@IncomeSharks 的已结算叫单档案
第 8 / 共 14 位已入榜 KOL 已达可评级样本
—
命中率 · 0 中 · 0 错 · n=0
命中平均幅度(绝对口径,对美元) —
记分规则:kol_directional_v1 —— 看规则全文 →
样本不足——区间较宽,数字还会变动。
三句话看懂
@IncomeSharks 最近在说什么战术机会主义者
- 认为加密货币反弹不可持续，除非伴随持续加速和ETF资金流入以维持流动性。 原话 ↗
- 将加密货币与股票对比，指出大盘股和期权的波动性及流动性目前仍集中在股市。 原话 ↗
- 在“Slice”上公开分享买卖点，通过数据展示短期交易是可以长期获胜的。 原话 ↗
- 看好基因组和生物技术等特定板块，认为这些领域被低估且具有长期增长潜力。 原话 ↗
AI 提炼 —— 这是我们对他最近 30 天 72 条公开发言的解读,不是他本人的话。每句都挂原文,欢迎对着核。
如果你跟了
跟他做,还是自己拿 BTC?
-$43跟他每一条
-$16什么都不做拿 BTC
-$27差额
实时 0 条 · 补算 48 条 —— 永不合并成一个数字。
这页金额由回测撑起 —— 把同一套规则套到历史言论上得出的假设业绩(hypothetical performance),不是实时跟单战绩。实时记录:0 / 48 条。
每条喊单当作独立投入 $100,7 天后平仓 —— 非滚仓,不含费用与滑点。 怎么算的 →
方向战绩
回测记录
命中率: 25%
12 中 · 36 错 · n=48
尚无已结算的前瞻喊单——上方命中率在第一条落地前一直留空。以下全部为回测记录。
从存档帖子事后结算——喊单当时已在公开记录里,但我们并未实时盯着它。单独成线,永不与上方前瞻命中率合算。
| 币种 | 叫单 | 原话 | 相对口径(计入榜单) † | 绝对口径(对美元) † | 结算日 | 来源 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ETH 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | $ETH - Wanted to be bullish, OBV broke, sold the rest in profit, and flipped bearish. | 失误 +6.3% | +11.6% | 2026-08-18T23:00:30.124535+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | $ETH - OBV flirting with danger again. You can hate me for being bearish or you can realize I'm just reading the charts and doing what it's saying. | 失误 +1.2% | +0.0% | 2026-08-18T23:00:14.123253+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | now starting to get bullish as it's lower. | 失误 -13.1% | -13.1% | 2026-08-18T23:00:12.264956+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | $ETH - Don't shoot the messenger but another level of support cut through. | 失误 +2.4% | +4.0% | 2026-08-18T23:00:09.774066+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | You don't want to see it go back into the channel. That's when it becomes depressing and you'll become a bag-holder. So far it's been a resilient support, only just wicks have been able to breach it. | 失误 -8.1% | -17.4% | 2026-08-18T22:30:18.450781+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | V's are what you want to see, they often lead to more continuation. | 失误 -6.4% | -12.5% | 2026-08-18T22:30:18.082445+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | OBV also finding a way to bounce at support. | 失误 +0.3% | +3.5% | 2026-08-18T22:30:16.579147+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Just chugging along already green and never lost support. | 失误 -2.0% | -11.9% | 2026-08-18T22:30:10.583859+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | higher is still on the table. | 失误 -0.4% | -7.3% | 2026-08-18T22:30:10.492978+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | And just like that Ethereum reclaiming support. | 失误 +0.1% | +4.1% | 2026-08-18T22:30:06.012423+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | For all the bear posting last week not only did support get reclaimed it's almost where it was a week ago. Nice double bottom now too. | 命中 +9.1% | +9.1% | 2026-08-18T22:30:05.352584+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | Can't spin this as being bullish, a pretty clear OBV breakdown. Still haven't lost horizontal support but it seems to have lost momentum. | 失误 +4.7% | +15.7% | 2026-08-18T22:30:03.973467+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| SOL 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Bulls did a nice job to invalidate resistance. | 失误 -16.4% | -22.1% | 2026-08-18T22:00:24.929887+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Now I'm going to keep holding as it keeps saying to do so. | 失误 -9.3% | -15.5% | 2026-08-18T22:00:24.656919+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | $ETH - Still looks good, support still holding. | 命中 +3.3% | +5.5% | 2026-08-18T22:00:20.414474+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | $BTC OBV now working on the comeback to reclaim support. | 失误 +2.0% | +2.0% | 2026-08-18T22:00:14.711742+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | $BTC - OBV looking for some help, still slowing bleeding out after breaking support. | 失误 +2.1% | +2.1% | 2026-08-18T22:00:13.213758+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | But that's literally when you bid. | 失误 +0.4% | +0.4% | 2026-08-18T22:00:13.024871+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | Now that it's broken we are looking for the next support... Now we are getting the breakdown. | 失误 -0.8% | -0.8% | 2026-08-18T22:00:10.786023+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Same playbook, same support breaks, same reclaims. | 失误 -2.6% | -9.8% | 2026-08-18T22:00:08.820593+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Third time in a row now we've seen support break, people panic, then support gets reclaimed and we slingshot higher. | 命中 +6.7% | +3.9% | 2026-08-18T22:00:08.656748+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Squiggles took is right into the expected range. We even got the Supertrend support to hold. | 失误 -2.6% | -2.6% | 2026-08-18T22:00:08.573388+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | Now we are getting the breakdown. | 失误 -1.0% | -1.0% | 2026-08-18T22:00:08.528479+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Almost back to reclaiming the local resistance. | 命中 +15.5% | +16.3% | 2026-08-18T21:30:16.752170+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | This is why