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ONDO / The Verdict

generated 2026-07-15 03:04 UTC
$0.32
+3.88% · 24h
price as of 2026-07-15 03:04 UTC
Price source
📜 Archived verdict of 2026-07-15 — latest verdict → ONDO
The Verdict
Neutral

ONDO shows a short-term rebound within a broader weak trend

⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-07-15 03:04 UTC

Technicalsignal strength Mixed C
Measures how strong the directional signal from price structure is. An analyst lists independent evidence families (trend, momentum, structure) from the data pack; code converts the count to a letter — 3+ families with no conflict = A+, 2 = B, 1 = D; conflicting evidence caps the grade at C; insufficient information gets no grade at all. The letter is signal strength — direction is shown separately. (evidence_rule_v1) full scales →
Sentimentsignal strength Bearish C
Same scale as Technical, applied to crowd evidence — fear/greed, positioning, and flow. 3+ independent evidence families with no conflict = A+, 2 = B, 1 = D; conflicts cap at C; not enough information, no grade. The letter says how loud the crowd signal is, not which way price will go. (evidence_rule_v1) full scales →
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction Shorts pay A
Measures perpetual funding-rate pressure — risk, not direction. The smaller the 8-hour normalized rate, the calmer the market: under 0.5 bp = A+, then A, B, C, D as pressure grows, F beyond 10 bp (extreme crowding). Who pays (longs or shorts) is shown separately. Read A+ as “calm”, never as “bullish”. (funding_rule_v1) full scales →
KOL Consensussettled-record quality Archive building
Measures the quality and strength of on-record KOL consensus. Only authors with 20+ settled calls count. The majority share sets the base letter (85%+ = A+ down to 55%+ = D), but few qualified authors cap it — under 5 authors we show the direction and withhold the grade while the record builds. (kol_rule_v1) full scales →

Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.

