CFX / 研报
呈现档位 = 立场 × 裁判信心度。结算口径永远是三档。
CFX sits 12.8% below its SMA200 as bearish structure outweighs a 49 RSI
⚖ 成文时间 2026-08-31 03:53 UTC
技术面信号强度
看空
C
市场情绪信号强度
看空
C
资金费率费率压力——评级是风险,不是方向
多头支付
A
KOL 共识结算档案质量
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档案积累中
各维评级口径独立,刻意不做平均。
2026-08-23 — 中性 — -6.2% — 出带 ✗ 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
2026-08-21 — 增持 — -5.8% — 输 核验这条结算
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2026-08-20 — 中性 — -2.2% — 带内 ✓ 核验这条结算
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2026-08-19 — 减持 — — — VOID
2026-08-16 — 中性 — -8.0% — 出带 ✗ 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
2026-08-15 — 中性 — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — 中性 — -7.1% — 出带 ✗ 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
2026-08-13 — 减持 — -4.2% — 赢 核验这条结算
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2026-08-12 — 减持 — — — VOID
2026-08-11 — 减持 — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — 减持 — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — 减持 — +4.3% — 输 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
2026-08-08 — 减持 — +7.4% — 输 核验这条结算
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2026-08-07 — 减持 — +6.1% — 输 核验这条结算
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2026-08-06 — 减持 — +10.9% — 输 核验这条结算
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2026-08-05 — 减持 — +5.9% — 输 核验这条结算
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2026-08-04 — 减持 — +8.3% — 输 核验这条结算
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2026-08-03 — 减持 — -1.7% — 平 核验这条结算
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2026-08-02 — 减持 — -4.8% — 赢 核验这条结算
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2026-08-01 — 减持 — -4.0% — 赢 核验这条结算
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2026-07-31 — 减持 — -1.9% — 平 核验这条结算
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2026-07-30 — 减持 — -11.0% — 赢 核验这条结算
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2026-07-29 — 减持 — -8.0% — 赢 核验这条结算
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2026-07-28 — 减持 — -8.5% — 赢 核验这条结算
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2026-07-27 — 减持 — -4.0% — 赢 核验这条结算
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2026-07-26 — 减持 — -1.5% — 平 核验这条结算
价格取自已存档报告本身——点开两端可自行核对。
2026-07-24 — 减持 — -11.3% — 赢 核验这条结算
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2026-07-23 — 减持 — -7.5% — 赢 核验这条结算
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2026-07-22 — 减持 — -6.2% — 赢 核验这条结算
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按 settle_v1 结算,7天 vs BTC——失误同样在档 · 完整结算档案 →
coin_evidence_v1 · 判读规则
生成时刻快照,由交易所数据计算——事实,非观点 · 价格 = 4 家交易所中位数
失效条件:The bearish ruling fails if CFX decisively reclaims the 60-day high at 0.05274.。 保守读法:跌破 $0.03741 即本研报失效。 信心 中,不确定时观望。 空方核心:Leo, your 49.
平衡读法:下方裁定即基准情形。 方向 看空,时限 波段(数周)。
激进情形:Leo, your 49. 需守住的关键支撑在 $0.03741 附近。 时限:波段(数周)。
同一研报的三种风险读法 · 内容全部来自当日存档数据。
I’ll concede the ugly number: CFX is 12.8% under the SMA200, and the 7-day slide is -9.0%. But RSI at 49.0 is hardly capitulation, while the 60-day low at 0.03741 remains 19.2% below price; the damage may be stale and the market has already priced much of the fear. I also acknowledge the Aug. 21 overweight call resolved as a LOSS at -5.8% versus BTC, but today’s neutral RSI and distance from the low give the rebound case more oxygen.
Leo, your 49.0 RSI is not a reversal signal; it is a receipt showing sellers have not even needed panic. The decisive exhibit is the expanding -0.0002637 MACD histogram alongside SMA50 sitting 14.2% below SMA200, so the 19.2% cushion to the low is simply room for the downtrend to travel. The Aug. 21 overweight LOSS at -5.8% versus BTC is exactly what happens when distance from support gets mistaken for support.
· recovery above 0.05274
· MACD reversal from -0.0002637
· Upbit halt resolving and liquidity improving
推翻条件: The bearish ruling fails if CFX decisively reclaims the 60-day high at 0.05274.
Leo, you call the 0.03741 low stale, but CFX is still -9.0% over 7 days and below the SMA20 by 1.1%. What evidence says sellers are exhausted?
Mara, exhaustion isn't required for a tradable snapback; RSI 49.0 and a 30-day gain of 4.1% show the tape can recover even after a sharp weekly hit. Your bearish structure is real, but it is already visible to everyone.
▶ Live Debate · 完整交锋(4)
Leo, you call the 0.03741 low stale, but CFX is still -9.0% over 7 days and below the SMA20 by 1.1%. What evidence says sellers are exhausted?
Mara, exhaustion isn't required for a tradable snapback; RSI 49.0 and a 30-day gain of 4.1% show the tape can recover even after a sharp weekly hit. Your bearish structure is real, but it is already visible to everyone.
Leo, the crowd isn't positioned for a surprise squeeze: 55.7% of long accounts and a 1.26 long/short ratio lean long, while taker buy/sell at 0.82 shows aggressive demand is weaker than account direction. That is fuel for sellers, not a clean contrarian setup.
Mara, the macro evidence is thin, so don't smuggle in a liquidity apocalypse. The actual CFX-specific shock is Upbit's temporary deposit-and-withdrawal halt; if that operational pressure clears, the 0.044615 price could reclaim the 0.04465 session high quickly.
I rule for the bear side: the expanding MACD histogram at -0.0002637, reinforced by the 14.2% SMA50-versus-SMA200 deficit, is decisive. This call is overturned by a sustained break above the 60-day high at 0.05274 or a clear momentum reversal that invalidates the current bearish structure.
观点是 AI;结算是事实。 · data powered by VeraMind
技术分析师(Kai Nakamura)
Kai Nakamura: Bearish. CFX is 12.8% below its SMA200, with SMA50 14.2% beneath SMA200 and MACD histogram at -0.0002637, expanding. RSI at 49.0 is neutral, but price remains 1.1% below SMA20 and only 1.7% above SMA50.
情绪分析师(Sofia Reyes)
Sofia Reyes: Bearish. Fear & Greed is 62, long accounts are 55.7%, and the long/short ratio is 1.26, while taker buy/sell is only 0.82. The crowd leans greedy-long as immediate demand lags.
宏观新闻分析师(Ed Walsh)
Ed Walsh: Bearish near term. Upbit’s temporary halt of CFX deposits and withdrawals on Aug. 24 is a concrete liquidity headline, while the broader market headlines concern Bitcoin and money-transfer history rather than a fresh CFX catalyst.
基本面分析师(Priya Anand)
Priya Anand: The data pack provides no new token-economics, supply, valuation, or protocol-growth figures. Korean market-access headlines exist, but the current evidence does not establish a durable fundamental rerating.
d26c445d6896a8f616db0e3e56000b64927d59307a25eb9aa0b7108b55508971尚未承诺。当日判定要等每日承诺任务跑完才写入链——在那之前,这篇研报有指纹,但链上还没有它的位置。 · 核验这条链
本篇研报入库原文的 SHA-256。它就是当日写进承诺链的那个值——你可以自己重算一遍比对。
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