you don't panic sell on red. Supertrend support with a perfect bounce. | 命中 +10.0% | +13.5% | 2026-08-18T21:30:15.862811+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Not even sure bears and sellers have the power to get us to $112,000 | 失误 +3.0% | +3.0% | 2026-08-18T21:30:15.353251+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | $ETH - Consolidate, form a new support, then higher. | 命中 +27.5% | +24.8% | 2026-08-18T21:00:30.984633+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Knocking on that dotted resistance again which looks much more bullish. | 命中 +14.2% | +21.8% | 2026-08-18T21:00:25.090710+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | $ETH - Support broke. | 失误 +1.3% | +3.1% | 2026-08-18T20:30:35.090466+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | That "resistance" is just too strong | 失误 -1.4% | -1.4% | 2026-08-18T20:30:22.148524+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Closed a candle above resistance. Higher. | 失误 -5.6% | -8.9% | 2026-08-18T20:30:16.910735+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | $BTC - 90x leverage long. | 失误 +1.7% | +1.7% | 2026-08-18T20:30:11.931645+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | There goes Ethereum. Resistance broken. | 失误 -4.6% | -8.3% | 2026-08-18T20:30:05.401191+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | I'm still holding and bullish long term | 失误 -0.2% | +2.1% | 2026-08-18T20:00:35.866868+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Consolidating above is bullish. | 命中 +3.7% | +3.7% | 2026-08-18T20:00:34.359194+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Bitcoin held support like a champ. | 失误 +0.5% | +0.5% | 2026-08-18T20:00:22.841507+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | The direction remains the same. | 失误 +1.3% | +1.3% | 2026-08-18T17:00:22.637679+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| SOL 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Will be interesting now if people will call for lower when NOW it's a much better time to bid support. | 失误 -8.6% | -5.9% | 2026-08-18T16:30:06.627379+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Still not thinking of selling and will be patient | 失误 -10.8% | -4.1% | 2026-08-18T16:30:05.575958+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | On the very last day of the month they found a way to close the month of July bullish keeping a 12 year streak alive. | 命中 +3.2% | +3.2% | 2026-08-17T12:30:06.542783+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | Bitcoin losing the diagonal, squiggles taking us lower. All the energy was used to flip it bullish, now it's probably got to regain fuel down near 60k. | 失误 +0.3% | +0.3% | 2026-08-17T12:00:12.431071+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Bitcoin flipping the daily SuperTrend bullish. | 失误 -4.0% | -4.0% | 2026-08-17T11:30:08.465798+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| SOL 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | Unfortunately have to treat this as a bearish retest. | 命中 -4.5% | -0.7% | 2026-08-17T10:30:12.483654+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | Was not a good sign to see support break. | 命中 -7.5% | -7.5% | 2026-08-17T08:30:06.706661+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | Not looking good for the Bitcoin squiggles with a bearish SuperTrend flip. | 命中 -13.2% | -13.2% | 2026-08-17T08:00:11.935669+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Bulls still in control with a positive gamma. | 失误 -5.8% | -5.8% | 2026-08-17T07:30:06.315292+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Bitcoin still looks like it wants to get through this diagonal and go higher. | 失误 +1.9% | +1.9% | 2026-08-17T06:30:07.683542+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | I'm extremely bullish | 失误 -0.1% | -3.5% | 2026-08-17T05:30:30.744846+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
相对口径 = 山寨对 BTC 计价、BTC 自身对美元——所以 BTC 那一行两列是同一个数。绝对口径恒为对美元,且不参与命中判定。
点位战绩
回测记录
命中率: 33%
3 中 · 6 错 · n=9
从存档帖子事后结算——喊单当时已在公开记录里,但我们并未实时盯着它。单独成线,永不与上方前瞻命中率合算。
按 price_target_v1 判定——他喊的那个点位有没有踩到。另一把尺,永不与上方方向命中率合算。
| 币种 | 叫单 | 结果 | 结算日 | 来源 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC 回测 | — | 失误 | 2026-08-18 | 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | — | 失误 | 2026-08-18 | 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | >= $4100 | 命中 | 2026-08-18 | 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | >= $4000 | 失误 | 2026-08-18 | 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | >= $3000 | 失误 | 2026-08-18 | 研报 → |
| SOL 回测 | — | 失误 | 2026-08-18 | 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | — | 命中 | 2026-08-17 | 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | — | 失误 | 2026-08-17 | 研报 → |
| SOL 回测 | — | 命中 | 2026-08-17 | 研报 → |
与 CoinVerdict 对照
CoinVerdict 胜率(settle_v1 对 BTC): 63%
两个数字用的是同一把尺:kol_directional_v1 与 settle_v1 参数完全一致——7 天窗口、±3% 带宽、山寨对 BTC、BTC 自身对美元。所以上方的命中率与 CoinVerdict 的 63% 才可以并排摆。 · 两套口径有何不同 →
嵌入这张战绩卡
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实时预览 —— 真实数据,与你站点加载的是同一个脚本。
行内胶囊 · data-cv-style="pill"
浅色卡 · data-cv-style="card"
暗色卡 · data-cv-style="dark"
大数字 · data-cv-style="stat"
媒体与创作者可引用 CoinVerdict 数据,需署名并回链。
数据源:VeraMind 结算账本 · 只记已验证结算,不记未到期叫单。 · 闲聊、复盘、观望不计入账本——只有明确喊单才进结算、才被计分。