Track record
11W–10L–5P · 9 neutral · since 2026-07-15
95% CI 32.4–71.7% · n=21 · early sample
2026-09-05 — Overweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-12
stance change · Underweight → Overweight
2026-09-01 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-08
2026-08-31 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-07
2026-08-30 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-06
2026-08-29 — Underweight — +1.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-29 · ONDO price $0.3539 · BTC $77872.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-09-05 · ONDO price $0.3656 · BTC $79665.6
vs BTC
+1.0% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Overweight → Underweight
2026-08-28 — Overweight — -4.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-28 · ONDO price $0.3838 · BTC $80168.1
Settled (T+8d)
2026-09-05 · ONDO price $0.3656 · BTC $79665.6
vs BTC
-4.1% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Neutral → Overweight
2026-08-27 — Neutral — -2.6% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-27 · ONDO price $0.3718 · BTC $78922
Settled (T+9d)
2026-09-05 · ONDO price $0.3656 · BTC $79665.6
vs BTC
-2.6% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Underweight → Neutral
2026-08-26 — Underweight — — — VOID
stance change · Overweight → Underweight
2026-08-25 — Overweight — -11.6% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-25 · ONDO price $0.3926 · BTC $78968.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-09-01 · ONDO price $0.3461 · BTC $78717.1
vs BTC
-11.6% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Underweight → Overweight
2026-08-24 — Underweight — -7.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-24 · ONDO price $0.37103 · BTC $77645.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-31 · ONDO price $0.3442 · BTC $77473.2
vs BTC
-7.0% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-23 — Underweight — -6.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-23 · ONDO price $0.368 · BTC $77094.1
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-30 · ONDO price $0.3506 · BTC $78171.7
vs BTC
-6.0% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Overweight → Underweight
2026-08-22 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-21 — Overweight — -2.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-21 · ONDO price $0.3608 · BTC $73322.8
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-28 · ONDO price $0.3838 · BTC $80168.1
vs BTC
-2.7% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Neutral → Overweight
2026-08-20 — Neutral — -5.8% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-20 · ONDO price $0.3481 · BTC $69631.8
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-27 · ONDO price $0.3718 · BTC $78922
vs BTC
-5.8% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Underweight → Neutral
2026-08-19 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-16 — Underweight — -7.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-16 · ONDO price $0.3241 · BTC $63070.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-23 · ONDO price $0.368 · BTC $77094.1
vs BTC
-7.1% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-13 — Underweight — -4.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-13 · ONDO price $0.3314 · BTC $63588.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-20 · ONDO price $0.3481 · BTC $69631.8
vs BTC
-4.1% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-12 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-11 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
stance change · Neutral → Underweight
2026-08-09 — Neutral — -4.3% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-09 · ONDO price $0.3489 · BTC $64963.4
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-16 · ONDO price $0.3241 · BTC $63070.5
vs BTC
-4.3% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Underweight → Neutral
2026-08-08 — Underweight — -3.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-08 · ONDO price $0.3494 · BTC $64896.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-15 · ONDO price $0.3275 · BTC $63021.6
vs BTC
-3.5% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-07 — Underweight — -6.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-07 · ONDO price $0.35743 · BTC $64381
Settled (T+8d)
2026-08-15 · ONDO price $0.3275 · BTC $63021.6
vs BTC
-6.4% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Neutral → Underweight
2026-08-06 — Neutral — -9.9% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-06 · ONDO price $0.3735 · BTC $64604.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-13 · ONDO price $0.3314 · BTC $63588.5
vs BTC
-9.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Overweight → Neutral
2026-08-05 — Overweight — -8.5% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-05 · ONDO price $0.37148 · BTC $64023.8
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-12 · ONDO price $0.3374 · BTC $63546
vs BTC
-8.5% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-04 — Overweight — -8.4% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-04 · ONDO price $0.3693 · BTC $63558.1
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-11 · ONDO price $0.3405 · BTC $63941.5
vs BTC
-8.4% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Neutral → Overweight
2026-08-03 — Neutral — -9.2% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-03 · ONDO price $0.3756 · BTC $63435.7
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-10 · ONDO price $0.3499 · BTC $65054
vs BTC
-9.2% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Overweight → Neutral
2026-08-02 — Overweight — -11.2% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-02 · ONDO price $0.3807 · BTC $62914.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-09 · ONDO price $0.3489 · BTC $64963.4
vs BTC
-11.2% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-01 — Overweight — -13.4% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-01 · ONDO price $0.39137 · BTC $62954.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-08 · ONDO price $0.3494 · BTC $64896.5
vs BTC
-13.4% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-31 — Overweight — -15.0% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-31 · ONDO price $0.4168 · BTC $63805
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-07 · ONDO price $0.35743 · BTC $64381
vs BTC
-15.0% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Neutral → Overweight
2026-07-30 — Neutral — -8.1% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-30 · ONDO price $0.4027 · BTC $64044.7
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-06 · ONDO price $0.3735 · BTC $64604.5
vs BTC
-8.1% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Overweight → Neutral
2026-07-29 — Overweight — -8.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-29 · ONDO price $0.4046 · BTC $64051
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-05 · ONDO price $0.37148 · BTC $64023.8
vs BTC
-8.1% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Neutral → Overweight
2026-07-28 — Neutral — -5.6% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-28 · ONDO price $0.3919 · BTC $63644.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-04 · ONDO price $0.3693 · BTC $63558.1
vs BTC
-5.6% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Overweight → Neutral
2026-07-27 — Overweight — -4.0% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-27 · ONDO price $0.4023 · BTC $65216
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-03 · ONDO price $0.3756 · BTC $63435.7
vs BTC
-4.0% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-26 — Overweight — +1.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-26 · ONDO price $0.3825 · BTC $64416
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-02 · ONDO price $0.3807 · BTC $62914.5
vs BTC
+1.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-25 — Overweight — +3.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-25 · ONDO price $0.3841 · BTC $64141.3
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-01 · ONDO price $0.39137 · BTC $62954.5
vs BTC
+3.8% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-24 — Overweight — +4.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-24 · ONDO price $0.4008 · BTC $64928
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-31 · ONDO price $0.4168 · BTC $64779.5
vs BTC
+4.2% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-23 — Overweight — +0.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-23 · ONDO price $0.4133 · BTC $66209
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-30 · ONDO price $0.4027 · BTC $64044.7
vs BTC
+0.7% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-22 — Overweight — +2.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-22 · ONDO price $0.4052 · BTC $65937.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-29 · ONDO price $0.4046 · BTC $64051
vs BTC
+2.8% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-21 — Overweight — +11.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-21 · ONDO price $0.3591 · BTC $65161.4
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-28 · ONDO price $0.3919 · BTC $63644.6
vs BTC
+11.7% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →

The evidence
Bear evidence

coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read

Price
Price at verdict$0.3184 +3.9% 24h
60d high0.4756 -33.1%
60d low0.2932 +8.6%
RSI(14)45.4
30d change -13.9%

snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions

The Deliberation
LV
Bull Research (Leo Vance)
VS
MF
Bear Research (Mara Frost)
JA
Risk Committee · Final Ruling
Chief Adjudicator (Aldrich)
KOL Settlement Seat
Calls on record: 0 up · 0 down

Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind

Analyst notes
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)

Price is up on the day with expanding positive MACD histogram, but remains below the SMA20 and SMA50 with negative 30-day performance.

Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)

Extreme fear dominates, while positioning is near-neutral and taker flow is slightly sell-biased.

Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)

Headlines are mixed, with regulatory uncertainty and stablecoin competition weighing on the backdrop.

Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)

The data pack provides insufficient direct information to assess ONDO’s underlying fundamentals.

Provenance
Report fingerprint
9682d04132d8deeee13ea99eb904ca193c53e43dafcadf60fbf5f667db725db4
UTC date
2026-07-15
Chain head
fe6d19bbd0dec4d03a8b201098fd67ad3bf99835727f3053ccd256283e21cc8a

Committed 2026-07-24T10:21:07+00:00 · 67 rulings that day · Check the chain

SHA-256 of this report as stored. It is the exact value committed to that day's chain — recompute it yourself and compare.

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