | 2026-08-17 | 研报 → |
与 CoinVerdict 对照
CoinVerdict 胜率(settle_v1 对 BTC): 63%
两个数字用的是同一把尺:kol_directional_v1 与 settle_v1 参数完全一致——7 天窗口、±3% 带宽、山寨对 BTC、BTC 自身对美元。所以上方的命中率与 CoinVerdict 的 63% 才可以并排摆。 · 两套口径有何不同 →
嵌入这张战绩卡
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行内胶囊 · data-cv-style="pill"
浅色卡 · data-cv-style="card"
暗色卡 · data-cv-style="dark"
大数字 · data-cv-style="stat"
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数据源:VeraMind 结算账本 · 只记已验证结算,不记未到期叫单。 · 闲聊、复盘、观望不计入账本——只有明确喊单才进结算、才被计分。