ONDO / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
ONDO’s bullish structure presses on with RSI 61.3 and a 10.2% seven-day climb
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-07-17 00:33 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bullish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Mixed
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Longs pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-29 — Underweight — +1.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-28 — Overweight — -4.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-27 — Neutral — -2.6% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-26 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-25 — Overweight — -11.6% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-24 — Underweight — -7.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-23 — Underweight — -6.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-22 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-21 — Overweight — -2.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-20 — Neutral — -5.8% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-19 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-16 — Underweight — -7.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-13 — Underweight — -4.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-12 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-11 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Neutral — -4.3% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-08 — Underweight — -3.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-07 — Underweight — -6.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-06 — Neutral — -9.9% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Overweight — -8.5% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Overweight — -8.4% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-03 — Neutral — -9.2% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Overweight — -11.2% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Overweight — -13.4% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Overweight — -15.0% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Neutral — -8.1% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Overweight — -8.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Neutral — -5.6% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Overweight — -4.0% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Overweight — +1.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-25 — Overweight — +3.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Overweight — +4.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Overweight — +0.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Overweight — +2.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-21 — Overweight — +11.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions
Invalidation: A daily close below 0.3608 or RSI(14) falling below 50 invalidates the bullish swing ruling.. Cautious read: a break below $0.3608 voids this research. Confidence Medium — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: I’m Mara Frost, and Leo’s moving-average parade dodges the central fact: ONDO is down 0.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bullish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: I’m Leo Vance, and I’ll concede the sharpest bear exhibit: ONDO sits at 0. Resistance to clear sits near $0.4756. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’m Leo Vance, and I’ll concede the sharpest bear exhibit: ONDO sits at 0.3617, still 23.9% below the 60-day high of 0.4756. But that drawdown is stale overhead, not fresh damage; underneath, price is 10.1% above SMA20, 5.7% above SMA50, and 14.5% above SMA200, with MACD histogram expanding at +0.005865. The engine is climbing even if the rear-view mirror still looks ugly.
I’m Mara Frost, and Leo’s moving-average parade dodges the central fact: ONDO is down 0.8% over 30 days despite being 10.1% above SMA20. That means the short burst is being sold into, not converted into durable trend. RSI at 61.3 is not a bargain signal, and a 59.9% long-account majority gives me plenty of crowded fuel if 0.3608 fails.
· 59.9% long-account crowding
· 30-day return of -0.8%
· 0.4756 overhead resistance
Invalidation: A daily close below 0.3608 or RSI(14) falling below 50 invalidates the bullish swing ruling.
Mara, you’re treating the 30-day -0.8% as a verdict when the seven-day move is +10.2%. I’ve seen this movie: consolidation, then the averages catch up and the breakout gets legs.
Leo, consolidation needs proof, not cinematic optimism. The latest candle closed at 0.3617 after a 0.365 high, and the nearest visible floor is only 0.3608—one weak session can puncture your setup.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, you’re treating the 30-day -0.8% as a verdict when the seven-day move is +10.2%. I’ve seen this movie: consolidation, then the averages catch up and the breakout gets legs.
Leo, consolidation needs proof, not cinematic optimism. The latest candle closed at 0.3617 after a 0.365 high, and the nearest visible floor is only 0.3608—one weak session can puncture your setup.
I’m Theo Okafor: the positioning is constructive but hardly clean. Long accounts at 59.9% and L/S 1.49 favor bulls, yet taker buy/sell at 1.02 says aggressive demand is barely ahead; no funding rate is supplied, so nobody gets to invent a carry signal.
I’m Dmitri Volkov: the institutional headlines are broad crypto liquidity stories, not ONDO-specific cash flows. Without a direct catalyst, ONDO must prove that the +10.2% seven-day burst can survive the 0.4756 overhead supply zone.
I’m Judge Aldrich: the bulls win on the single decisive exhibit—the bullish moving-average structure, with SMA50 8.3% above SMA200 and price 14.5% above SMA200. I rule bullish for weeks, but I overturn it on a daily close below 0.3608 or an RSI(14) break under 50.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
I’m Kai Nakamura: ONDO trades 10.1% above its SMA20, 5.7% above SMA50, and 14.5% above SMA200. RSI(14) at 61.3 and an expanding MACD histogram of +0.005865 confirm momentum, while the 30-day return of -0.8% is the main bruise.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
I’m Sofia Reyes: Fear&Greed at 27 gives ONDO a skeptical crowd backdrop, while long accounts still lead at 59.9% with a 1.49 long/short ratio. Taker buy/sell at 1.02 shows only a mild demand edge; the crowd is leaning long, but it isn’t euphoric.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
I’m Ed Walsh: The headlines point toward institutional crypto adoption, from T. Rowe Price’s first multi-token ETF to Visa’s Open USD platform. None of these headlines directly names ONDO, so they support the sector narrative without supplying a coin-specific catalyst.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
I’m Priya Anand: The data pack provides no ONDO revenue, token-unlock, valuation, or supply figures. I can credit the institutionalization theme, but it cannot carry a fundamental verdict for ONDO on this evidence.
1953961ab21c6247101c7b1c759a3d29b313f1ba35f03a21175357aed887a70070e6e12fe78524df5289beb80d3f4382c89c73b1c7a527091a8c313a2bcf59adCommitted 2026-07-24T10:21:07+00:00 · 67 rulings that day · Check the chain
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2026-09-05 · 2026-09-01 · 2026-08-31 · 2026-08-30 · 2026-08-29 · 2026-08-28 · 2026-08-27 · 2026-08-26 · 2026-08-25